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Kvalitetsbegrepp och riktlinjer för kvalitets - Statistiska centralbyrån

Kvalitetsbegrepp och riktlinjer för kvalitets - Statistiska centralbyrån

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1.2 Comprehensiveness<br />

This quality component concerns how well the output from a "statistics system"<br />

describes a subject matter field in its "vital aspects". (For instance, how well the<br />

labour market statistics informs about vital aspects of the labour market.) However,<br />

no statistics system will live up to what all users regard as all the vital aspects of the<br />

subject matter field, but it can do so in a greater or less degree.<br />

2 ACCURACY of the statistics<br />

concerns agreement between statistics and target<br />

characteristics<br />

Usually there are so many disturbances in a statistical survey that the statistics do<br />

not give exact values of the target characteristics, only estimates. Here, the lead star<br />

is unbiased ("correct in average") estimates. Normally there is a discrepancy/deviation<br />

("error") between a statistic and its target value. The smaller the<br />

discrepancy is, the more accurate the statistic is. Of course users want discrepancies<br />

to be small, preferably negligible.<br />

Often, however, deviations are not negligible, and this is partcularly the case for<br />

statistics from sample surveys. Then, at least statistically knowledgeable users want<br />

numerical bounds for the deviations, referred to as accuracy measures or<br />

uncertainty measures. The derivation of such measures is a somewhat intricate<br />

matter, though, since the discrepancies depend on the target values, which are<br />

unknown. (If they were known, a survey would be superfluous.) Statements about<br />

accuracy of statistics inevitably fall in the category "statements concerning prevailing<br />

uncertainty", a conceptually intricate topic. The common way to present<br />

accuracy information is by uncertainty intervals, as indicated below.<br />

It is likely that the value of the target characteristic lies in :<br />

uncertainty interval = statistic ± margin of uncertainty.<br />

Often such an interval is a confidence interval with a specified confidence level. If<br />

this is 95 % , the interval encompasses the target value with a likelihood of 95 %.<br />

Other accuracy measures, in essence equivalent to a confidence interval,. are : standard<br />

deviation, coefficient of variation and relative margin of error. Sometimes<br />

uncertainty intervals are based on special evaluations of the survey, subject matter<br />

knowledge, experience, etc. Then one talks about judgement intervals.<br />

A classification of "errors" which is helpful in some contexts is as random or systematic.<br />

Random errors "fluctuate around 0", while systematic ones tend to "pull in<br />

the same direction" (have the same sign). Systematic errors may lead to biased statistics.<br />

2.1 Overall accuracy<br />

A user is chiefly interested in how well he/she can rely on the statistic from an<br />

overall point of view, i.e. to have a limit for the total deviation between the statistic<br />

and the target value. Sometimes, but as an exception rather than a rule, the producer<br />

can exhibit quantitative overall uncertainty intervals. Mostly, however, precise<br />

information can only be given concerning the extent and consequences of certain<br />

narrower sources of inaccuracy.<br />

A comment on accuracy<br />

Production of statistics can often be speeded up if standards of accuracy are lowered (by<br />

accepting large non - response, incomplete editing, etc.). Production time and accuracy<br />

are in conflict. In cases where fast statistics are judged to be important the dilemma is<br />

often handled by presenting "preliminary" statistics in a first round, and later "definite"<br />

statistics with better accuracy.<br />

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