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Integrating Southwest Power Pool Wind to Southeast Electricity ...

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Unit Startups<br />

Changing the balancing strategy can change the number of starts for units. The cost of cycling<br />

and ramping on conventional generation in terms of effect on forced outage rate, maintenance<br />

costs and heat rate degradation is not studied here (and is in fact not well unders<strong>to</strong>od in general at<br />

present). As such, the effect of wind on cycling can only be seen from the UPLAN production<br />

cost model results in how it changes the number of start/s<strong>to</strong>p operations of units. More cycling<br />

operation would likely result in more breakdowns, maintenance scheduling and possibly early<br />

retirement, therefore strategies that reduce this will be beneficial, in particular for coal or older<br />

CC units.<br />

Figure 5-22 shows the average number of starts per year by unit type for each region. Note that<br />

these starts are not necessarily attributable <strong>to</strong> wind variability as normal load cycling and forced<br />

or unforced outages also drive some portion of the starts. Increased levels of wind, however,<br />

will increase the cycling of the units. Given that the data in Figure 5-22 compares scenarios all<br />

with 48 GW of wind, the differences between scenarios indicates how balancing cooperation<br />

strategies impact cycling. Only CC and coal are shown as these are the units not specifically<br />

designed <strong>to</strong> start and ramp as frequently as GTs would be. In addition, coal in Entergy is not<br />

shown as starts do not change. As expected, coal units, which have larger start costs and times<br />

and longer minimum up times, do not cycle on and off significantly.<br />

Figure 5-22<br />

Average number of starts by unit type<br />

Table 5-13 shows the average number of starts per unit of each type per year for Scenario #1 and<br />

the change in the number of starts for each of the other scenarios relative <strong>to</strong> Scenario 1 with a<br />

positive value indicating an increase in starts versus scenario 1. In addition <strong>to</strong> the high wind<br />

transfer case scenarios, the low wind case of 14 GW with unconstrained transmission is shown<br />

for comparison of how the additional 34 GW of wind impacts unit starts. The additional 34 GW<br />

of wind generally results in more starts in the SERC regions as more cheap and variable energy<br />

is available, but the numbers are not as dramatic as might be expected. CC units in Entergy and<br />

TVA cycle off on average 25 and 16 times more per unit per year in the high wind case,<br />

5-29

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