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October 31, 1975 - Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library and Museum

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4. The relationship between proved reserves of crude oil, associated<br />

natural gas, <strong>and</strong> nonassociated natural gas to production in 1974.<br />

5. The relationship between estimated proved reserves to original<br />

hydrocarbons in place.<br />

6. The relationship between indicated <strong>and</strong> secondary recovery<br />

reserves to original hydrocarbons in place.<br />

7. The relationship between gross additions to estimated proved<br />

reserves in 1974 to estimated proved reserves at year end 1974.<br />

Estimated Proved Reserves<br />

Expansion of Survey Responses to the Universe<br />

Because operators were not required to report reserves for those<br />

fields in which an operator produced less than 20,000 barrels of oil or<br />

100 million cubic feet of gas in 1974 <strong>and</strong> because response was not quite<br />

complete, reported information needed to be exp<strong>and</strong>ed into U.S. totals.<br />

The basis for exp<strong>and</strong>ing to the universe was 1973 oil <strong>and</strong> gas production.<br />

Benchmark volumes were based on State data augmented by information<br />

provided to the U.S. Bureau of Mines (USBM). Estimates were made for<br />

associated gas production for States that did not furnish this infor­<br />

"mation (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, Nevada, <strong>and</strong> New York).<br />

The procedure for estimating total reserves for each State was as<br />

follows:<br />

1. Production for year 1973 <strong>and</strong> estimated proved reserves for produC"ing<br />

reservoirs were surrmed for all reports which included both items.<br />

2. For reports which showed production but no estimated proved<br />

reserves for producing reservoirs, production was summed on the basis of<br />

years of reported production; i.e., 1970-1974, 1971-1974, 1972-1974,<br />

1973-1974, <strong>and</strong> 1974 only.<br />

3. Reserve calculations for group totals in step 2 were determined<br />

as follows. For reports showing 1974 production only, the estimate was<br />

based upon <strong>1975</strong> production being equal to that of 1974 <strong>and</strong> projecting<br />

future rates by a hyperbolic curve decl"in"ing at 10 percent per year for<br />

14 additional years; for the other groups a curve fit was made. Declines<br />

greater than 10 percent per year were projected at the calculated rate<br />

for 15 years; for lesser declines, a rate of 10 percent was projected<br />

for 15 years.<br />

4. The sums of reserves determined in step 1 <strong>and</strong> those in step 3,<br />

excepting the 1974 production-only group, were multiplied by the ratio<br />

of State-wide benchmark production in 1973 to correlative sums of<br />

production.<br />

6<br />

"

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