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Aktsiaselts Tallink Grupp - NASDAQ OMX Baltic

Aktsiaselts Tallink Grupp - NASDAQ OMX Baltic

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RISK FACTORS<br />

Before making an investment decision, you should carefully review the specific risk factors described below,<br />

in addition to the other information contained in this offering memorandum. Our business, financial condition<br />

and results from operations could be materially affected by each of these risks. The market price of the Shares<br />

following the Offering may decline as a result of each of these risks, and you may lose the value of your<br />

investment in whole or in part. These risks are not the only ones we face. Additional risks and uncertainties not<br />

presently known to us, or that we currently believe are immaterial, could also impair our business. Certain other<br />

matters regarding our operations that should be considered before making an investment in the Shares are set<br />

out in “Business” and “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects.” The order of presentation of the risk<br />

factors below is not intended to be an indication of the probability of their occurrence or of their potential effect<br />

on our business.<br />

Risks Relating to Our Business<br />

We operate in a highly competitive market.<br />

We face considerable competition in our operations, both from other ferry operators and from providers of<br />

other means of transport. In particular, many other ferry companies compete on the Helsinki—Tallinn route in<br />

both passenger and cargo traffic. The number of passengers on the Helsinki—Tallinn route has more or less<br />

stabilized over recent years at around six million passengers annually. Although we anticipate that these numbers<br />

will grow in the future, there can be no assurance that this will be the case. We have made significant<br />

investments to modernize our fleet and we believe that we have a strong customer base, an attractive fleet and<br />

product offering and a respectable brand which offer us a competitive advantage. However, we cannot guarantee<br />

that we will be successful in retaining or improving our current market position or in expanding our business<br />

through, for example, potential new routes. In the past, other ferry operators have on occasion entered the<br />

Northern <strong>Baltic</strong> Sea market through relocation of their existing vessels. Thus, there can be no assurance that new<br />

competitors will not enter the market and further increase competition. Future acquisitions by or consolidation<br />

among our competitors could also increase competition in our markets. Failure to adapt to the changes in the<br />

market, whether caused by political decision-making or otherwise, or to increased competition could have a<br />

material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. See “Business—<br />

Competition.”<br />

The introduction of new vessels and routes and related capacity increases involves risks and uncertainties.<br />

We continuously evaluate possibilities to introduce new vessels, to expand into alternative routes and to<br />

expand our business generally. There are risks related to our current plans regarding capacity increases on the<br />

Finland—Estonia and Sweden—Estonia routes. We currently operate two cruise ferries on the Finland—Estonia<br />

route and three cruise ferries on the Sweden—Estonia route. We have ordered the New Cruise Ferry scheduled to<br />

be introduced in the spring of 2006 on the Helsinki—Tallinn route. We believe that traffic on the Sweden—<br />

Estonia routes has future growth potential and, thus, we expect to move the 2,500 passenger cruise ferry<br />

Romantika to operate alongside her sister vessel Victoria I on the Stockholm—Tallinn route. The Regina <strong>Baltic</strong>a<br />

would be removed from the Stockholm—Tallinn route and could be used for new business opportunities.<br />

Furthermore, we recently placed orders for two new high-speed ro-pax ferries to be used on the Helsinki—<br />

Tallinn route. We are also studying the potential to commence traffic between Sweden and Latvia and to<br />

recommence traffic to and from St. Petersburg.<br />

Although we believe that the restructuring of the vessels on the different routes will improve our revenue<br />

and profitability per passenger and facilitate growth in passenger numbers, the New Cruise Ferry and high-speed<br />

ro-pax ferries represent substantial investments for us and, thus, involve risks. In order to market the New Cruise<br />

Ferry to the Finnish public as well as the improved fleet to the Swedish public and to launch the new high-speed<br />

ro-pax concept, we will have to increase our marketing expenditures, which could affect the profitability of our<br />

operations. It is also possible that the interest of the public will not meet our expectations. For example, an<br />

economic downturn in the markets in which we operate could negatively affect disposable income and, as a<br />

result, leisure preferences. In addition, the introduction of new routes involves potential difficulties in obtaining<br />

necessary permits and dealing with local authorities. For example, after almost one year of operation, we<br />

suspended our services to St. Petersburg at the beginning of 2005 as a result of factors such as high port taxes,<br />

difficulties arising from the visa regime imposed upon both European Union and Russian citizens and an<br />

underdeveloped infrastructure. The materialization of any of these risks could have a material adverse effect on<br />

our business, results of operations and financial condition.<br />

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