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Integrating Southwest Power Pool Wind to Southeast Electricity ...

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SBA. More details on these types of changes are given for individual scenario comparisons later.<br />

Other aspects of interest include the fact that SBA imports increase significantly if hurdle rates<br />

are removed. While this assumption is likely unrealistic, it does show that, for the prices and<br />

plant mix assumed in the model, hurdle rate levels are impacting the flow of energy; removing<br />

them entirely can be thought of as the extreme case. In reality, these may be needed <strong>to</strong> pay for<br />

transmission and so additional wind, with its required additional transmission may actually<br />

increase hurdle rates.<br />

Figure 5-7: Average net flow by region<br />

The changes in imports/exports between scenarios are obviously very dependent on relative<br />

economics between regions. From hour <strong>to</strong> hour, the average net flow between any two BAs may<br />

be in the opposite direction of the average values across the year. For example, there would<br />

likely be periods when low wind power output from the wind plants in SPP, coupled with other<br />

load and generation differences, would result in a change in the general flow of energy across the<br />

footprint such that Entergy or SBA would be net exporters and SPP a net importer. The data<br />

shown in Table 5-5 and Figure 5-7 only show average flows. Additionally, different assumptions<br />

about plant mix in each region and relative fuel prices will change the flows. The specific flow<br />

results shown here are dependent on the modeling assumptions utilized for our study. The<br />

results do show, however, that different strategies <strong>to</strong> balance the intra-hour variability and<br />

uncertainty inherent in wind power will cause changes in how energy is moved across the large<br />

region.<br />

Production Cost Summary<br />

This section describes the differences between production costs for different cooperation<br />

scenarios <strong>to</strong> provide an understanding of the magnitude of impact different balancing strategies<br />

may have on costs. As with any production cost model for future year scenarios, the absolute<br />

5-11

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