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Fleischwirtschaft <strong>international</strong> 4_<strong>2018</strong><br />

19<br />

Combined Proteins<br />

The Hype Cycle<br />

Tab. 1: Hype cycle phases, and what happens in them<br />

No. Phase Description<br />

1 Technology Trigger A potential technology breakthrough kicks things off. Early proof-of-concept stories and media<br />

interest trigger significant publicity. Often no usable products exist and commercial viability is<br />

unproven.<br />

2 Peak of Inflated Expectations Early publicity produces a number of success stories – often accompanied by scores of failures.<br />

Some companies take action; most don't.<br />

3 Trough of<br />

Disillusionment<br />

4 Slope of<br />

Enlightenment<br />

5 Plateau of<br />

Productivity<br />

gies. There are successful examples in all kinds of industries. For example,<br />

for a long time metal and plastic were considered competitors in industrial<br />

products, but those days are over and today the different strengths of<br />

metal and plastics are combined. At the same time, there is room for<br />

further innovation. “The best of both worlds” is the tenor of the advertising<br />

for such products. As another example, mixed products combining<br />

butter and vegetable oil are an established and growing category in<br />

spreads. Table 2 shows other examples of innovation with hybrid products<br />

outside the food industry.<br />

Meat extensions are right for consumers who have a moderate attitude<br />

towards eating meat. They don’t want to go entirely without meat or meat<br />

products, but would still like to do something for animal welfare and their<br />

own health. Market researchers term this group “flexitarians”.<br />

Nuremberg market research firm GfK is of the opinion that there are<br />

about seven times as many flexitarians as there are households with at<br />

least one vegetarian. According to market research firm TNS Infratest,<br />

56% of Germans said they eat flexitarian, i.e. more than half of Germans<br />

are flexitarians. This would appear to indicate that flexitarians will have<br />

much more influence on the market success of meat alternatives than will<br />

true vegetarians or vegans. According to GfK, flexitarians buy four times<br />

as many substitute products than non-flexitarians. Food with both meat<br />

and plant components harmonises with the recommendations of the<br />

German Nutrition Society (DGE), which recommends a reduced meat and<br />

sausage consumption of no more than 300 to 600 g per week.<br />

For many consumers, including flexitarians, the flavour of food is<br />

clearly a decisive criterion for repeat purchase and appreciation. And this<br />

is where current meat substitute products disappoint many customers.<br />

The sensory profile may also be unaccustomed. According to TNS Infratest,<br />

27% of Germans have considered reducing the amount of meat they<br />

eat, but have not followed through on it. Meat extensions are a possibility<br />

for this relatively large group as well. The manufacture of these mixed<br />

products was promoted at IFFA 2010. The possibility of more sustainability<br />

was mentioned as a benefit, with the use of more plant and less animal<br />

protein. In this context, it was mentioned that in 2050 there will be about<br />

30% more people on the earth, that alternatives to animal protein are a<br />

part of EU policy in the area of sustainable food production, and that less<br />

greenhouse gas is emitted in the production of these foods (WEBER, 2010).<br />

Many children and adults don’t like vegetables and eat much less of them<br />

than the German Nutrition Society recommends. Making meat extensions<br />

with vegetables is an attractive way to increase the consumption of vegetables<br />

and thereby fibre. This is positive from a health perspective, as is the<br />

Interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology<br />

shake out or fail. Investment continues only if the surviving providers improve their products to<br />

the satisfaction of early adopters.<br />

More instances of how the technology can benefit the enterprise start to crystallise and become<br />

more widely understood. Second- and third-generation products appear from technology providers.<br />

More enterprises fund pilots; conservative companies remain cautious.<br />

Mainstream adoption starts to take off. Criteria for assessing provider viability are more clearly<br />

defined. The technology's broad market applicability and relevance are clearly paying off. If the<br />

technology has more than a niche market, it will continue to grow.<br />

Source: Gartner Inc. <strong>FLEISCHWIRTSCHAFT</strong> <strong>international</strong> 4_<strong>2018</strong><br />

added value of using plant protein. Meat extensions are also an alternative<br />

to other meat substitute products currently being researched, mostly with<br />

ground meat as inspiration. At this year’s Green Week in Berlin, burger<br />

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