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Part I: Impac<strong>ts</strong> of Climate-related Geo<strong>en</strong>gineering on Biological Diversity<br />

The guidelines developed under Article 14 provide useful elem<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> that can inform analysis of the impac<strong>ts</strong> of<br />

geo<strong>en</strong>gineering on biodiversity, both at the level of specific activities and at the level of broader assessm<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong>. The<br />

assessm<strong>en</strong>t frameworks of other bodies may also be relevant; e.g., as developed by the London Conv<strong>en</strong>tion/London<br />

Protocol, and the more g<strong>en</strong>eral requirem<strong>en</strong>t of Article 206 of the UN Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Law of the Sea (UNCLOS)<br />

requiring States to assess the pot<strong>en</strong>tial effec<strong>ts</strong> of activities taking place at sea. Giv<strong>en</strong> the broad scope of the pres<strong>en</strong>t<br />

study, the CBD guidelines for strategic <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>tal assessm<strong>en</strong>t would seem particularly useful. Those guidelines<br />

recomm<strong>en</strong>d consideration of the following:<br />

i) How the proposed techniques are expected to impact on the various compon<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> and levels of<br />

biodiversity and across ecosystem types, and the implications for ecosystem services, and for the people<br />

who dep<strong>en</strong>d on such services;<br />

ii) How the proposed techniques are expected to affect the key direct and indirect drivers of biodiversity<br />

change.<br />

Where such information is available, Chapters 3, 4 and 5 provide an assessm<strong>en</strong>t of how specific geo<strong>en</strong>gineering<br />

techniques might affect the various compon<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> of biodiversity for a range of ecosystems, and the implications of<br />

those impac<strong>ts</strong> for ecosystem services. However, in many cases, detailed information is lacking, particularly with<br />

regard to pot<strong>en</strong>tial impac<strong>ts</strong> on biodiversity at the g<strong>en</strong>etic level.<br />

At a global scale, the largest driver of terrestrial biodiversity loss has be<strong>en</strong>, and continues to be, land use change.<br />

In the ocean, over-exploitation has also be<strong>en</strong> a major cause of biodiversity loss and food-web perturbations. Such<br />

changes, on land and in the ocean, can have climatic implications, through effec<strong>ts</strong> on gre<strong>en</strong>house gases fluxes, and<br />

climate change i<strong>ts</strong>elf is rapidly increasing in importance as a driver of biodiversity loss. However, the importance<br />

of differ<strong>en</strong>t drivers of loss varies among ecosystems and from region to region.9, 10 An overview of the pot<strong>en</strong>tial<br />

impac<strong>ts</strong> of geo<strong>en</strong>gineering and of alternative actions on the drivers of biodiversity loss is provided in Chapter 7.<br />

The CBD guidelines on impac<strong>ts</strong> assessm<strong>en</strong>t also highlight, as key principles, stakeholder involvem<strong>en</strong>t, transpar<strong>en</strong>cy<br />

and good quality information.<br />

Since good quality information on many aspec<strong>ts</strong> of geo<strong>en</strong>gineering is still very limited (and may not be readily<br />

available to all stakeholders),11 this study should be regarded as a first step in assessing i<strong>ts</strong> pot<strong>en</strong>tial impac<strong>ts</strong> on<br />

biodiversity. Key knowledge gaps include: i) the overall effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess of many of the geo<strong>en</strong>gineering techniques,<br />

based on realistic estimates of their scalability; ii) how the proposed techniques affect weather and climate regionally<br />

and globally; iii) how biodiversity, ecosystems and their services might respond to geo-<strong>en</strong>gineered changes in<br />

climate; iv) the unint<strong>en</strong>ded effec<strong>ts</strong> of geo<strong>en</strong>gineering on biodiversity; and v) the social and economic implications<br />

of deliberate climate manipulations, in the context of changes to biodiversity and ecosystem services.<br />

With a view to <strong>en</strong>couraging involvem<strong>en</strong>t of stakeholders, a number of consultations have be<strong>en</strong> held12 and draf<strong>ts</strong> of<br />

this report were made available for two rounds of peer review. It is nevertheless recognized that the opportunities for<br />

full and effective participation of stakeholders have be<strong>en</strong> limited. To some ext<strong>en</strong>t, this is an inevitable consequ<strong>en</strong>ce<br />

of the relative novelty of the issues under discussion. Some indig<strong>en</strong>ous and local communities and stakeholder<br />

9 Mill<strong>en</strong>nium Ecosystem Assessm<strong>en</strong>t (2005a).<br />

10 Secretariat of the Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Biological Diversity (2010).<br />

11 The number of sci<strong>en</strong>tific publications relating to geoe<strong>en</strong>gineering is curr<strong>en</strong>tly increasing at a rapid rate, with associated increases in<br />

information accessibility. Nevertheless, it is recognised that much of the relevant literature may not be readily available to everyone<br />

with interes<strong>ts</strong>.<br />

12 Consultations have involved: 1) Mini-workshop on biodiversity and climate-related geo<strong>en</strong>gineering, 10 June 2011, Bonn, Germany;<br />

2) Liaison Group Meeting on Climate-Related Geo<strong>en</strong>gineering as it relates to the Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Biological Diversity, 29 June–1<br />

July, 2011, London, UK; 3) Informal Dialogue with Indig<strong>en</strong>ous Peoples and Local Communities on Biodiversity Aspec<strong>ts</strong> of<br />

Geo-<strong>en</strong>gineering the Climate; side ev<strong>en</strong>t during the Sev<strong>en</strong>th Meeting of the Ad Hoc Op<strong>en</strong>-<strong>en</strong>ded Working Group on Article 8(j)<br />

and Related Provisions, 2 November 2011, Montreal, Canada; and 4) Consultation on Climate-related Geo-<strong>en</strong>gineering relevant to<br />

the Conv<strong>en</strong>tion on Biological Diversity; side ev<strong>en</strong>t during the fifte<strong>en</strong>th meeting of the Subsidiary Body on Sci<strong>en</strong>tific, Technical and<br />

Technological Advice (SBSTTA 15), 9 November 2011, Montreal, Canada.<br />

19

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