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Baseline study Fish, fry and commercial fishery Nysted Offshore ...

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Bio/consult as Page 21<br />

Differences between length distributions of the different fish species from the two areas<br />

(the wind farm <strong>and</strong> the reference area) were compared between studies <strong>and</strong> at different<br />

months.<br />

As the data for the distribution of fish length is often insufficient for a Two-way<br />

analysis of variance to be used, a Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z test was used instead. The<br />

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z test is a non-parametric test for the difference in the<br />

distribution of frequency, where time <strong>and</strong> place are fixed. This test does not allow the<br />

interactions between time <strong>and</strong> place to be assessed.<br />

To determine if mean lengths of the separate fish species are similar in both the wind<br />

farm <strong>and</strong> the reference area a non-parametric Mann Whitney test was used. Length<br />

distribution results <strong>and</strong> length frequency for each species is to be included in evaluation<br />

of the non-parametric Mann Whitney test.<br />

3.6.2. Power analysis<br />

A power analysis was carried out after the statistical analysis to reveal the degree of<br />

certainty achieved in the analysis, in other words the extent to which there is a<br />

probability that the test will be able to show a real difference from a given amount of<br />

data.<br />

To run a power analysis at least three conditions that must be fulfilled:<br />

1) The starting point is a particular method of statistical analysis, for example<br />

the ANOVA test, in connection with the BACI design.<br />

2) The variance structure of the data must be known, including the number of<br />

replicates used.<br />

3) The selection of a difference in values that the analysis must be able to<br />

detect. This is normally called the size of effect. In this case, the size of<br />

effect was selected as 50%.<br />

The selection of the size of effect requires the balance of two contradictory factors. For<br />

certain biological processes, smaller sizes of effect can be of relevance, but selecting a<br />

smaller size of effect will mean a given <strong>study</strong> is less powerful. This creates a need for a<br />

larger number of samples in planning the subsequent sampling using the actual power<br />

analysis as the basis.<br />

If a power analysis returns a power of 10% for a given statistical test with a size of<br />

effect of 50%, results in only a 10% probability that the test will give a significant<br />

result, even though there is a real difference in the data of 50% for the variable selected<br />

between two studies of either time or space.<br />

A power analysis can also be used to calculate how many replicates are required to<br />

achieve the desired power (for example 80%) for a given test with a selected size of<br />

effect (for example 50%).<br />

Power analyses were used in this <strong>study</strong> for the dual variable analyses (BACI) for<br />

determining the difference in the number <strong>and</strong> total weight of the various species of fish.<br />

SEAS. <strong>Baseline</strong> <strong>study</strong> – <strong>Fish</strong>, <strong>fry</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>commercial</strong> <strong>fishery</strong> Dok. nr. 2148-03-001-rev3 2P.doc

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