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Part II: The Regulatory Framework for Climate-related Geo<strong>en</strong>gineering Relevant to the Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Biological Diversity<br />

2.4 PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE OR APPROACH<br />

There is no uniform formulation or usage for the precautionary principle or approach,48 and i<strong>ts</strong> legal status in<br />

customary international law has not yet be<strong>en</strong> clearly established,49, 50, 51 although it has be<strong>en</strong> invoked several times.52<br />

Under the Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Biological Diversity, the precautionary approach is introduced in the preamble, where<br />

it is noted that “where there is a threat of significant reduction or loss of biological diversity, lack of full sci<strong>en</strong>tific<br />

certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to avoid or minimize such a threat”. The decisions<br />

of the Confer<strong>en</strong>ce of the Parties to the Conv<strong>en</strong>tion have frequ<strong>en</strong>tly be<strong>en</strong> based on and stressed the importance of<br />

the precautionary approach,53 including in decision X/33, which addresses geo<strong>en</strong>gineering (see section 3.1 below<br />

on CBD). Under the London Protocol, article 3.1 requires the application of the precautionary approach.<br />

Another legal formulation in the operative part of a treaty text with near universal application is Article 3(3) of<br />

the United Nations Framework Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Climate Change (UNFCCC).54 Almost all States have ratified the<br />

UNFCCC,55 including the US.56 While this r<strong>en</strong>ders the question of the precautionary principle/approach’s legal<br />

status in customary law less relevant, the precise consequ<strong>en</strong>ces remain unclear.<br />

On the one hand, while all propon<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> of geo<strong>en</strong>gineering stress that it is no substitute for reducing emissions, they<br />

would argue that it would contribute to fighting climate change:57 extracting carbon dioxide from the atmosphere<br />

reduces gre<strong>en</strong>house gases, and solar radiation managem<strong>en</strong>t has the pot<strong>en</strong>tial to limit temperature increases. On<br />

this basis, it might be argued that lack of full sci<strong>en</strong>tific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing<br />

geo<strong>en</strong>gineering, provided that there are threa<strong>ts</strong> of serious or irreversible damage. Geo<strong>en</strong>gineering propon<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong><br />

would argue that such threa<strong>ts</strong> exist, in view of the slow progress in reducing global emissions at source and the<br />

short time remaining during which emission tr<strong>en</strong>ds need to be reversed (peak).<br />

On the other hand, faced with this same sc<strong>en</strong>ario, it may be argued that the precautionary approach would imply<br />

following the less risky action of implem<strong>en</strong>ting emission reductions. In fact, at the time it was drafted, Article<br />

3(3) of UNFCCC was g<strong>en</strong>erally viewed as having the int<strong>en</strong>tion of postponing mitigation measures by referring to<br />

sci<strong>en</strong>tific uncertainty about climate change. In this context, an interpretation in support of geo<strong>en</strong>gineering would<br />

48 Cf. Principle 15 of the Rio Declaration; Article 3.3 of UNFCCC; Article 3 of the London Protocol; CBD Preamble; Birnie et al. (2009),<br />

p. 160.<br />

49 Cf. Virgoe, J. (2009), p. 111; UK House of Commons Sci<strong>en</strong>ce and Technology Committee (2010), paras. 85–86. Güssow et al. (2009),<br />

p. 15, acknowledge a “considerable degree of unclarity (sic) as to i<strong>ts</strong> normative cont<strong>en</strong>t and validity”, but apply Principle 15 of the Rio<br />

Declaration without further analysis as to legal status.<br />

50 Cf. Article 11 of the 1982 World Charter for Nature and article 6 of the 2000 Earth Charter.<br />

51 See g<strong>en</strong>erally Birnie et al. (2009), p. 152 ff.; UK House of Commons Sci<strong>en</strong>ce and Technology Committee (2010), para. 86. On the basis<br />

of the heading “principles” in Article 3.3 of UNFCCC, the pres<strong>en</strong>t study uses the term “precautionary principle” without prejudice to<br />

this debate.<br />

52 In i<strong>ts</strong> judgm<strong>en</strong>t on the Pulp mills on the river Uruguay case, the ICJ considered that a precautionary approach may be relevant in<br />

the interpretation and application of the provisions the treaty in question, but it rejected Arg<strong>en</strong>tina’s argum<strong>en</strong>t that it operates as<br />

a reversal of the burd<strong>en</strong> of proof: cf. Memorial of Arg<strong>en</strong>tina of 15 January 2007, paras. 3.194-3.197 and 5.15. and the judgm<strong>en</strong>t,<br />

para. 164. (All docum<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> available at www.icj-cij.org.) See also diss<strong>en</strong>ting opinions of Judges Weeramantry and Palmer in the ICJ<br />

cases Nuclear Tes<strong>ts</strong> II, paras. 342 and 412; diss<strong>en</strong>ting opinion of Judge Weeramantry in the Nuclear Weapons opinion, para. II.10.e; see<br />

also WTO Appellate Body, EC Measures Concerning Meat and Meat Produc<strong>ts</strong> (Hormones), paras. 16 and 120–125; ITLOS Case No.17,<br />

“Responsibilities and obligations of States sponsoring persons and <strong>en</strong>tities with respect to activities in the Area (Request for Advisory<br />

Opinion submitted to the Seabed Disputes Chamber)”, http://www.itlos.org; separate opinion of Judge Wolfrum in the ITLOS Case<br />

No. 10, The MOX Plant Case (Ireland v. United Kingdom), Provisional Measures (www.itlos.org); see also Marr (2000).<br />

53 See for instance CBD decisions IV/10 para. 1; V/3 para. 5; VI/7 annex I, paras. 24 and 31; VI/26 annex, para. 1(e); VII/5 annex I,<br />

app<strong>en</strong>dix 3, para. 2; VII/11 principle 6, guideline 6.2; VII/14, paras. 54 and 75.<br />

54 United Nations Framework Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Climate Change, of 9 May 1992, 31 ILM 849 (1992), in force 1994.<br />

55 Curr<strong>en</strong>tly 194 Parties, http://unfccc.int/parties_and_observers/parties/items/2352.php.<br />

56 The US is one of the major emitters and pot<strong>en</strong>tial geo<strong>en</strong>gineering States but is not Party to the Kyoto Protocol.<br />

57 All propon<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> of geo<strong>en</strong>gineering acknowledge and stress that it does not reduce anthropog<strong>en</strong>ic CO 2 emissions levels.<br />

119

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