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Hazar Raporu - Issue 01 - Fall 2012

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A Step Ahead Towards the Stage of<br />

Maturation in Azerbaijani-Turkish<br />

Relations: The Trans Anatolian Pipeline<br />

Dr. Burcu Gültekin Punsmann<br />

Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey, TEPAV<br />

Senior Foreign Policy Analyst<br />

The signature of the memorandum<br />

of understanding between Azerbaijan<br />

and Turkey on 11 December 2<strong>01</strong>1 for<br />

the establishment of the consortium<br />

that will build the Trans Anatolian<br />

Pipeline (TANAP) to supply gas from<br />

Shah Deniz gas field to Europe through<br />

Turkey was a surprise development. The<br />

Azerbaijani-Turkish inter-governmental<br />

agreement on the implementation of the<br />

TANAP pipeline was signed on 26 June<br />

2<strong>01</strong>2. Both countries hailed TANAP<br />

as a step ahead ‘towards a new age of<br />

partnership’.<br />

The Azerbaijani-Turkish pipeline<br />

project will emancipate the bilateral<br />

relations from the realm of emotions,<br />

set clearly the interests of each side, thus<br />

transferring cooperation between the<br />

two states on a healthier ground based<br />

on win-win pragmatic dealings.<br />

The deal carries to potential to upgrade<br />

Turkish-Azerbaijani energy relations to<br />

the level of Turkish-Russian relations.<br />

Russia has been Turkey’s principal<br />

partner in the field of energy over the<br />

last 15 years. Furthermore, Turkey has<br />

been considering Russia - a country<br />

whose political will alone could<br />

change facts on the ground - as the<br />

cornerstone of her ambition to become<br />

an energy transit and a hub country.<br />

Interestingly a deal on the South Stream<br />

between Turkey and Russia came as<br />

an unexpected move a few days after<br />

the one on TANAP and less than two<br />

months after the decision of BOTAŞ<br />

not to review the 1986 gas deal. On 28<br />

December Gazprom and Botaş signed<br />

the amended contracts as the South<br />

Stream permits were displayed to Prime<br />

Minister Putin.<br />

TANAP as a post Nabucco pipeline<br />

and a transnational gas export project<br />

realized on the initiative of Azerbaijan<br />

and in cooperation with Turkey will<br />

be a game changer. Among SOCAR’s<br />

most strategic investments capitalyzing<br />

on Turkey’s future position in world<br />

geography, TANAP will fundamentally<br />

change the situation around bringing<br />

Caspian gas to Europe.<br />

50

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