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Table 9.7: hegemonic cycles <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> world economy s<strong>in</strong>ce 1450<br />

Role <strong>in</strong> War Thirty Years War Napoleonic WW I+II<br />

los<strong>in</strong>g<br />

hegemonic<br />

contender Hapsburgs France Germany<br />

new hegemony Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands Brita<strong>in</strong> USA<br />

newly emerg<strong>in</strong>g<br />

challenger: eco-<br />

nomically deci-<br />

mated member<br />

of<br />

w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g coalition France Germany Ch<strong>in</strong>a+<br />

Past<br />

contender for<br />

systemic<br />

hegemony,<br />

jo<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> war<br />

effort of <strong>the</strong><br />

The European Union at 50<br />

Russia<br />

w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g coalition Sweden Hapsburgs France<br />

Portugal<br />

The former hegemonic contenders slowly slide <strong>in</strong>to an acceptance of <strong>the</strong>ir status<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational system. The real power struggle erupts already soon after <strong>the</strong><br />

great hegemonic war, and through <strong>the</strong> ups and downs of <strong>the</strong> history of <strong>the</strong><br />

system evolves slowly <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> hegemonic challenge. Seen <strong>in</strong> such a way, not<br />

1989, but Korea and Vietnam could become ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> benchmarks of <strong>the</strong> future<br />

W-structure of conflict <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational arena. For <strong>the</strong> foreign policies of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Union, it is also important to notice <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g tendency: German-<br />

Russian alliances tend to happen dur<strong>in</strong>g depressions, and <strong>the</strong>y break up dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic upsw<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>the</strong> world system, when, especially dur<strong>in</strong>g wan<strong>in</strong>g<br />

hegemonies, conflicts over spheres of <strong>in</strong>fluence set it (Am<strong>in</strong>, 1997, partially<br />

based on Bergesen):<br />

Entelequia. Revista Interdiscipl<strong>in</strong>ar · CAEI Arno Tausch / 136

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