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Automotive Ekports December 2023

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Monthly automotive aftermarket magazine<br />

GROUP CHAIRMAN<br />

H. FERRUH ISIK<br />

PUBLISHER:<br />

İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />

İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />

Managing Editor (Responsible)<br />

Mehmet Söztutan<br />

mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />

Advertising Sales Consultant<br />

Adem Saçın<br />

+90 505 577 36 42<br />

adem.sacin@img.com.tr<br />

Enes Karadayı<br />

enes.karadayi@img.com.tr<br />

International Marketing Coordinator<br />

Ayca Sarioglu<br />

ayca.sarioglu@img.com.tr<br />

Advisory Editor<br />

Yusuf Okçu<br />

yusuf.okcu@img.com.tr<br />

Finance Manager<br />

Cuma Karaman<br />

cuma.karaman@img.com.tr<br />

Digital Assets Manager<br />

Emre Yener<br />

emre.yener@img.com.tr<br />

Technical Manager<br />

Tayfun Aydın<br />

tayfun.aydin@img.com.tr<br />

Graphic & Design Advisor<br />

Sami aktaş<br />

sami.aktas@img.com.tr<br />

Accountant<br />

Yusuf Demirkazık<br />

yusuf.demirkazik@img.com.tr<br />

Subsciption<br />

İsmail Özçelik<br />

ismail.ozcelik@img.com.tr<br />

HEAD OFFICE:<br />

İstmag Magazin Gazetecilik<br />

İç ve Dış Ticaret Ltd. Şti.<br />

Ihlas Media Center<br />

Merkez Mah. 29 Ekim Caddesi No: 11B / 21<br />

Yenibosna Bahcelievler, Istanbul / TÜRKİYE<br />

Tel: +90 212 454 22 22<br />

www.img.com.tr sales@img.com.tr<br />

KONYA:<br />

Metin Demir<br />

Hazım Uluşahin İş Merkezi C Blok<br />

Kat: 6 No: 603-604-605 KONYA<br />

Tel: (90.332)238 10 71 Fax: (90.332)238 01 74<br />

EDİToR<br />

Mehmet Soztutan, Editor-in-Chief<br />

mehmet.soztutan@img.com.tr<br />

Dynamism prevails as usual<br />

The Turkish automotive industry, which was originally founded for<br />

import-substitution strategy and focused on the domestic market for a long period,<br />

transformed itself into a production base for a number of global brands.<br />

Competitiveness at the domestic level has been replaced with competitiveness on a<br />

global scale. In motor vehicles, a large number of the EU legislation was adopted.<br />

The Turkish automotive industry is one of the largest exporting and leading investor<br />

industries of the Turkish economy. It is an economically strategic sector in terms of<br />

its significant contribution to the national production and development, direct and<br />

indirect employment and level of technology in Türkiye.<br />

Following the shift of the focus on customers, markets, products and competition<br />

from the local level to the global level, Turkish automotive manufacturers and<br />

suppliers position themselves globally rather than locally.<br />

This transformation in the sector urges automotive suppliers to improve their existing<br />

structures in line with the demands of global auto manufacturers.<br />

Turkish producers of parts and components have attained high standards reflected by<br />

large export volumes to the Western countries.<br />

There are numerous producers of automotive components and services. More than<br />

half of these manufacturers compete in international markets and set high standards<br />

of export figures.<br />

Turkish automotive supplier industry produces almost all types of parts,<br />

components and spare parts such as engines and engine parts, power train parts<br />

and components, brake and clutch parts and components, hydraulic and pneumatic<br />

systems, suspension systems, security equipment, rubber and plastic parts, chassis<br />

frames and parts, electrical equipment and parts, lighting systems, accumulator<br />

batteries, seats etc.<br />

We think that innovation and competitive power will always assume a key position<br />

for the survival of the automotive spare parts industry.<br />

As known, we convey the messages of the Turkish automotive and the related<br />

industries by participating in a series of international fairs and exhibitions.<br />

We wish lucrative trade for all participants around the globe.<br />

PRINTED BY:<br />

İHLAS GAZETECİLİK A.Ş.<br />

Merkez Mahallesi 29 Ekim Caddesi İhlas Plaza<br />

No:11 A/41 Yenibosna–Bahçelievler/ İSTANBUL<br />

Tel: 0212 454 30 00<br />

www.ihlasmatbaacilik.com<br />

automotiveexport<br />

automotiveexports


Charging capacity, affordability<br />

hamper US electric vehicle shift<br />

The United States’ shift to electric vehicles has<br />

hit a speed bump, with woes about vehicle range<br />

and limited charging capacity adding to the main<br />

affordability issues.<br />

Automakers have pushed back EV sales targets<br />

and delayed capital projects as they seek to reduce<br />

inventories of unsold EVs at dealerships.<br />

“The slowdown in EV sales is much more pronounced<br />

than it is for other categories of vehicles and that isn’t<br />

related to the economy,” said Neil Saunders, managing<br />

director of GlobalData.<br />

“The EV has a problem attached to it,” he said.<br />

“It’s a much more difficult and complex purchase<br />

because of the range of the vehicles and the charging<br />

infrastructure.”<br />

American consumers are accustomed to often lengthy<br />

road trips for holidays or to visit friends and relatives,<br />

owing to the country’s large size and limited public<br />

transit options.<br />

But so far, the network of EV charging stations remains<br />

dodgy, with many areas either lacking infrastructure or<br />

equipped with unreliable machines.<br />

Range, pricing concerns<br />

More than three-quarters of drivers consider EVs<br />

reliable, according to a survey by the Consumer<br />

Technology Association (CTA), the organizer of the<br />

annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas.<br />

But there are also significant doubts among drivers<br />

surrounding the autos over inadequate charging<br />

infrastructure (36%), battery range (39%) and vehicle<br />

affordability (38%).<br />

The average EV sold in October for $51,762, some<br />

$13,000 below the year-ago level for the autos but<br />

almost $4,000 above the average price of all autos.<br />

In Europe, the elevated price of gasoline adds an<br />

incentive that allows consumers to overlook the lofty<br />

upfront cost of the vehicle.<br />

But that is less of a factor in the United States, where<br />

gas prices are only about half the level in France or<br />

Britain, according to Observatoire Cetelem 2024.<br />

Industry leaders such as Tesla Chief Executive Elon<br />

Musk have also pointed to increased borrowing costs<br />

as a drag after a series of Federal Reserve (Fed)<br />

interest rate hikes over the last year and a half.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

10


Tesla remains a dominant player in EVs, accounting for<br />

more than 55% of the 873,000 EV autos sold in the first<br />

10 months of <strong>2023</strong>, according to industry researcher<br />

Kelley Blue Book.<br />

Ford Chief Executive Jim Farley predicted “some<br />

bumpiness” in the evolving U.S. market.<br />

“The dynamic changes in the market – pricing,<br />

adoption rates, regulations – are forcing us to further<br />

reduce the cost of our EVs,” Farley said last month.<br />

Lowering costs<br />

Ford’s rival and fellow Detroit giant General Motors<br />

recently pushed back until the end of 2025 a plan to<br />

convert its Orion, Michigan plant for EVs “to better<br />

manage capital investment while aligning with evolving<br />

EV demand,” the company said last month.<br />

“In addition, we have identified engineering<br />

improvements that we will implement to increase the<br />

profitability of our products,” GM said.<br />

Ford and Tesla, too, are looking to simplify their<br />

manufacturing processes to limit costs.<br />

“Reducing the cost of our vehicles is our top priority,”<br />

said Tesla Chief Financial Officer Vaibhav Taneja.<br />

For its futuristic Cybertruck, which is expected to<br />

commence deliveries before the end of <strong>2023</strong>, Tesla<br />

is “doing everything possible to simplify that vehicle”<br />

to reach efficiency “that is unheard of in the auto<br />

industry,” Musk said.<br />

Ford also vowed to tweak its design and manufacturing<br />

to reduce complexity.<br />

But the results are still unproven, according to<br />

Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner.<br />

“What concerns us most is that automakers haven’t<br />

cracked the economics to make an easy, affordable<br />

EV,” Rosner said on CNBC.<br />

Washington has mobilized in favor of EVs during the<br />

presidency of Joe Biden, approving $7.5 billion in<br />

funds for EV chargers and extending tax credits up to<br />

$7.500 for consumer purchases of the autos.<br />

The Biden administration wants 50% of vehicle sales<br />

to be electric by 2030.<br />

“The politicians wanted it to happen overnight, but<br />

you can’t just set arbitrary targets; you’ve got to make<br />

sure the infrastructure’s there,” said Saunders of<br />

GlobalData.<br />

“The long-term trajectory is probably good for EVs,”<br />

but “it’s something that’s much slower-going,” he<br />

predicted.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

12


Auto production increases<br />

19 percent in October<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

The automotive industry’s production increased by<br />

18.6 percent in October from a year ago to 136,177,<br />

data from the <strong>Automotive</strong> Manufacturers’ Association<br />

(OSD) have shown.<br />

Haberin Devamı<br />

Last month, more than 91,000 passenger cars<br />

were produced, pointing to a 46.7 percent increase<br />

compared with October 2022, while carmakers’<br />

commercial vehicle production plunged 15 percent to<br />

around 45,000.<br />

Pickup truck output was down 19 percent year-onyear,<br />

but bus production leaped 41 percent.<br />

In October, the market expanded 52 percent as a total<br />

of 105,154 vehicles were sold, with passenger car<br />

sales rising more than 74 percent to some 83,000,<br />

OSD said. Türkiye’s passenger car imports climbed<br />

77 percent to 52,482. The share of imported cars<br />

in the local market was 63.5 percent in October,<br />

declining from 66.5 percent in the previous month<br />

and 79 percent in August. The industry’s total vehicle<br />

shipments to foreign countries rose by 7.4 percent.<br />

Passenger car exports, on the other hand, increased<br />

31 percent from October 2022 to around 67,000.<br />

Export revenues amounted to $3.14 billion, marking a<br />

16 percent year-on-year increase.<br />

In the first 10 months of <strong>2023</strong>, carmakers produced<br />

a total of 1.2 million vehicles, a 12.4 percent increase<br />

compared with January-October last year, with<br />

passenger car output rising 23 percent to more than<br />

773,000.<br />

Total vehicle sales reached almost 1 million with a 62<br />

percent annual increase. Passenger car sales grew 68<br />

percent to 750,000.<br />

The automotive industry’s export revenues amounted<br />

to $29.3 billion in the January-October period, rising<br />

15.5 percent from a year ago.<br />

In terms of euro, exports increased by 12.8 percent to<br />

27.1 billion euros, according to OSD.<br />

16


Turkish automotive sector beating<br />

1 million milestones<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

The automotive sector will exceed the “1 million”<br />

threshold in all three production, export and sales<br />

figures in <strong>2023</strong>, the 100th anniversary of the founding<br />

of the Republic of Türkiye. According to the latest data<br />

shared by Cengiz Eroldu, president of the <strong>Automotive</strong><br />

Industry Association (OSD), the total automotive<br />

production will reach 1.5 million units and exports will<br />

reach 1 million units by the end of the year.<br />

Sales will exceed 1.15 million units. With these results,<br />

the automotive market will break the historical record<br />

by exceeding the 1 million mark for the first time in<br />

history. Production and exports will catch up with<br />

2018, but will be slightly behind the historic year of<br />

2017, when 1.6 million units were produced and 1.1<br />

million units were exported.<br />

“The 60-year-old automotive industry, which has grown<br />

with the republic, now operates with a capacity of<br />

2 million units in 17 production facilities,” said OSD<br />

President Cengiz Eroldu at a press conference held in<br />

Istanbul to present the latest figures on the sector.<br />

“We are using 1.4 million units of that capacity. We<br />

have 13 members, and the members have 15 R&D<br />

centers. As a sector, we invest $1 billion annually<br />

and produce jobs for more than 500,000 people. We<br />

continue to contribute to Türkiye’s economy with<br />

annual exports of $30 billion and we continue to be the<br />

leader in this field.”<br />

By the end of <strong>2023</strong>, total automotive exports could<br />

reach $35 billion, Eroldu said, noting that automotive<br />

production exceeded 1 million units in the January-<br />

September period.<br />

“Both the growth of the domestic market and the<br />

growth of exports support the numbers of the<br />

automotive industry in <strong>2023</strong>. We have broken the 1<br />

million production barrier in the first nine months. This<br />

means that we have returned to our production figures<br />

before the pandemic.”<br />

Regarding vehicle sales, Eroldu said that while they<br />

foresee a 10 percent decline in the overall market<br />

in 2024, they do not expect a similar decline in<br />

production and exports.<br />

“We are hopeful on the export side, we think exports<br />

can cover the loss in the domestic market,” he added.<br />

Emphasizing that the automotive sector has been a<br />

foreign trade surplus sector for many years, Eroldu said<br />

the situation has worsened this year.<br />

22


“The share of domestic producers in total vehicle sales,<br />

which was 45 percent last year, has unfortunately<br />

dropped to 37 percent this year. The most important<br />

factor is the car. In automobiles, we have a domestic<br />

share that has gone from 39 percent to 31 percent.<br />

This is a situation that we do not want at all.<br />

Unfortunately, the sector that gives a surplus of $10<br />

billion is at the level of minus $318 million according<br />

to the first eight months figures, which will grow even<br />

more in September. The last negative value was<br />

realized in 2015 with minus $195 million.”<br />

Eroldu reiterated that the Special Consumption<br />

Tax (ÖTV) base should be updated to increase the<br />

domestic share of the market and to give consumers<br />

access to affordable vehicles. As of June, all cars sold<br />

in Türkiye entered the ÖTV base limit of 80 percent.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

23


Turkish auto sales see over<br />

55% increase to maintain record streak<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Car sales in Türkiye maintained their record trend<br />

in October despite tightening financing conditions,<br />

industry data showed, adding to the peaks since the<br />

beginning of the year.<br />

Backed by the increase in the supply of available cars,<br />

a record 101,367 passenger cars and light commercial<br />

vehicles were sold last month, the <strong>Automotive</strong><br />

Distributors and Mobility Association (ODMD) said in a<br />

statement, marking a 55.4% year-over-year increase.<br />

Car sales surged by 74.1%, totaling 82,611 units, the<br />

data showed, while the market for light commercial<br />

vehicles saw a more modest increase of 5.5%, with<br />

sales reaching 18,756 units.<br />

Demand soared as depreciation in the Turkish lira, and<br />

soaring prices prompted consumers to continue to opt<br />

for cars they see as a tool to safeguard themselves<br />

from high inflation, which rose to 61.5% in the 12<br />

months to September.<br />

The increase in October lifted the combined sales from<br />

January through October to a fresh record of 958,942<br />

units, marking a year-over-year growth of 63.7%.<br />

The figure surpasses the whole of 2022 when some<br />

783,283 cars and light commercial vehicles exchanged<br />

hands.<br />

The increase in car sales comes despite higher<br />

borrowing costs after the central bank aggressively<br />

tightened its monetary policy after the May elections to<br />

counter price rises.<br />

Higher interest rates, which cool the economy by<br />

making it more expensive to borrow and bearing<br />

down on spending, have contributed to bringing down<br />

inflation worldwide.<br />

26


Türkiye’s central bank has raised its benchmark oneweek<br />

repo rate by 2,650 basis points since June as<br />

part of a wider policy shift toward more conventional<br />

policymaking.<br />

Meanwhile, electric cars have also been booming this<br />

year, capturing a market share unseen to date, backed<br />

by the first homegrown battery-powered vehicle brand<br />

that has been adding momentum to its deliveries.<br />

Some 48,883 EVs have been sold from January<br />

through October of this year, the ODMD data showed,<br />

marking a ninefold increase from a year ago.<br />

Sales in October alone jumped tenfold to 9,832, lifting<br />

the EV share in the overall market to 11.9%.<br />

Togg, the manufacturer of Türkiye’s first electric car,<br />

outpaced Tesla as it delivered some 3,567 units of its<br />

C-segment SUV T10X in October. This figure brings its<br />

deliveries since late April to 9,171 units.<br />

Tesla sold 500 units of its Model Y last month. The<br />

carmaker has delivered some 10,700 units so far this<br />

year.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

28


Electric car makers race for<br />

supplies of lithium for batteries<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Threatened by possible shortages of lithium for electric<br />

car batteries, automakers are racing to lock in supplies<br />

of the once-obscure “white gold” in a politically and<br />

environmentally fraught competition from China to<br />

Nevada to Chile.<br />

General Motors and the parent company of China’s<br />

BYD Auto went straight to the source and bought<br />

stakes in lithium miners, a rare step in an industry that<br />

relies on outside vendors for copper and other raw<br />

materials. Others are investing in lithium refining or<br />

ventures to recycle the silvery-white metal from used<br />

batteries.<br />

A shortfall in lithium supplies would be an obstacle for<br />

government and industry plans to ramp up sales to<br />

tens of millions of electric vehicles a year.<br />

It is fueling political conflict over resources and<br />

complaints about the environmental cost of extracting<br />

them. Ford Motor has signed contracts stretching up<br />

to 11 years into the future with lithium suppliers on two<br />

continents. Volkswagen and Honda are trying to reduce<br />

their need for freshly mined ore by forming recycling<br />

ventures.<br />

Global lithium output is on track to triple this decade,<br />

but sales of electric SUVs, sports cars and sedans that<br />

rose 55 percent last year threaten to outrun that.<br />

30


Each battery requires about eight kilograms of lithium,<br />

plus cobalt, nickel and other metals.<br />

Adding to uncertainty, lithium has emerged as another<br />

conflict in strained U.S.-Chinese relations.<br />

Beijing, Washington and other governments see metal<br />

supplies for electric vehicles as a strategic issue and<br />

are tightening controls on access.<br />

Other governments including Indonesia, Chile and<br />

Zimbabwe are trying to maximize their return on<br />

deposits of lithium, cobalt and nickel by requiring<br />

miners to invest in refining and processing before they<br />

can export.<br />

GM is buying direct access to lithium by investing $650<br />

million in the Canadian developer of a Nevada mine. In<br />

return, GM says it will get enough for 1 million vehicles<br />

a year.<br />

BYD Auto’s parent company, battery maker BYD Co.,<br />

has announced more than $5 billion in investments in<br />

lithium mining and refining over the past 18 months.<br />

Despite rising output, the industry may face shortages<br />

of lithium and cobalt as early as 2025 if enough isn’t<br />

invested in production, according to Leonardo Paoli and<br />

Timur Gul of the International Energy Agency.<br />

“Supply side bottlenecks are becoming a real challenge,”<br />

said Paoli and Gul in a report last year. Alastair Bedwell<br />

of GlobalData said miners are reluctant to “go all out”<br />

on lithium until they are sure the industry won’t switch to<br />

batteries made with other metals.<br />

Developing lithium sources is a yearslong process.<br />

Mines that came online in 2010-19 took on average more<br />

than 16 years from discovery to the start of production,<br />

according to Paoli and Gul of the IEA.<br />

“These long lead times raise questions about the ability<br />

of supply to ramp up,” they wrote.<br />

Worldwide lithium resources are estimated at 80 million<br />

tons by the U.S. Geological Survey.<br />

Bolivia’s are the biggest at 21 millions tons, followed<br />

by Australia with 17 million and Chile with 9 million.<br />

China has 4.5 million tons of known reserves and the<br />

United States has 1 million. Forecasts of annual global<br />

production range as high as 1.5 million tons by 2030. But<br />

demand, if EV sales keep rising at double-digit annual<br />

rates, is forecast to increase to up to 3 million tons.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

32


Türkiye’s electric vehicle market<br />

charges toward 60K sales target<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

The remarkable surge in Türkiye’s electric vehicle (EV)<br />

market growth becomes evident as October’s sales<br />

witnessed a significant uptick, propelling the market<br />

share of these vehicles to 11.0%, and indicating sales<br />

possibly hitting the 60,000 mark by year-end.<br />

According to data from the <strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors<br />

and Mobility Association (ODMD), sales of electric cars<br />

last month reached 9,087 units, posting a growth rate<br />

of 929%. In the first 10 months of the year, a total of<br />

43,682 electric cars were sold across the country, as<br />

per data. Furthermore, it is estimated that the electric<br />

car market will reach 60,000 units by the end of <strong>2023</strong>.<br />

The primary reason for the increase in electric car sales<br />

and market share is the introduction of new models,<br />

the report of Sabah indicated.<br />

Along with new models, the unprecedented boom in<br />

the EV market was backed by the first homegrown<br />

vehicle brand Togg, which began its deliveries earlier<br />

this year, and the entry of U.S. maker Tesla to the<br />

market. In the last quarter of the year, one of the<br />

world’s largest electric car manufacturers, the Chinese<br />

company BYD also entered the Turkish market.<br />

BYD initially launched the Atto 3 model and aims to<br />

trade its 1,500 units by the end of the year. In the first<br />

quarter of 2024, BYD plans to introduce the Han and<br />

Seal models and has a sales target of 10,000 units for<br />

2024. During the launch of the Atto 3, Ismail Ergun, the<br />

general manager of BYD Türkiye, mentioned that they<br />

have encountered significant demand through various<br />

communication channels.<br />

He pointed to the high interest in their models with the<br />

number of interested individuals exceeding 22,000. He<br />

also mentioned that they aim to achieve a market share<br />

of 10% or more depending on market conditions.<br />

“We have also introduced BYD Finance for our<br />

customers’ credit solutions, aiming to provide a quick<br />

and secure response to our customers’ credit needs.<br />

We have started sales with four dealerships, two in<br />

Istanbul, and one each in Ankara and Izmir. In 2024, we<br />

plan to increase the number of dealerships to over 20,”<br />

he said. By the end of 2022, there were 14,552 electric<br />

cars in Türkiye. As of the end of September, this rapidly<br />

increasing number has further increased to 51,219, a<br />

3.5-fold rise. According to ODMD’s data, 3,567 units<br />

of Togg’s SUV T10X were sold in October. This figure<br />

brings its deliveries since late April to 9,171 units.<br />

Meanwhile, Tesla’s estimated sales figure stands at<br />

around 10,000 units so far this year.<br />

Overall car sales in Türkiye maintained their record<br />

trend last month despite tightening financing<br />

conditions, the industry data showed, adding to the<br />

peaks since the beginning of the year.<br />

34


Tesla quarterly results<br />

disappoint as discounts bite<br />

Tesla’s results for the third quarter missed analyst<br />

estimates on Oct. 18, as the Elon Musk-run company<br />

was hit by higher costs and the fallout from price<br />

discounts.<br />

The Texas-based electric vehicle giant said sales in the<br />

July to September period reached $23.35 billion, lower<br />

than the $24.19 billion forecasted by analysts polled by<br />

Factset.<br />

The company also saw net profits come in less than<br />

hoped for, at 66 cents per share instead of 73 cents<br />

forecasted.<br />

Musk has undertaken multiple price cuts throughout<br />

<strong>2023</strong> on vehicles, telling investors in April that the<br />

company has taken the view that pushing for higher<br />

sales is the right choice versus taking a bigger margin.<br />

The move came as more EVs from legacy carmakers<br />

like General Motors and Ford are hitting dealerships.<br />

But those rivals have been punished by a major strike<br />

in the United States, something that Tesla will not have<br />

to navigate.<br />

The price cuts have made investors nervous and<br />

Tesla’s share price slid more than seven percent in the<br />

last month and was down more than three percent<br />

from its last closing price in afterhours trade.<br />

The Tesla stock valuation however still dwarfs other<br />

U.S. carmakers and it has more than doubled in <strong>2023</strong>,<br />

comforting Musk’s position as one of the world’s two<br />

richest people.<br />

Also rattling nerves, Tesla reported earlier this month<br />

that its new auto deliveries fell in the third quarter to<br />

435,059 units because of downtimes at factories in<br />

Shanghai and Austin.<br />

Production overall declined 10 percent from the<br />

second quarter to 430,488, according to the figures.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

36


Türkiye’s electric vehicle sales<br />

primed for 61% yearly expansion<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Sales of electric vehicles (EVs) in Türkiye are expected<br />

to register an annual average growth of nearly 61% in<br />

the coming years, a trend that is forecast to see the<br />

battery-powered cars’ share in the passenger vehicle<br />

segment soaring to over 30%, according to a report.<br />

EV sales have boomed this year, rising ninefold in the<br />

first ten months versus a year ago, propelled by the<br />

first domestically produced electric car brand, Togg, as<br />

well as the entrance of many global automakers such<br />

as Tesla. Sales are expected to grow by 60.8% a year<br />

on average until 2032, according to data compiled<br />

from the “Turkey Electric Vehicles Profile” country<br />

report by research firm BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions.<br />

The growth is expected to elevate EVs’ share in total<br />

passenger car sales to 30.4%, it said.<br />

It would mark a twofold increase compared to BIM’s<br />

earlier forecast of 33.2% growth. The share of EVs in<br />

total car sales is expected to reach 4.1% this year, up<br />

from just 1.3% in 2022.<br />

Some 48,883 EVs have been sold from January<br />

through October of this year, according to the<br />

<strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors and Mobility Association<br />

(ODMD). The combined sales of electric and hybrid<br />

cars totaled 127,270 units.<br />

By 2032, the total number of electric passenger<br />

vehicles in Türkiye is forecast to surge to 259,500,<br />

according to the BIM report.<br />

Sales in October alone jumped tenfold to 9,832, lifting<br />

the EV share in the overall market to 11.9%.<br />

Togg, the manufacturer of Türkiye’s first electric car,<br />

outpaced Tesla as it delivered some 3,567 units of its<br />

C-segment SUV T10X in October. This figure brought<br />

its deliveries since late April to 9,171 units.<br />

Tesla sold 500 units of its Model Y last month. The<br />

carmaker has delivered some 10,700 units so far this<br />

year. The trajectory of increased EV sales is projected<br />

to continue into 2024, according to the BIM report.<br />

However, the imposition of taxes is anticipated to<br />

keep the overall market share of EVs in the automotive<br />

industry constrained for some time.<br />

Despite the limitation, the report suggests supportive<br />

measures may be instituted, particularly for Togg,<br />

serving as a catalyst for the widespread adoption of<br />

electric vehicles.<br />

38


Togg’s production is set to reach one million units by<br />

2030, with plans to commence exports to European<br />

markets by 2025. Besides the SUV, Togg will<br />

manufacture four other models – a sedan, C-hatchback,<br />

B-SUV and B-MPV – by 2030. The sedan will follow the<br />

mass production of the SUV. The current production<br />

capacity of around 100,000 vehicles per year will reach<br />

175,000 once Togg’s factory in the northwestern Bursa<br />

province reaches total capacity. Meanwhile, a significant<br />

upswing is also expected in the sales of commercial<br />

electric vehicles over the next few years. The surge is<br />

poised to be fueled by improvements in incentives and<br />

the expansion of charging infrastructure. The initiation of<br />

Tesla’s investment in charging infrastructure in Türkiye is<br />

predicted to strengthen the outlook for electric vehicle<br />

sales by 2032.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

40


Automechanika Frankfurt receives positive feedback on<br />

focus topics transformation and sustainability<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Registrations for Automechanika Frankfurt 2024<br />

are already around 20 per cent above the level of<br />

the previous event one year before the start of the<br />

trade fair. The focus topics of transformation and<br />

sustainability have also been very well received by the<br />

industry: Leading players have already announced that<br />

they will be presenting corresponding products and<br />

solutions for the aftermarket and original equipment<br />

from 10 to 14 September 2024. New event formats will<br />

foster discussions and networking on important topics<br />

such as circular economy, electromobility, alternative<br />

fuels, sustainability, connectivity, AI in cars and for<br />

service.<br />

The transformation of the automotive industry will<br />

be omnipresent throughout the fringe programme<br />

of Automechanika Frankfurt. Exhibitors can choose<br />

from a range of different event formats. A brand<br />

new addition is the Sustainability Court in Hall 5,<br />

where car manufacturers, suppliers and players<br />

from the automotive aftermarket can present their<br />

sustainable solutions and discuss them on stage as<br />

well as in the nearby networking area. At the Future<br />

Mobility Park, trade visitors can live experience and<br />

test vehicles with alternative drive systems and<br />

innovative future solutions. The top-class expert forum<br />

‘Innovation4Mobility’ will take place in Hall 3 for the<br />

second time. Lectures and discussion panels will cover<br />

the entire cosmos of topics related to the fundamental<br />

changes in the mobility industry.<br />

The fact that the industry is currently joining forces will<br />

also be demonstrated by the first Sustainability Day in<br />

Bologna on 17 November <strong>2023</strong>, initiated by the Forum<br />

on <strong>Automotive</strong> Aftermarket Sustainability (FAAS). Frank<br />

Schlehuber, Senior Consultant Market Affairs, CLEPA<br />

- European Association of <strong>Automotive</strong> Suppliers,<br />

comments: “With FAAS, we are now reaching an<br />

important milestone. Launched as an initiative at<br />

Automechanika Frankfurt 2022, suppliers and the parts<br />

trade are bundling their activities in a newly founded<br />

non-profit international association that represents and<br />

supports the automotive aftermarket on the path to<br />

sustainable business processes. The Sustainability Day<br />

offers the opportunity to learn from experts and build<br />

long-term networks that will drive the industry forward<br />

in terms of sustainability in the coming years.”<br />

Philippe Colpron, Head of ZF Aftermarket, also<br />

emphasises the importance of international<br />

partnerships: “We must strike a balance between being<br />

42


locally rooted and globally connected. At the same<br />

time, we need to foster innovative partnerships to<br />

address the evolving landscape of Next Generation<br />

Mobility, characterized by CASES megatrends<br />

(Connected, Autonomous, Shared, Electrified,<br />

Sustainable). The aftermarket sector demands fresh<br />

business models, enhanced service concepts, and<br />

a deeper understanding of customer expectations.<br />

Our pursuit of Zero Emissions, Zero Accidents, and<br />

Zero Downtime for every kilometer driven, while also<br />

creating sustainable growth opportunities for the<br />

aftermarket, can only be realized through collaborative<br />

efforts with our partners, for today and tomorrow.”<br />

Numerous companies return to<br />

Frankfurt after many years<br />

Olaf Mußhoff, Show Director Automechanika<br />

Frankfurt, about the current planning status: “We are<br />

experiencing a lot of demand for stand enlargements<br />

and are especially pleased that some renowned<br />

companies are back on board after a longer break.”<br />

This includes Borsehung, Exedy, Marelli Aftermarket,<br />

Niterra, SKF, Sogefi and Trucktec in the parts and<br />

components product area, 3M, Axalta, PPG and<br />

Spanesi for body and paint, Sonax for the trend topic<br />

of detailing and Airbest Industry, Cormach, OMCN,<br />

Rabotti, Rotar Marchinery Industrial for workshop<br />

equipment.<br />

The response to Automechanika Shanghai, which<br />

will take place from 29 November to 2 <strong>December</strong><br />

<strong>2023</strong> at the National Exhibition and Convention<br />

Center, is also almost at pre-corona levels with<br />

5,600 registered exhibitors. Michael Johannes, Vice<br />

President Mobility & Logistics at Messe Frankfurt: “All<br />

ten Automechanika trade fairs in <strong>2023</strong> far exceeded<br />

our expectations. Automechanika Shanghai will soon<br />

be the grand finale. China plays a pioneering role<br />

in the automotive industry as a centre for research,<br />

development and production. This becomes clear just<br />

by looking at the topics of around 60 events that will<br />

take place during the four days of the trade fair.”<br />

Exhibitor statements on the upcoming<br />

Automechanika Frankfurt 2024<br />

“We see us as a driving force in the challenge of<br />

making the aftermarket fit for e-mobility. In doing so,<br />

we focus on our customers’ need for economical and<br />

future-proof repair solutions.”<br />

Jens Schüler, CEO Schaeffler <strong>Automotive</strong> Aftermarket<br />

“Together with our customers, we want to shape<br />

the sustainable transport of the future and continue<br />

to be a strong innovator in the commercial vehicle<br />

industry in the original equipment and aftermarket.<br />

At Automechanika, we will showcase our vision of a<br />

holistic aftermarket ecosystem for the first time with<br />

Cojali by our side.” Andreas Wimmer, Member of the<br />

Management Board of Knorr-Bremse Systeme für<br />

Nutzfahrzeuge GmbH<br />

“We are incorporating the technological changes,<br />

e.g. the electrification of automobiles, into our<br />

software solutions and offer real added value through<br />

telematics data, for example. For us, the essential<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

43


innovation lies in connecting all technologies and<br />

using artificial intelligence to simplify and accelerate<br />

processes.”<br />

Helmut Eifert, DAT Managing Director Innovations and<br />

International<br />

“In general, we believe that companies are increasingly<br />

better positioned as part of the transformation process.<br />

The extraordinary and volatile market situation in<br />

recent years has led to a rethink in the industry. With<br />

a new sustainability concept, we are helping repair<br />

businesses to operate profitably in the long term: with<br />

efficient processes, energy-saving products and digital<br />

tools, they can significantly increase their profitability<br />

and at the same time make a contribution to greater<br />

sustainability.”<br />

is based on the pillars of sustainability, design,<br />

functionality and user-friendliness. Together with them,<br />

we have implemented a unique product DNA in the<br />

wash industry that fulfils the needs of the operator and<br />

end user.”<br />

Marko Maricic, Head of International Sales, Otto Christ AG<br />

“The automotive industry has never stood still, but<br />

is changing at a rapid pace every year and we are<br />

keeping up with this change. Our tools are becoming<br />

lighter and we also offer innovative software solutions.<br />

We also aim not only to adapt to the latest materials<br />

and repair processes, but also to inspire and motivate<br />

the new generation of technicians.” Jürgen Braun,<br />

Sales/Technical Manager DACH Celette<br />

Jochen Kleemann, Director PPG Germany,<br />

Sales & Services GmbH<br />

“At Bosch, sustainability is deeply rooted in our<br />

corporate values and has not just recently become<br />

part of our day-to-day business. For more than 50<br />

years, Bosch <strong>Automotive</strong> Aftermarket has been<br />

offering circular products. By 2030, we will more than<br />

double our circular business in the aftermarket with<br />

remanufacturing, reuse, repair and recycling.” Peter<br />

Lukassen, Head of Operational Sustainability at Bosch<br />

“Our customers are the centre of our focus and are<br />

also the drivers of our innovation process, which<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

44


Ford Otosan unveils Yeniköy<br />

factory, bolsters Türkiye’s EV focus<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Ford Otosan, a joint venture of Türkiye’s conglomerate<br />

Koç Holding and the U.S. automotive giant Ford,<br />

opened its Yeniköy factory in northwestern Kocaeli with<br />

the participation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan<br />

following the redesigning and modernization process<br />

initiated with the support of authorities in 2021.<br />

Ford Otosan chair of the Board and Koç Holding<br />

deputy chair of the board of directors Ali Koç stated<br />

that the renewed factory will strengthen their position<br />

as Europe’s leading electric commercial vehicle<br />

manufacturer, Anadolu Agency (AA) reported.<br />

“However, our dreams for the future go far beyond<br />

these. Our Yeniköy factory will serve these dreams,”<br />

he said. Highlighting that they continue to invest in<br />

Türkiye’s future, Koç said, “As we enter the second<br />

century of the republic, we are placing our Yeniköy<br />

factory, which we call ‘the factory of the future,’ into<br />

service by enlarging it approximately fourfold and<br />

further modernizing it.”<br />

“The first step of this great happiness was taken at<br />

the meeting we held on March 16, 2021, again in the<br />

presence of our president, this time hosted by you<br />

(Erdoğan), you encouraged us with the support and<br />

encouragement of our state and we took the first step<br />

there,” Koç recalled.<br />

“In such an uncertain period, we announced our<br />

strategic investment of 2 billion euros ($2.14 billion),<br />

calling it ‘our vision for the future.’ This figure is the<br />

largest investment in the Turkish automotive industry,”<br />

he underscored.<br />

“It is also an ambitious vision project whose impact<br />

will last at least 10 years. On that day, we said, ‘As<br />

Europe’s commercial vehicle production leader<br />

and Türkiye’s export champion, we will also lead<br />

the electrification transformation of the automotive<br />

industry,’” Koç noted. The Kocaeli facility, located in<br />

the Gölcük district, is the largest commercial vehicle<br />

production hub for Ford in Europe.<br />

Wishing the plant, which employs 3,500 people, to<br />

be beneficial, Erdoğan on the other hand, said: “This<br />

facility, which is a reflection of the engineering and<br />

production power of the world brand Ford, deserves<br />

the title of the factory of the future with its pioneering<br />

features. It stands out with its production of both<br />

internal combustion and electric vehicles.”<br />

Emphasizing the factory’s potential, Erdoğan further<br />

said it would host the production of the new generation<br />

Transit Custom, as well as the electric Transit and<br />

Volkswagen’s 1-ton commercial vehicle.<br />

“I hope that the new version of Transit Custom,<br />

Europe’s bestselling van class vehicle, will be beneficial<br />

to its customers in our country and around the world.”<br />

“That we have elevated to the 13th place from the<br />

15th place in production in five years shows that we<br />

are advancing toward the right direction,” President<br />

Erdoğan said. “What is more, we have achieved<br />

this despite successive global crises. Last year, our<br />

automobile exports had a foreign trade surplus of over<br />

$9 million.”<br />

‘Growing interest in EVs’<br />

“We, as Türkiye, are determined to preserve our<br />

production and export potential, which we have<br />

obtained by swiftly adopting the technological<br />

transformations in the automobile production market.<br />

We attach special importance to the investments<br />

that will give us a say in electric and hybrid vehicle<br />

production, which is growing exponentially. As is the<br />

case in the entire world, there is a growing interest in<br />

electric vehicles in Türkiye as well,” Erdoğan noted.<br />

Stressing that 14 million electric vehicles are expected<br />

to be sold this year across the world, President<br />

Erdoğan added: “Apparently, with the new actors<br />

breaking into the market along with the already-present<br />

ones, the competition in this area will get increasingly<br />

fiercer.”<br />

“With the interest triggered by the Togg hitting the<br />

road, we march on the path to having a rapidly<br />

developing electric vehicle market. Our aim is to make<br />

our country one of the world’s leading actors in electric<br />

vehicle and battery production.”<br />

Highlighting the development in the electric vehicle<br />

sector, whose sales boomed this year, increasing<br />

approximately ninefold in the first 10 months of <strong>2023</strong><br />

when compared to last year, according to official data,<br />

Erdoğan said, “We, as a country that has already<br />

reached a production capacity of 70 gigabytes per<br />

hour in electric vehicle batteries, are determined to<br />

become the battery production hub of Europe.<br />

46


Türkiye’s energy landscape reshaping<br />

as renewables gain momentum<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Türkiye’s electricity installed capacity has increased<br />

by more than threefold in the past two decades, while<br />

renewable energy share has reached approximately<br />

55% of the existing installed capacity, Deputy Minister<br />

of Energy and Natural Resources Abdullah Tancan<br />

said.<br />

“Electricity installed capacity, which was 31,846<br />

megawatts (MW) in 2002, has increased 3.3 times to<br />

reach 105,135 MW by the end of July,” said Tancan at<br />

the opening of the 16th EIF Energy Congress and Fair<br />

held in the southern province of Gaziantep.<br />

Looking at electricity production, Tancan noted that<br />

electricity production had reached 326 billion kilowatts<br />

(kW) by the end of last year, and Türkiye ranks 5th in<br />

renewable energy installed capacity in Europe and 12th<br />

globally.<br />

He also highlighted the country’s position in equipment<br />

production, saying: “We are currently ranked 13th<br />

globally and 6th in Europe in equipment production.<br />

We have made significant progress in installed<br />

capacity and production of renewable sources over<br />

the past 21 years, with electricity installed capacity<br />

increasing 3.3 times from 31,846 megawatts in 2002 to<br />

105,135 megawatts by the end of July.”<br />

“We have increased the share of renewable energy in<br />

electricity production to 42%. Currently, our country<br />

has approximately 10,398 MW of solar installed<br />

capacity, with 10,169 solar energy production<br />

facilities,” he noted. Pointing out that<br />

there are significant goals regarding<br />

solar energy in the National Energy<br />

Plan, Tancan said: “By 2035, we aim<br />

to add an average of 3.5 gigawatts<br />

per year, with 52 gigawatts out of 189<br />

gigawatts of installed capacity being<br />

derived from solar energy sources.”<br />

“Solar energy will be one of the<br />

fundamental components of energy<br />

in the near future and will continue<br />

to grow. Additionally, producing local<br />

products has become important.<br />

In the fields of wind and solar,<br />

many equipment items are now<br />

being produced in Türkiye, with the<br />

localization rate of panels reaching<br />

up to 80%,” he added.<br />

Kutay Kaleli, head of the International<br />

Solar Energy Society (ISES) Türkiye Section<br />

(GÜNDER) for his part, noted that 150,000 people are<br />

directly employed in the solar energy sector, stating<br />

that panel factories with a production capacity<br />

of approximately 30,000 megawatts have been<br />

established in Türkiye.<br />

“With all the investments made in solar energy,<br />

we have become the 3rd largest panel-producing<br />

country in the world. We opened the 5th EVA factory,<br />

which is important in solar technology,” Kaleli said.<br />

Çiğdem Dilek, chairperson of the EIF Congress<br />

Executive Board, stated that recent technological<br />

developments have taken a more prominent place in<br />

Türkiye’s energy agenda.<br />

She emphasized that self-consumption and<br />

distributed energy are at the forefront of investors’<br />

agendas and said: “In Türkiye, legislation work on<br />

topics such as hydrogen and charging stations is on<br />

the agenda and progressing rapidly. We will continue<br />

to see new technological developments.”<br />

“If an energy picture of Türkiye were to be taken,<br />

sector representatives would need to come to EIF.<br />

By organizing these events in cities where investors<br />

and equipment productions are located, we produce<br />

new opportunities. That’s why we organized EIF<br />

in Gaziantep. We have also received invitations to<br />

organize this event from Malatya, Kahramanmaraş,<br />

Adıyaman and Şanlıurfa,” Dilek explained.<br />

48


Japan’s automakers unveil EV galore,<br />

vie for supremacy at Tokyo show<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

“We love battery EVs,” said the executive in charge of<br />

electric vehicles at Toyota Takero Kato not once, but<br />

twice, to underscore what he considers the message at<br />

this year’s Tokyo auto show.<br />

It’s a message ringing clear at the Tokyo Mobility Show,<br />

which will run through Nov. 5 at Tokyo Big Sight Hall,<br />

where battery-powered electric vehicles are the star at<br />

practically every booth.<br />

Mazda Motor Corp. is highlighting a sportscar concept<br />

that is a plug-in EV packed with its signature rotary<br />

engine. Honda Motor Co. is showing off its Prelude<br />

sportscar EV concept. Toyota Motor Corp.’s lean<br />

angular Lexus concept, set to sell in 2026, is an electric<br />

vehicle running on lithium-ion batteries.<br />

Journalists got a preview ahead of the show’s public<br />

opening.<br />

U.S. automakers like General Motors Co. and Ford<br />

Motor Co. aren’t exhibiting at the show and have not<br />

taken part for some years. The Americans make up a<br />

very tiny fraction of Japanese auto sales and have had<br />

a hard time cracking a market where domestic makers<br />

remain powerful.<br />

Among the foreign makers taking part are Mercedes-<br />

Benz, a perennial Japanese favorite and China’s BYD.<br />

Kato denied he repeated his words because he is<br />

worried Toyota isn’t perceived as loving EVs enough.<br />

Toyota executives have acknowledged that Japan’s top<br />

automaker has fallen behind rivals in EV development<br />

like Tesla of the U.S. and China’s BYD Auto. That is<br />

partly because of Toyota’s past success in hybrids,<br />

exemplified in the Prius, which has a gasoline engine<br />

and an electric motor.<br />

Toyota already sells a tiny two-seater called C+pod<br />

and the bZ4X, co-developed with group company<br />

Subaru, as electric offerings, but not much else. And it<br />

is eager to play catchup.<br />

As the first serious EV from Toyota, the Lexus LF-ZC<br />

will serve as a true test for how Toyota fares in a sector<br />

that still comprises a minority of the global market but<br />

is growing quickly, given priorities like climate change.<br />

In Japan, EVs make up less than 5% of the auto<br />

market, according to the International Energy Agency<br />

(IEA). In the U.S., where Tesla dominates, EVs account<br />

for just under 10% of auto sales, although President<br />

Joe Biden is pushing for requiring at least 54% of new<br />

vehicles sold in the U.S. to be electric by 2030. In<br />

China, a third of vehicles sold are EVs.<br />

Tesla’s global vehicle deliveries last year grew 40%<br />

from the previous year to 1.31 million EVs. BYD sold<br />

more than 1.85 million electric cars, including plug-ins.<br />

52


<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Toyota, meanwhile, sold fewer than 25,000 EVs<br />

worldwide last year, although in the first eight months<br />

of this year, it sold 65,000, mostly outside Japan.<br />

Toyota is targeting sales of 1.5 million EVs a year by<br />

2026 and 3.5 million by 2030.<br />

“We are looking toward an electrified future that we<br />

hope to build together with our customers,” Kato said.<br />

Catching up is challenging but not impossible, said<br />

Joshua Cobb, senior automobiles analyst at BMI.<br />

“Over the short term, we see Chinese EVs from brands<br />

such as BYD, SAIC-GM-Wuling and Tesla-branded<br />

EVs will continue to gain market share as there is little<br />

competition at the moment,” he said.<br />

But, Cobb added, “One thing not to underestimate is<br />

the strong brand loyalty in Japan.” He said Japanese<br />

consumers may hold off on EV purchases until more<br />

domestic models hit the market.<br />

Nissan, an early EV maker among the Japanese with<br />

its Leaf going on sale in 2010, is showcasing four EV<br />

concept cars. Among them is the Hyper Tourer minivan<br />

concept that Nissan says has advanced technologies<br />

like autonomous driving. It runs on high-energy-density<br />

solid-state batteries. Senior Vice President Alfonso<br />

Albaisa said Nissan is focusing on virtual reality and<br />

other breakthroughs that allow vehicle designers to<br />

shorten model development time.<br />

“At Nissan, we have been racing forward with our<br />

dramatic digital shift just as other industries, like<br />

gaming,” Albaisa said.<br />

Manufacturers also note that EV technology is<br />

changing how a vehicle drives.<br />

Batteries and a motor for an EV generally take up less<br />

space than a gas combustion engine. That means<br />

EVs can have a lower center of gravity while offering<br />

more cabin space, making it a nifty powertrain for<br />

sportscars, vans, pickups and SUVs.<br />

In Nissan and elsewhere, a key issue for EVs is battery<br />

charge time and driving range. While all the world’s<br />

major automakers are working to shorten charge time<br />

and lengthen cruise time per charge, the U.S. startup<br />

Ample has developed a different solution – battery<br />

swapping. Instead of charging the battery in the car,<br />

a module containing the battery is taken out and<br />

replaced by a fully charged battery at a drive-in facility<br />

built especially for the procedure. The swap, done by<br />

robots, takes just five minutes.<br />

The approach is already being used by Uber drivers<br />

in the San Francisco area. Ample’s battery-swapping<br />

arrives in Japan this winter through a partnership with<br />

Mitsubishi Fuso, a Daimler group truck company. The<br />

swapping is being demonstrated at Mitsubishi Fuso’s<br />

booth. De Souza said another attraction of battery<br />

swapping is its greenness. A battery can be charged<br />

flexibly, using renewable energy at times of the day<br />

with low demand for power, he said.<br />

“We decided what worked really well about gas is<br />

that you stop for a few minutes,” said John de Souza,<br />

Ample’s president and founder.<br />

54


World Bank provides financing<br />

for greening of Turkish firms<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

The World Bank Board has approved a $155 million<br />

loan for the greening of firms through equity financing,<br />

and mobilized private capital and expanded climate<br />

financing in Türkiye’s capital markets.<br />

The funds will be channeled by the Industrial<br />

Development Bank of Türkiye (TSKB), which will use<br />

them to partially capitalize a Türkiye Green Fund (TGF),<br />

the World Bank said in a statement.<br />

The TGF will provide equity financing to green and<br />

greening companies. It will be managed by Maxis<br />

Private Equity Portfolio Management, one of Türkiye’s<br />

largest asset management companies and a Project<br />

Implementing Entity under the project.<br />

The project’s total size is expected to reach $405<br />

million by mobilizing private capital in the amount of a<br />

combined $250 million at the fund level and investee<br />

level, in addition to the World Bank loan, according to<br />

the statement.<br />

The project aims to support firms’ decarbonization<br />

and investments in green technologies, development<br />

of the Private Equity industry through a demonstration<br />

green fund, financial sector diversification and<br />

development of firms’ access to diversified sources of<br />

long-term finance, lowering high corporate leverage,<br />

and accelerate financing for the green transition and<br />

enhanced climate action.<br />

For Türkiye to reach its intended green objectives,<br />

firms need to decarbonize, the statement said.<br />

56


China to curb exports of graphite<br />

citing national security concerns<br />

China will demand export permits for some graphite<br />

products to safeguard national security, its commerce<br />

ministry said, in its latest move to control supplies<br />

of critical minerals in response to hurdles over its<br />

manufacturing dominance.<br />

China is the world’s top graphite producer and<br />

exporter and also refines over 90% of the world’s<br />

graphite into the material that is used in virtually all<br />

EV battery anodes, which is the negatively charged<br />

portion of a battery.<br />

Beijing is requiring export permits when many foreign<br />

governments are increasing their pressure on Chinese<br />

companies over their industrial practices.<br />

The European Union is weighing levying tariffs on<br />

Chinese-made EVs, arguing they unfairly benefit from<br />

subsidies. Also, the U.S. government widened curbs<br />

on Chinese companies’ access to semiconductors,<br />

including stopping sales of more advanced artificial<br />

intelligence chips made by Nvidia.<br />

The ministry said the move was “conducive to<br />

ensuring the security and stability of the global supply<br />

chain and industrial chain and conducive to better<br />

safeguarding national security and interests.”<br />

It added that it was not targeting any specific country.<br />

Top buyers of graphite from China include Japan, the<br />

United States, India and South Korea, according to<br />

Chinese customs data.<br />

Under the new restrictions, China will require as of<br />

Dec. 1 that exporters apply for permits to ship two<br />

types of graphite, including high-purity, high-hardness<br />

and high-intensity synthetic graphite material, and<br />

natural flake graphite and its products.<br />

Three types of “highly sensitive” graphite items had<br />

already been under temporary controls, the commerce<br />

ministry said, and are included in the new list.<br />

Meanwhile, it dropped temporary controls on five less<br />

sensitive graphite items used in basic industries such<br />

as steel, metallurgy, and chemicals.<br />

The new measures will ensure the domestic supply<br />

of graphite for military use, such as in the aerospace<br />

sector, as well as domestic battery-making, said<br />

Chang Ke, an analyst at consultancy Mysteel.<br />

With rising sales of electric vehicles, automakers are<br />

racing to lock in supplies from outside China, but<br />

shortages are looming.<br />

“It’s a restriction on EV material flowing out as many<br />

new energy companies are increasingly building up<br />

more plants overseas,” Chang said.<br />

Shares in China’s new energy vehicle and battery<br />

makers rose after the announcement.<br />

The curbs are similar to those in place since Aug. 1<br />

for two chip-making metals, gallium and germanium.<br />

The restrictions have slashed exports of those metals<br />

from China recently and pushed up prices outside of<br />

the country. Analysts said it was not clear how much<br />

impact the new measures on graphite would have in<br />

the short term.<br />

“This control is not a complete ban, and there has<br />

been no significant impact on any industry during the<br />

previous temporary control,” said Ivan Lam, a senior<br />

analyst at Counterpoint Research.<br />

Prices for natural flake graphite were 3,950 yuan<br />

($539.62) a metric ton, down 25.5% from the<br />

beginning of this year because of declining demand<br />

from the EV sector, according to Mysteel.<br />

However, Counterpoint’s Lam said that graphite prices<br />

are likely to rise.<br />

“We believe that the average price of graphite will<br />

continue to rise in the future due to supply and<br />

demand imbalances, including Russia, which was<br />

one of the major graphite suppliers before the Russia-<br />

Ukraine war,” he said.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

58


Turkish defense industry ‘will move forward’<br />

The defense industry is the leading sector of the<br />

national technology movement, Industry and<br />

Technology Minister Fatih Kacır has said, adding that<br />

the sector will be in a much better position than today<br />

in the future.<br />

“Türkiye is a country that has been fighting terrorism<br />

for nearly 40 years and unfortunately has not been able<br />

to see its allies from time to time in this fight and has<br />

not been able to find the opportunity to access the<br />

defense industry systems it needs from time to time,<br />

despite paying for them,” Kacır said on Nov. 8 during<br />

talks on his ministry’s 2024 budget in a parliamentary<br />

commission.<br />

“This has led Türkiye, especially in the last 20 years, to<br />

develop all of its critical platforms, including air, land,<br />

naval and space systems, domestically and nationally<br />

in the defense industry to meet its own needs,” he<br />

added. Noting that the first flight of the national fighter<br />

is expected to take place by the end of <strong>2023</strong>, Kacır<br />

said that the performance tests of the Hürjet project<br />

will continue.<br />

“The Atak helicopter, our national helicopter, is in<br />

service,” he added.<br />

“Let us make it very clear, we will not retreat even<br />

one inch from these projects, on the contrary, we will<br />

develop these projects much further than today for the<br />

peace, welfare and security of 85 million citizens living<br />

in Türkiye, for our independence and our future.”<br />

Kacır also noted that the brain drain abroad has<br />

improved.<br />

“According to the brain drain statistics referred to<br />

by the World Bank, in the ranking of 179 countries in<br />

<strong>2023</strong>, our country has improved 21 places in the last<br />

six years, from 112 to 134,” the minister said.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

60


Chinese brands increasing share in Turkish auto market<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

Chinese carmakers are fast increasing their share in the<br />

Turkish market, but subsidies the Chinese companies<br />

receive from their government may lead to unfair<br />

competition, warns Baran Çelik, the board chair of the<br />

Uludağ <strong>Automotive</strong> Industry Exporters’ Association<br />

(OİB). Chinese companies are aiming to consolidate<br />

their positions in the auto markets with the help of the<br />

large subsidies they enjoy, Çelik said.<br />

“They have a destructive approach in competition,<br />

such as weakening competitors and ensuring that they<br />

are eliminated from the market. This may turn into an<br />

unfair competition in the future.”<br />

Türkiye should use all its rights regarding customs<br />

investigations provided by the World Trade<br />

Organization, according to Çelik. In the whole of 2022,<br />

only 3,456 Chinese-made cars were sold in Türkiye,<br />

but in the January-October period of this year, a total<br />

of 43,562 Chinese cars were sold. They appeal to local<br />

consumers because they are affordable and highquality<br />

cars. However, governments and domestic<br />

manufacturers are cautious about the risks that may<br />

arise in the foreign trade balance and the competition<br />

in the market. The prices of those vehicles will not<br />

remain at the same level once those companies gain<br />

certain market power, Çelik said.<br />

“Although it may seem like an advantage for<br />

consumers in the short term, in the long term, after<br />

they gain a market share, there may come a time when<br />

unfair competition begins.”<br />

The only way to prevent this is to break the power<br />

subsidized by tariffs, Çelik argued.<br />

The automotive industry, which has been Türkiye’s<br />

largest exporting industry for the past 15 years, had<br />

been posting a foreign trade plus. But this is about to<br />

change in <strong>2023</strong>.<br />

“The auto industry’s annual export revenues are over<br />

$30 billion. This year, we may post a foreign trade<br />

deficit of around $1 billion to $2 billion,” Çelik said,<br />

warning that the deficit may further increase to $3.5<br />

billion to $4 billion in the future. The biggest reason<br />

for this is the decrease in the share of domestic<br />

automobiles in sales, according to Çelik.<br />

“We started selling less of what we produced to the<br />

domestic market. On the other hand, the number<br />

of vehicles we imported in the upper segment also<br />

increased. Especially electric vehicles disrupt our<br />

foreign trade balance,” Çelik said. In order to maintain<br />

the balance in foreign trade, “we need to produce and<br />

export electric vehicles,” he added. Electric vehicle<br />

sales skyrocketed to 890 percent in the January-<br />

October period from a year ago to 48,883, according to<br />

the data from the <strong>Automotive</strong> Distributors’ and Mobility<br />

Association (ODMD). Electric vehicles accounted for<br />

6.5 percent of all vehicle sales in the first 10 months.<br />

64


Time has come for Central Bank<br />

digital currencies to prove their worth<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

The European Central Bank’s (ECB) milestone step<br />

toward introducing a digital euro in the coming years<br />

signifies a crucial moment for the newest incarnation<br />

of money to demonstrate its value and relevance in the<br />

evolving financial landscape.<br />

A few countries have introduced central bank digital<br />

currencies (CBDCs). China is trialing a prototype yuan<br />

with 200 million users, India is gearing up for a pilot,<br />

and some 130 countries representing 98% of the<br />

global economy are exploring digital cash.<br />

The ECB’s move to establish a pilot that could lead<br />

to a digital currency for the 20 countries that use the<br />

common currency, making it the first heavyweight<br />

Western central bank to forge ahead formally, could<br />

become a global blueprint.<br />

Supporters say CBDCs will modernize payments with<br />

new functionality and provide an alternative to physical<br />

cash, which seems to be in terminal decline.<br />

But questions remain about why CBDCs represent an<br />

advance, with uptake low in countries such as Nigeria<br />

that have adopted them, as well as protests against the<br />

ECB’s plans, showing public concern about snooping.<br />

Commercial bankers fret about the costs and possible<br />

deposit bleeds as customers could move money into<br />

central bank accounts, while developing countries<br />

worry that an easily accessible digital dollar, euro, or<br />

yuan could cause havoc in their systems.<br />

’What is money?’<br />

The ECB’s plan “is a very big deal, and a lot of the rest<br />

of the world is watching this closely,” said Josh Lipsky,<br />

who runs a global CBDC tracker at the Atlantic Council.<br />

“It is one of the biggest central banks, so if it comes up<br />

with answers to the privacy and cybersecurity issues<br />

and the ability to use it offline, it will be very influential.”<br />

Five years ago, central banks were spooked into<br />

action when Facebook floated plans for a breakaway<br />

currency. Now, though, policymakers have yet to<br />

persuade many why CBDCs are needed fully.<br />

Fabio Panetta, the ECB Executive Board member<br />

overseeing the bank’s digital euro work, said it would<br />

help “future-proof” the currency and reduce what he<br />

called an over-reliance on the payment systems of<br />

U.S.-based credit cards.<br />

But experts are scratching their heads.<br />

“It’s not yet clear what the thing is that could be done<br />

with a retail CBDC that couldn’t also be replicated with<br />

commercial bank money,” said Barclays’ managing<br />

director of advanced technologies, Lee Braine, who<br />

has been involved in some of the Bank of England’s<br />

digital pound projects. “You are potentially breaking<br />

some of the singleness of money,” he said, flagging<br />

the risk of a two-tier system if CBDCs are allowed<br />

different functionality or data disclosure rules than<br />

bank accounts.<br />

“This all comes down to, what is money?”<br />

Defining a global standard<br />

A key unknown is whether the U.S. Federal Reserve or<br />

Bank of Japan will launch retail CBDCs.<br />

India could be a more effective test environment than<br />

China because, while each Asian giant has more than 1<br />

billion people, India has a far more open economy.<br />

In contrast, Canada and others appear to be tapping<br />

the brakes, while most of those already using CBDCs<br />

are seeing very little interest.<br />

Data this month from the Bahamas, which launched<br />

the world’s first digital currency in 2020, showed<br />

personal transactions of its SandDollar were down<br />

11% in the first seven months of the year while wallet<br />

top-ups had plunged fourfold.<br />

A May International Monetary Fund (IMF) paper<br />

described public adoption of Nigeria’s eNaira as<br />

“disappointingly low,” with 98.5% of wallets never even<br />

used.<br />

“The current adoption level of eNaira has been<br />

reflective of the early stage of CBDC awareness,”<br />

the country’s central bank said in a written response<br />

to questions, adding it had been “consistent” with<br />

expectations.<br />

66


Türkiye looking into Russia’s road map for gas hub<br />

Russia has prepared a road map for the proposed gas<br />

hub and submitted it to Türkiye, Deputy Prime Minister<br />

Alexander Novak said, also stressing Azerbaijan’s<br />

intention to join the initiative.<br />

The Kremlin last October floated the idea of producing<br />

a major gas-trading hub in Türkiye as Moscow worked<br />

to reroute its energy exports after European countries<br />

sharply cut their imports from Russia in response to its<br />

actions in Ukraine.<br />

The plan followed unexplained explosions that<br />

damaged Nord Stream gas pipelines linking Russia<br />

with Germany under the Baltic Sea.<br />

The project has garnered significant attention from<br />

both Türkiye and Russia, with other nations expressing<br />

interest as well, according to Novak.<br />

“This project has attracted intense interest from both<br />

Türkiye and Russia. Additionally, there are other<br />

potential participants. For instance, Azerbaijan is also<br />

prepared to be part of the project,” he told Anadolu<br />

Agency (AA) on the sideline of the Russian Energy<br />

Week in Moscow.<br />

He also highlighted the potential for further<br />

international collaboration.<br />

“We believe that other countries can also participate<br />

as gas suppliers. Establishing an electronic trading<br />

platform would be suitable, especially for Europe and<br />

Southeast Europe, to determine gas prices based on<br />

the volumes to be sold there,” he noted.<br />

The project envisages the setting up of an electronic<br />

platform for gas sales in Türkiye.<br />

Novak underscored the ongoing efforts in the<br />

establishment of the gas center and said a draft of the<br />

project has been prepared and is being considered by<br />

Türkiye.<br />

“This project is being discussed now, a roadmap has<br />

been drafted and it has been submitted to Turkish<br />

partners. They are studying it now. As soon as it is<br />

signed it will be implemented as planned,” he told an<br />

interview with RT Arabic.<br />

“A road map has been prepared in collaboration with<br />

Gazprom and BOTAŞ, and adjustments are being<br />

made,” he noted, stressing hopes the project would<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

68


e signed in the near future, paving the way for its<br />

implementation.<br />

Putin also echoed the aim to expand energy<br />

cooperation and the realization of a natural gas hub<br />

project with Türkiye during his speech at the Russian<br />

Energy Week.<br />

Also speaking on the sidelines of the event, Turkish<br />

Energy and Natural Resources Minister Alparslan<br />

Bayraktar said discussions regarding the project were<br />

taking place with Russian energy giant Gazprom, and<br />

stressed collaboration with Russia on various energyrelated<br />

fields will continue.<br />

Türkiye already serves as a major transit country for<br />

Russian gas, which is being shipped through the<br />

Black Sea via two pipelines. The Blue Stream and the<br />

Turkstream boast a combined capacity of almost 48<br />

billion cubic meters (bcm) per year.<br />

Novak said Russia and Türkiye have a history of<br />

successful cooperation in the energy sector.<br />

He credited the success of these projects to the<br />

agreements reached between President Recep Tayyip<br />

Erdoğan and Russian President Vladimir Putin.<br />

“Gazprom and BOTAŞ are jointly implementing these<br />

projects, and the pipelines are operating successfully.<br />

Deliveries are being carried out seamlessly in line with<br />

the design capacity. Therefore, I believe successful<br />

collaborations have been conducted in the energy<br />

sector, particularly in the natural gas industry.”<br />

The implementation of the gas hub project aiming<br />

at redirecting supplies and exporting them to the<br />

European market was delayed after devastating<br />

earthquakes jolted southeastern Türkiye in early<br />

February, causing widespread destruction across<br />

the region. Türkiye, a NATO member state that has<br />

maintained relations with both Russia and Ukraine,<br />

currently imports almost all its gas needs and<br />

has extensive liquefied natural gas (LNG) import<br />

infrastructure. Ankara believes it can leverage its<br />

existing and new trade relations to become a gas hub.<br />

Maximizing trade hub project<br />

Bayraktar said Türkiye wants to establish a more<br />

extensive trade hub in which not only natural gas but<br />

also electricity and minerals are exchanged.<br />

To achieve this, he explained that Türkiye wants<br />

to establish a larger trade center for natural gas,<br />

electricity and minerals at the Istanbul Financial Center.<br />

He called on other countries to endorse this aim to<br />

ensure secure energy supplies.<br />

Bayraktar explained that the bilateral energy<br />

cooperation between Türkiye and Russia is not limited<br />

to natural gas but encompasses nuclear power, oil, oil<br />

products and coal.<br />

“Russian companies and Russia have a great track<br />

record of being a trustworthy supplier to Türkiye,”<br />

Bayraktar said, referring to the almost 40-year history<br />

of economic collaboration, particularly in natural gas.<br />

“Türkiye also plays a significant role in Russia’s efforts<br />

to develop a stable and expanding market and,<br />

hence, the ongoing, long-term collaboration between<br />

us,” Bayraktar told. Bilateral energy cooperation<br />

has extended to nuclear power and to the Turkish-<br />

Russian collaboration to build Türkiye’s first nuclear<br />

power plant, the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant, which<br />

Bayraktar said was one of the largest among the<br />

nuclear plants currently under construction. In April,<br />

nuclear fuel was delivered to the Akkuyu site, granting<br />

it international nuclear facility status, Bayraktar<br />

explained, adding that “now, we are awaiting the day<br />

when we will produce electricity from the first reactor.<br />

<strong>December</strong> <strong>2023</strong><br />

70

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