cbd-ts-66-en
cbd-ts-66-en
cbd-ts-66-en
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Part I: Impac<strong>ts</strong> of Climate-related Geo<strong>en</strong>gineering on Biological Diversity<br />
geo<strong>en</strong>gineering technique. Whilst <strong>en</strong>hanced dimethyl sulphide (DMS) emissions from plankton might be considered<br />
a “b<strong>en</strong>eficial”, unint<strong>en</strong>ded outcome of ocean fertilization, due to albedo effec<strong>ts</strong>,297 the scale (and ev<strong>en</strong> sign) of this<br />
response is uncertain, and the overall linkage betwe<strong>en</strong> DMS and climate is now considered relatively weak.298<br />
5.3 MODIFICATION OF UPWELLING AND DOWNWELLING<br />
Artificial upwelling is an ocean fertilization technique that has be<strong>en</strong> proposed to bring deep water (from 200–1000<br />
m) naturally rich in a range of nutri<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> to the surface, through some type of pipe, to fertilize the phytoplankton299.<br />
Limited field experim<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> have be<strong>en</strong> carried out in the Pacific.300, 301<br />
The int<strong>en</strong>ded effec<strong>ts</strong> are ess<strong>en</strong>tially the same as for externally-adding nutri<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong>, as above and will therefore not be<br />
repeated here. However, there is a major problem with the concept, as the nutri<strong>en</strong>t-rich water brought up to the<br />
surface also contains high conc<strong>en</strong>trations of dissolved CO2 derived from the decomposition of organic material.<br />
The release of this CO2 to the atmosphere302, 303 would counteract most (if not all) of the pot<strong>en</strong>tial climatic b<strong>en</strong>efi<strong>ts</strong><br />
from the fertilization of the plankton.<br />
Upwelling in one area necessarily also involves downwelling elsewhere. Modifying downwelling curr<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> to<br />
carry increased carbon into the deep ocean by either increasing the carbon cont<strong>en</strong>t of existing downwelling or<br />
by increasing the volume of downwelling water has also be<strong>en</strong> proposed as a possible geo<strong>en</strong>gineering approach,<br />
without necessarily involving <strong>en</strong>hanced biological production.<br />
While the view of some authors304 is that “modifying downwelling curr<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> is highly unlikely to ever be a costeffective<br />
method of sequestering carbon in the deep ocean”, lower-cost structural approaches have rec<strong>en</strong>tly be<strong>en</strong><br />
proposed, with the claim that the downwelling would stimulate adjac<strong>en</strong>t upwelling, increasing primary production<br />
and carbon drawdown, and b<strong>en</strong>efitting fisheries.305 In order to estimate the number of such structures necessary to<br />
achieve global climate impact, the hydrodynamics and biogeochemistry of such systems would need further att<strong>en</strong>tion.<br />
However, such an approach is likely to require coverage of a significant proportion of the ocean surface, since—<br />
as for other CDR techniques—the geo<strong>en</strong>gineering requirem<strong>en</strong>t is for long-term sequestration of anthropog<strong>en</strong>ic<br />
carbon, not stimulating carbon cycling per se. In particular: i) if the increased phytoplankton growth is stimulated<br />
by nutri<strong>en</strong><strong>ts</strong> from deeper water, such water will also contain higher CO2, thus net drawdown of atmospheric CO2 is<br />
unlikely to be achieved; ii) there is considerable variability in the timescale of carbon re-cycling in the ocean interior,<br />
determining the rate of return of additional, biologically-fixed CO2 to the atmosphere and iii) <strong>en</strong>hancem<strong>en</strong>t of<br />
biological production at the scale required for climatic b<strong>en</strong>efi<strong>ts</strong> is likely to significantly deplete mid-water oxyg<strong>en</strong>,<br />
resulting in increased CH4 and N2O release.<br />
Because of these complications, the overall effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess of any upwelling/downwelling modification is questionable.<br />
Furthermore, high cos<strong>ts</strong> are likely to be involved in achieving reliable data on any long term carbon removal (needed<br />
for international recognition of the effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess of the interv<strong>en</strong>tion), and in quantifying pot<strong>en</strong>tially counter-active<br />
negative impac<strong>ts</strong>, over large areas (ocean basin scale) and long time periods (10–100 years).<br />
297 Wing<strong>en</strong>ter et al. (2007).<br />
298 Quinn & Bates (2011).<br />
299 Lovelock & Rapley (2007).<br />
300 Maruyama et al. (2011).<br />
301 White et al. (2010).<br />
302 Oschlies et al. (2010).<br />
303 Yool et al. (2009).<br />
304 Zhou & Flynn (2005).<br />
305 Salter (2009).<br />
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