cbd-ts-66-en
cbd-ts-66-en
cbd-ts-66-en
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Part I: Impac<strong>ts</strong> of Climate-related Geo<strong>en</strong>gineering on Biological Diversity<br />
Ozone depletion and increased UV radiation<br />
If stratospheric sulphate injection were to be used for SRM, there is evid<strong>en</strong>ce that this could result in increased<br />
ozone depletion, primarily in polar regions in spring. This effect was observed221 after the 1991 Mount Pinatubo<br />
eruption. However, the consequ<strong>en</strong>ces of decreased ozone (in terms of allowing additional ultra violet (UV) radiation<br />
to reach the Earth’s surface) could be at least partly offset by UV scattering and att<strong>en</strong>uation by the sulphate aerosol<br />
i<strong>ts</strong>elf. If surface UV were to significantly increase, some species would be affected more than others. Certain plan<strong>ts</strong><br />
possess a protective layer on the upper surface of their leaves, making them less susceptible to UV damage. The<br />
ecological effec<strong>ts</strong> of any increased UV radiation will also dep<strong>en</strong>d on which spectral form (UVA, UVB and UVC)<br />
is most affected.<br />
An additional uncertainty is the appropriate comparison to be made with regard to future conditions, since<br />
projections of stratospheric ozone in 50–100 years time are subject to assumptions regarding societal behaviour<br />
(the future effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess of the Montreal Protocol, or other measures that might be introduced), as well as climateinduced<br />
changes in atmospheric chemistry.222<br />
Changes in the nature and amount of light reaching ecosystems<br />
Stratospheric aerosols would decrease the amount of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) reaching the Earth;<br />
they would also increase the amount of diffuse (as opposed to direct) short-wave solar irradiation. For terrestrial<br />
ecosystems, these processes would have opposing ecological effec<strong>ts</strong>, with the net impact likely to differ betwe<strong>en</strong><br />
species and betwe<strong>en</strong> ecosystems. The net impact may also dep<strong>en</strong>d on the perc<strong>en</strong>tage reduction in PAR, and the<br />
absolute levels under curr<strong>en</strong>t conditions; these vary latitudinally and are also subject to spatial variability in cloud<br />
cover.<br />
Thus, the net effici<strong>en</strong>cy of carbon fixation by a forest canopy is increased wh<strong>en</strong> light is distributed more uniformly<br />
throughout the canopy, as occurs with diffuse light. Diffuse light p<strong>en</strong>etrates the canopy more effectively than<br />
direct radiation because direct light saturates upper sunlit leaves but does not reach shaded, lower leaves. The<br />
negative effec<strong>ts</strong> of a (small) reduction in total PAR might be less than the positive effec<strong>ts</strong> of the increase in diffuse<br />
radiation giving a net improvem<strong>en</strong>t in photosynthetic effici<strong>en</strong>cy, h<strong>en</strong>ce an overall increase in terrestrial primary<br />
production. Crop species may also b<strong>en</strong>efit223 although inter-species differ<strong>en</strong>ces are likely, as a function of canopy<br />
structure. There may also be additional hydrological effec<strong>ts</strong> driv<strong>en</strong> by the effec<strong>ts</strong> of the diffuse/direct ratio on<br />
evapotranspiration.224 There is evid<strong>en</strong>ce for such responses following the Mount Pinatubo eruption,225 and during<br />
the “global dimming” period (1950–1980).226, 227<br />
However, the magnitude and nature of such effec<strong>ts</strong> on biodiversity are curr<strong>en</strong>tly not well understood, and their<br />
wider ecological significance is uncertain. Ev<strong>en</strong> if gross primary production (GPP) were to increase, GPP is not<br />
necessarily a good proxy for biodiversity: increases in GPP could be due to a few plant species thriving in more diffuse<br />
light. Furthermore, for ecosystems where total light availability is the major growth-limiting factor, the negative<br />
impac<strong>ts</strong> of total radiation decrease could be greater than any b<strong>en</strong>efi<strong>ts</strong> provided by the increase in diffuse radiation.<br />
A further complication is that while diffuse light is better at p<strong>en</strong>etrating a multi-layered canopy, sunflecks (burs<strong>ts</strong><br />
of strong light which p<strong>en</strong>etrate the canopy and reach ground level) would be less int<strong>en</strong>se with diffuse light as<br />
opposed to direct light.228<br />
221 Tilmes et al. (2008).<br />
222 McK<strong>en</strong>zie et al. (2011).<br />
223 Zh<strong>en</strong>g et al. (2011).<br />
224 Oliveira Pet al. (2011).<br />
225 Gu et al. (2003).<br />
226 Mercado et al. (2009).<br />
227 Wild (2009).<br />
228 Montagnini & Jordan (2005).<br />
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