AC Choksi Share Brokers Private Limited - Myiris.com
AC Choksi Share Brokers Private Limited - Myiris.com
AC Choksi Share Brokers Private Limited - Myiris.com
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A C <strong>Choksi</strong><br />
<strong>Share</strong> <strong>Brokers</strong> <strong>Private</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />
INITIATION REPORT | BAJAJ CORP LTD. Sept 09, 2011<br />
Re<strong>com</strong>mendation: BUY<br />
Target Price (Rs.) 148.1<br />
Re<strong>com</strong>mendation Price (Rs.) 123.7<br />
Potential Return (%) 19.8%<br />
BSE Sensex 16866.97<br />
Key Financials<br />
<strong>Share</strong>s Outstanding (mn) 147.5<br />
Face Value (Rs.) 1<br />
Market Capital (Rs. bn) 18.57<br />
Free Float (Rs. bn) 3.68<br />
Dividend Yield (%) 1.5%<br />
Stock Data<br />
BSE Code 533299<br />
NSE Code BAJAJCORP<br />
Bloomberg BJCOR IN<br />
Reuters Code B<strong>AC</strong>O.BO<br />
52-Week Range (Rs.) 151.50/73.30<br />
<strong>Share</strong> Holding Pattern 30 th June 2011<br />
FII, 5%<br />
DII, 4%<br />
Others, 6<br />
%<br />
Promoter,<br />
85%<br />
Investment Summary:<br />
• Almond Drops- Market leader in LHO Category:<br />
Bajaj Corp is the market leader in the LHO category in India through its<br />
flagship brand “Bajaj Almond Drops Hair Oil (ADHO)”. Almond hair<br />
oil category witnessed 29% CAGR by volume and 37.5% CAGR by<br />
value over FY07-FY11. ADHO <strong>com</strong>mands dominant market share in<br />
LHO category. Its market share by value improved from 40.3% during<br />
FY08 to 54.2% during Q1FY12. The <strong>com</strong>pany is targeting 60-65%<br />
market share over the next 3-4 years.<br />
• Strong volume growth of Almond hair oil:<br />
During Q1FY12, ADHO had achieved a dominant market share<br />
(volume) of 50.4% in LHO category as <strong>com</strong>pared to 38.4% in FY08.<br />
With rising disposable in<strong>com</strong>e, consumers tend to up-trade and ADHO<br />
emerged as a key beneficiary of changing consumer preferences.<br />
• Pricing Power and Premium Margins:<br />
Bajaj Corp has created a niche for itself which enables it to <strong>com</strong>mand<br />
premium prices as <strong>com</strong>pared to its peers. The <strong>com</strong>pany has successfully<br />
increased its prices at 7 year CAGR of 6.4%, without hampering volume<br />
growth. The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>com</strong>mands one of the highest EBITDA margins<br />
in the industry. We believe that ADHO will continue to maintain<br />
premium pricing going forward due to strong brand equity and niche<br />
category positioning.<br />
• Conversion and strong distribution network to drive growth:<br />
ADHO is gaining market share at the expense of its peers. Going<br />
forward, it is expected to derive conversion from unbranded oils,<br />
coconut oil and amla oil. Further, Bajaj Corp is rapidly expanding its<br />
distribution reach as reaches urban and rural consumers through 2.02<br />
mn retail outlets serviced by 5690 direct distributors and 10,085<br />
wholesalers. Going forward, the <strong>com</strong>pany is likely to continue its thrust<br />
to strengthen its distribution reach to expand its market share in LHO<br />
category.<br />
• Valuation:<br />
We Initiate coverage on Bajaj Corp for 12-18 month horizon, with a<br />
target price of Rs. 148.13 per share based on DCF valuation method.<br />
Our DCF-based target price implies an earnings multiple of 14.55x<br />
FY13 earnings. This multiple is at significant discount as <strong>com</strong>pared to<br />
its peers, which factors in the risk of it being a single product <strong>com</strong>pany.<br />
A C <strong>Choksi</strong> Institutional Research 2