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Average PI<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Biodiversity hotspots and conservation priorities in Central African rain forests<br />

y = -0.4979x + 120.19<br />

F1,10 = 111.71, R 2 = 0.918, P < 0.0001<br />

0<br />

0 50 100 150 200 250<br />

Average GHI<br />

Figure 5.4 Correlation between <strong>the</strong> average GHI scores and <strong>the</strong> average PI scores for <strong>the</strong><br />

various vegetation types.<br />

Geostatistical results<br />

The analysis of <strong>the</strong> spatial structure of <strong>the</strong> dataset did not show any preferential spatial<br />

trend. Therefore, an omni-directional analysis of <strong>the</strong> semivariance (best described by a<br />

spherical model) was applied. Figure 5.6 shows <strong>the</strong> semivariogram and its<br />

characteristics. The GHI variable showed a strong spatial dependence within a range<br />

of 10500 m. The nugget (645) was low compared to <strong>the</strong> total variance or sill (3700).<br />

This suggests that more than 82% (100*(Sill-Nugget)/Sill) of <strong>the</strong> semivariance of GHI<br />

could be modelled by <strong>the</strong> variogram over a range of 10 km. The output map of <strong>the</strong><br />

ordinary kriging (Figure 5.7) was reclassified into five GHI classes, partitioning <strong>the</strong><br />

conservation value of <strong>the</strong> Campo-Ma’an forest. This partition showed that 1% of <strong>the</strong><br />

area was characterised by a very high conservation value, 45% by a high conservation<br />

value, 30% by an average conservation value, 15 % by a low conservation value and<br />

9% by a very low conservation value. A considerable portion of <strong>the</strong> National Park and<br />

<strong>the</strong> forests around Massif des Mamelles and Mont d’Eléphant was characterised by a<br />

high conservation value, with highest values found in Dipikar Island, Massif des<br />

Mamelles, Mont d’Elephant and in <strong>the</strong> submontane forest on hilltops. The forests in<br />

<strong>the</strong> Ma’an area, around Campo and agro-industrial plantations, near villages and along<br />

<strong>the</strong> roads had a low conservation value. Similar patterns were observed for <strong>the</strong><br />

distribution of strict and narrow endemic species (Figure 5.1).<br />

97

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