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Boxoffice - October 2016

The Official Magazine of the National Association of Theatre Owners

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ELECTION-THEMED MOVIES<br />

HEAD OF STATE<br />

The comedy directed by and starring Chris Rock (left) at the peak of his popularity wasn’t considered a great<br />

movie then, but it holds up especially poorly now given the premise. The movie was about an African American<br />

man who runs for and wins the presidency despite punctuating his campaign speeches with vernacular like “That<br />

ain’t right” and dancing to rap music at state dinners. Debuting the year before the rise of Barack Obama and<br />

five years prior to his ascension to the presidency, the film’s primary source of humor relied on the presumed<br />

long shot that a largely white country would unite behind a black presidential nominee, especially one familiar<br />

with street slang or rap—yet that’s precisely what happened shortly thereafter. But without the foreknowledge<br />

of Obama, the film still made $38.1 million after its March 2003 release. At the time, before this decade’s surge<br />

of March blockbusters like The Hunger Games, Alice in Wonderland, and Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice,<br />

March was often considered a dumping ground for bad movies. In addition, the film arguably wasn’t as “political”<br />

as most other films on this list, instead relying more on race and sex jokes—often a winning formula for<br />

Hollywood comedies, but perhaps not for a political movie.<br />

POLITICAL DOCUMENTARIES<br />

What about political documentaries? Political documentaries, considering their low budgets, can make a<br />

profit even with a middling gross. The high mark in the genre was Fahrenheit 9/11 (left) back in 2004, when<br />

it earned an astonishing $166.2 million. The most successful political documentaries in the mid-2000s were<br />

left-leaning in nature, such as Al Gore’s climate-crisis warning An Inconvenient Truth.<br />

Since then, the ideological tide has turned. The most financially successful political documentaries in the<br />

past few years have either been conservative—such as Dinesh D’Souza’s <strong>2016</strong>: Obama’s America and Hillary’s<br />

America—or at least not left-leaning, such as Citizenfour about Edward Snowden, which was critical of the mass<br />

surveillance undertaken and supported by both major parties. In other words, the best way to make money as<br />

a political documentary is apparently to be the party that doesn’t currently occupy the White House. If Trump<br />

wins, perhaps we can expect a resurgence of successful and politically progressive documentaries once again.<br />

WHICH FILMS ABOUT POLITICS DO BEST AT THE BOX OFFICE?<br />

THE ONES NOT ABOUT ELECTIONS.<br />

Interestingly, the highest-grossing films since 2000 that were primarily about politics were those about a<br />

president in office rather than one campaigning for the position. This seems to contradict the oft-repeated truism<br />

that Americans usually pay more attention to the “horse race” of political campaigns than to politicians’ actions<br />

once actually in office. But films such as The Butler (left) and Lincoln both made more than $100 million while<br />

focusing on real Oval Office drama, whether during the Cold War and civil rights eras for the former or the Civil<br />

War for the latter.<br />

That being said, both of those films received rave reviews from critics and audiences alike. Other films about<br />

presidents in office, whether real or fictional, haven’t always fared as well, such as W. about the George W. Bush<br />

administration. Even recent action films—traditionally the highest-grossing genre—about fictional presidents<br />

in office haven’t always done that well relative to pre-release expectations from box office analysts, such as White<br />

House Down and Vantage Point, which were considered fine but not great by audiences.<br />

So what’s the takeaway? The biggest correlation to success for political films does not appear to be release date<br />

or genre or star power but perceived quality. The political movies that earned the most were the ones actually<br />

considered to be excellent films by critics and audiences, like Lincoln (left), The Butler, and Fahrenheit 9/11.<br />

Moreover, those films actually dealt intelligently with politics and governance versus the horse race of the campaign.<br />

And they were about real issues faced by the president—not merely comedies, thrillers, or action movies<br />

about a president or candidate.<br />

Let this provide a glimmer of hope to those who worry that Hollywood no longer produces enough material<br />

of quality or that audiences won’t flock to anything too intellectual or substantive. Far from being death blows to<br />

a film’s box office chances, those traits may indeed be a political film’s best hope for box office success. n<br />

ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORE<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0<br />

$50 $100 $150 $200<br />

MILLIONS OF DOLLARS<br />

Election- and politicalthemed<br />

films: Better<br />

audience reviews on<br />

RottenTomatoes.com<br />

correlates with higher box<br />

office (inflation-adjusted)<br />

RottenTomatoes.com is a website that allows<br />

any user to rate a film from 0 to 100 percent,<br />

allowing for an aggregate number reflective<br />

of public opinion. A <strong>Boxoffice</strong> Pro analysis<br />

finds that for the election- or politicalthemed<br />

films mentioned in this article,<br />

there was a strong correlation between<br />

the average Rotten Tomatoes score and<br />

inflation-adjusted box office.<br />

40 BoxOffice ® OCTOBER <strong>2016</strong>

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