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GEORGIAN BUSINESS TODAY<br />
efeqturoba da danaxarjebi bazris<br />
gafarToebasTan erTad.<br />
aRsaniSnavia, rom yuradReba<br />
fokusirebulia albertas mZime<br />
navTobis velebze kanadaSi da<br />
mZime navTobis orinokos velebze<br />
venesuelaSi. 90% mZime<br />
navTobisa aRmoCenilia meqsikaSi,<br />
kaliforniaSi, braziliaSi,<br />
aliaskaze da a.S. mZime navTobi<br />
venesuelaSi naklebad sqelia vidre<br />
kanadaSi, amrigad ufro advilad<br />
SeiZleba maTi amotumbva<br />
sabadodan, Tumca saerTaSoriso<br />
navTob kompaniebi dainteresebulni<br />
arian biznesis keTebiT<br />
politikurad stabilur<br />
qveqnebSi, sadac kerZo kompaniebi<br />
ar iqnebian damokidebulni mTavrobebis<br />
mier gatarebul nacionalizaciis<br />
politikaze. amas<br />
adasturebs aSS-kanadis mini<br />
navTob-samiti, sadac SeTanxmdnen,<br />
rom kanada male gazrdis Tavisi<br />
mZime navTobis warmoebas xuTjer,<br />
rac miSnavs, rom kanada moaxdens<br />
dReSi 5 milioni bareli<br />
navTobis eqsports amerikaSi. es<br />
moicavs amerikaSi importirebuli<br />
navTobis TiTqmis naxevars.<br />
2010 wlisTvis varaudoben<br />
dedamiwis mosaxleobis 8 miliardamde<br />
gazrdas. Jurnal<br />
`saiensis~ monacemebiT msoflioSi<br />
daaxloebiT 500 milioni<br />
adamiani ganicdis sakvebi<br />
produqtebis naklebobas.<br />
cxoveluri cilebis deficiti<br />
weliwadSi 40 milion tonaze<br />
mets Seadgens, purproduqtebisa<br />
_ 25 milion tonas da kidev erTi<br />
aqtualuri sakiTxi: navTobiani<br />
naxSirwyalbadebis bioqimiuri<br />
damuSaveba cilovani nivTierebebis<br />
misaRebad. navTobis mniSvnelobaSi<br />
amiT kidev erTxel<br />
vrwmundebiT.<br />
navTobi<br />
faqtorebi, romlebmac 2008 wels gavlena moaxdina<br />
`Savi oqros~ fasze<br />
1) dolaris kursis vardna ara marto evrosTan, aramed iaponur<br />
ienTan da Sveicariul frankTan mimarTebaSic. es TavisTavad iwvevs<br />
spekulaciuri kapitalis Sedinebas sanavTobo bazarze da dolaris<br />
dabandebas navTobSi. opeki maRali fasebis mizezad swored savaWro<br />
garigebebs asaxelebs, Tumca saerTaSoriso energetikuli saagento Tavis<br />
ukanasknel yovelTviur angariSSi aRniSnavs, rom savaWro garigebebi<br />
ar aris erTaderTi mizezi maRali fasebisa da rom momavalSi<br />
mosalodnelia maTi SenarCuneba;<br />
2) geopolitikuri faqtorebi: mudmivad arastabiluri situacia<br />
axlo aRmosavleTSi, keniaSi, alJirsa da nigeriaSi, amerikis muqara iranis<br />
misamarTiT da a.S.;<br />
3) venesuelas saxelmwifosa da msoflios erT-erT umsxviles navTobkompania<br />
Exxonmobile-s Soris konfliqti;<br />
4) miuxedavad imisa, rom saerTaSoriso energetikulma saagentom (IEA)<br />
oficialurad gamoaqveyna informacia momdevno wels msoflioSi nav-<br />
Tobis moxmarebis SemcirebasTan dakavSirebiT, sapirispiro xdeba CineTSi,<br />
sadac navTobis importi bolo 12 TveSi gaizarda 12.3%-iT<br />
da Sesabamisad, dinamiurad izrdeba navTobis moxmarebac. navTobis<br />
miwodeba gaizarda 185 aTasi bareliT/dReSi. IEA-s cnobiT, msoflioSi<br />
navTobis mopovebam Seadgina 87.5 milioni bareli/dReSi. navTobis<br />
msoflio mopovebis zrda gamoiwvia kanadaSi, meqsikasa da kaspiis<br />
zRvis regionSi mopovebis zrdam, ramac moaxdina norvegiasa da opekis<br />
qveynebSi Tebervlis TveSi mopovebis dacemis kompensireba. 2008<br />
wlis TebervalSi navTobis mopoveba opekis qveynebSi Semcirda 120<br />
aTasi bareliT/dReSi, Seadgina 32.1 milioni bareli/dReSi. navTobis<br />
miwodeba sparseTis yuresa da dasavleT afrikis qveynebidan Semcirda<br />
300 aTasi bareliT/dReSi, iranidan ki gaizarda 150 aTasi bareliT/dReSi;<br />
5) opekis gadawyvetileba navTobis mopovebis ucvlelad datovebis<br />
Sesaxeb. kerZod, 2008 wlis 5 marts opekma miiRo gadawyvetileba momavali<br />
wlis meore kvartlamde navTobis mopovebis odenobis ucvlelad<br />
datovebis Sesaxeb; 2007 wlis 1 dekembridan navTobis mopovebis<br />
kvota kartelis 10 wevrisaTvis (indonezia, irani, kuveiti, libia, ekvadori,<br />
katari, saudis arabeTi, arabTa gaerTianebuli saemiroebi, venesuela,<br />
angola) dReSi 27.253 milion barels Seadgens. opekis mier<br />
warmoebis ucvlelad SenarCunebis Sesaxeb gadawyvetileba ganpirobebulia<br />
imiTac, rom qveynebi eZeben sakuTari maragebis optimalurad<br />
gamoyenebis gzebs, raTa minimumamde daiyvanon moTxovna;<br />
6) navTobgadamamuSavebeli simZlavreebis nakleboba msoflioSi.<br />
erTi sityviT, arsebobs urTierTdakavSirebul mizezTa grZeli jaWvi,<br />
magram realurad ra aris yvelaze didi da mniSvnelovani problema?<br />
amJamad arsebuli problemebis mogavrebis Semdgom, albaT, mTeli yuradReba<br />
navTobis amowurvis safrTxeze gamaxvildeba. navTobis alternatiuli<br />
resursebiT Canacvleba kacobriobis erT-erT aqtualur<br />
sakiTxTa ricxvs miekuTvneba.<br />
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