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The European Union at 50
Source: our own compilations, using a sinus function (1495 = 0; 1496 = 0,33;
1497 = 0,33 + 0,33 etc.) about war in the world system. The sinus function is
the stylized function, based on reasoning about three major global wars in
capitalist world society (Thirty Years War, Napoleonic Wars, Germany's Wars in
the 20 th Century); the dotted lines are the fourth root of Goldstein's data series
on major power battle fatalities; the trend line is a 20 years moving average of
major power war fatality rates, calculated as before
Alternatively, we could also use a shorter swing, which would then be more in
line with Arrighi's argument of the four hegemonies in world capitalism (Arrighi,
1995): Genoa, the Netherlands, Great Britain and the United States:
Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar · CAEI Arno Tausch / 42