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The Sum of All Fears.pdf - Delta Force

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plausibility in the interests <strong>of</strong> obscurity. This was done to salve my<br />

conscience, not in any reasonable expectation that it matters a damn.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Manhattan Project <strong>of</strong> World War II still represents the most remarkable<br />

congregation <strong>of</strong> scientific talent in human history, never equalled, and perhaps<br />

never to be exceeded. <strong>The</strong> vastly expensive project broke new scientific ground<br />

and produced many additional discoveries. Modern computer theory, for example,<br />

largely grew from bomb-related research, and the first huge main-frame computers<br />

were mainly used for bomb-design.<br />

I was first bemused, then stunned, as my research revealed just how easy such a<br />

project might be today. It is generally known that nuclear secrets are not as<br />

secure as we would like – in fact the situation is worse than even well-informed<br />

people appreciate. What required billions <strong>of</strong> dollars in the 1940s is much less<br />

expensive today. A modern personal computer has far more power and reliability<br />

than the first Eniac, and the 'hydrocodes' which enable a computer to test and<br />

validate a weapon's design are easily duplicated. <strong>The</strong> exquisite machine tools<br />

used to fabricate parts can be had for the asking. When I asked explicitly for<br />

specifications for the very machines used at Oak Ridge and elsewhere, they<br />

arrived Federal Express the next day. Some highly-specialized items designed<br />

specifically for bomb manufacture may now be found in stereo speakers. <strong>The</strong> fact<br />

<strong>of</strong> the matter is that a sufficiently wealthy individual could, over a period <strong>of</strong><br />

from five to ten years, produce a multi-stage thermonuclear device. Science is<br />

all in the public domain, and allows few secrets.<br />

Delivery <strong>of</strong> such a device is child's play. I could base that statement on<br />

'extensive conversations' with various police and security agencies, but it<br />

doesn't take long for a person to say, 'Are you kidding?' I heard that phrase<br />

more than once. Probably no country – certainly no liberal democracy – can<br />

secure its borders against such a threat.<br />

So, that's the problem. What might be the solution? For starters, international<br />

controls over the traffic in nuclear materials and technology ought to be made<br />

something more than the joke they currently are. Nuclear weapons cannot be<br />

un-invented, and I personally think that nuclear power is a safe and<br />

environmentally benign alternative to the use <strong>of</strong> fossil fuels, but any tool must<br />

be used with care, and this tool admits <strong>of</strong> abuses too fearful for us to ignore.<br />

PEREGRINE CLIFF, February 1991

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