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How far does screening women for domestic (partner) - NIHR Health ...

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72<br />

Review Question VII<br />

transition probabilities were at worst equal. In<br />

addition, the sensitivity analysis used an upper and<br />

lower confidence interval <strong>for</strong> the impact of abuse<br />

on health.<br />

Combining net benefits and net costs in the model<br />

resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness<br />

ratio (ICER) of £2450 per QALY. This result<br />

would be considered cost-effective had a service<br />

use perspective been applied under the implicit<br />

willingness-to-pay threshold applied by NICE.<br />

Including costs from a societal perspective will<br />

result in lower costs per QALY. The estimated<br />

cost-effectiveness was most sensitive to <strong>women</strong><br />

taking up an intervention and the success of these<br />

interventions ‘downstream’ from disclosure to a<br />

health-care professional (in PreDoVe this entailed<br />

<strong>partner</strong> violence advocacy and a psychological<br />

intervention), and to the likelihood that mediumterm<br />

improvement will continue into living outside<br />

of an abusive relationship. Most ICERs did not<br />

increase above £5000 per QALY and only one<br />

was greater than the £30,000 notional threshold<br />

<strong>for</strong> cost-effectiveness in the UK. For details of the<br />

sensitivity analysis results, see Appendix 10.5.<br />

We have made a number of simplifying<br />

assumptions in our model that could be<br />

addressed with more research. We considered<br />

the possibility that <strong>women</strong> may relapse into an<br />

abusive relationship, but we did not capture the<br />

fact that <strong>women</strong> with past histories of <strong>partner</strong><br />

violence have a greater likelihood of entering<br />

into another abusive relationship. We also did not<br />

differentiate between <strong>women</strong> in a relatively new<br />

abusive relationship and those in longer-standing<br />

relationships or long-term harassment after they<br />

have left an abusive relationship. The latter group<br />

may take longer to change their situation. Our<br />

model draws upon the available evidence <strong>for</strong> the<br />

effect of <strong>partner</strong> violence programmes but these<br />

studies are based upon different populations and<br />

this may affect the accuracy of our findings. For<br />

instance, the main intervention effects were based<br />

on data from the PreDoVe pilot trial, based in inner<br />

city general practices with multiethnic, relatively<br />

deprived populations in the UK. The population<br />

targeted in PreDoVe were patients in primary care,<br />

and the majority of referrals were <strong>women</strong> who<br />

had not previously disclosed abuse. By contrast,<br />

our estimate of effect of advocacy came from a<br />

US study 126 focused on a refuge population who<br />

had already self-identified and sought help, not<br />

necessarily in the context of health care. There<br />

is considerable uncertainty regarding both the<br />

modelling of <strong>partner</strong> violence, and the costs and<br />

quality of life <strong>for</strong> the <strong>women</strong> involved.<br />

A limitation of the model <strong>for</strong> estimating the costeffectiveness<br />

of <strong>screening</strong> is that the intervention<br />

was aimed at implementing routine enquiry<br />

of <strong>women</strong> presenting with a range of specific<br />

conditions, rather than a comprehensive <strong>screening</strong><br />

programme within a health-care setting.<br />

Discussion<br />

In our review we were unable to identify any studies<br />

that tested the cost-effectiveness of <strong>screening</strong><br />

<strong>women</strong> in health-care settings <strong>for</strong> <strong>partner</strong> violence.<br />

We did find a study that calculated the costs and<br />

service use <strong>for</strong> <strong>women</strong> with co-occurring mental<br />

health and substance abuse disorders who were<br />

survivors of <strong>partner</strong> violence and taking part in<br />

an intervention programme. Overall costs were<br />

the same <strong>for</strong> <strong>women</strong> within and without the<br />

programme and clinical outcomes were improved,<br />

which suggests that the intervention was costeffective.<br />

Our cost-effectiveness model of a pilot<br />

trial of a primary care intervention that resulted<br />

in increased enquiry about <strong>partner</strong> violence by<br />

clinicians supports the hypothesis that this type of<br />

intervention could be cost-effective.

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