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The European Union at 50<br />
Legend: our own calculations and projections from Stiftung Entwicklung, 1996,<br />
and Hallett, 1994<br />
The effect of <strong>the</strong> Europe-agreements between <strong>the</strong> EU and <strong>the</strong> countries of<br />
Eastern Europe seem to repeat <strong>the</strong> experience of Lomé and can be summarized<br />
<strong>in</strong> one word: a massive positive balance of trade <strong>in</strong> favor of <strong>the</strong> Union and to <strong>the</strong><br />
detriment of <strong>the</strong> partners <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> East that leads to political and economic friction<br />
(Hickman, 1994; Inotai, 1993). It is shown <strong>in</strong> this chapter that Lomé <strong>in</strong>deed is<br />
such a negative experience on <strong>the</strong> level of <strong>the</strong> LDCs. A grow<strong>in</strong>g number of<br />
academic critics of present Union economic policy ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> that <strong>the</strong> EU-approach<br />
to foreign trade and relations with <strong>the</strong> semi-periphery and <strong>the</strong> periphery is based<br />
on two fatally erroneous assumptions. First, <strong>the</strong> gradualism of trade<br />
liberalization; second, <strong>the</strong> protectionist answer to <strong>the</strong> current economic<br />
malaise <strong>in</strong> Western Europe. The trans<strong>format</strong>ion process of <strong>the</strong> East would be<br />
supported efficiently only, if <strong>the</strong> East could expand rapidly its exports <strong>in</strong> those<br />
areas where <strong>the</strong> East has a comparative advantage - agriculture, steel, textiles<br />
and cloth<strong>in</strong>g. But precisely such sectors are protected by <strong>the</strong> EU. The agreements<br />
reached up to now reflect <strong>the</strong> outdated and orthodox EU trade policy, designed <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> late 1950s. The situation of <strong>the</strong> East is made all <strong>the</strong> more difficult, because<br />
<strong>the</strong>re is no Western European will<strong>in</strong>gness to make major concessions <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
areas, most notably migration, partly a consequence of deteriorat<strong>in</strong>g external<br />
economic relations, partly a consequence of ris<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ternal <strong>in</strong>equalities.<br />
Samir Am<strong>in</strong> (1994) puts a heavy blame on <strong>the</strong> Europeans for prolong<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
underdevelopment and stagnation of <strong>the</strong>ir own 'backyards'. A look at <strong>the</strong> UNDP<br />
1996 data about <strong>the</strong> European <strong>in</strong>ner and outer periphery <strong>in</strong> comparison to <strong>the</strong><br />
European lead<strong>in</strong>g economy Germany confirms this dire hypo<strong>the</strong>sis. Germany is<br />
under a desperate pressure to redress <strong>the</strong> negative current account balance, and<br />
to have high export surpluses aga<strong>in</strong>:<br />
Sub-Saharan Africa - Arab States Eastern Europe Germany<br />
life expectancy 50.9 62.1 69.2 76.1<br />
real GDP <strong>in</strong> $ PPP 1288 4513 4164 18840<br />
human development <strong>in</strong>dex 0.379 0.633 0.773 0.920<br />
gender related devel. <strong>in</strong>dex 0.366 0.513 - 0.883<br />
gender empowerment <strong>in</strong>dex 0.366 0.513 - 0.654<br />
millions without health s. 205 36 - -<br />
illiterate adults <strong>in</strong> millions 121 59 2 -<br />
million malnourished chil-<br />
dren under 5 years 22,5 3,1 0,475 -<br />
% low birth-weight <strong>in</strong>fants 16% 12% 7% -<br />
Entelequia. Revista Interdiscipl<strong>in</strong>ar · CAEI Arno Tausch / 159