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October 31, 1975 - Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library and Museum

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The mailing lists used by FEA were incomplete <strong>and</strong> omitted operators<br />

accounted for the remaining production which is about 1 percent for<br />

crude oil <strong>and</strong> 3 percent for natural gas.<br />

The usable schedules have been exp<strong>and</strong>ed to benchmark totals to<br />

account for nonresponses, unusable schedules, <strong>and</strong> the incomplete mailing<br />

list. .<br />

Special Audit of Operator Responses<br />

FEA realized early in the survey procedure that the quality of<br />

response from operators was below expectation. A computer editing<br />

procedure was established <strong>and</strong> telephone calls were made by engineers.<br />

geologists, <strong>and</strong> junior professionals to operators to clarify <strong>and</strong> validate<br />

out-of-range responses.<br />

FEA determined that it should conduct a more intensive examination<br />

of operator responses to better assess the quality of data being submitted.<br />

National Analysts worked with FEA in selecting a sample of<br />

operator field reports for special field-audit. A tabulation indicated<br />

that there were 14,451 operator field reports indicating the operator<br />

produced over 20,000 barrels of crude oil or 100 million cubic feet of<br />

natural gas in 1974.<br />

From these reports National Analysts chose a sample of 1,806 units<br />

The sampling procedure is described in Appendix C of the initial report.<br />

Time <strong>and</strong> available resources precluded personal interviews <strong>and</strong> an<br />

alternative procedure was adopted. FEA selected 32 large operators to<br />

be visited by FEA auditors. These 32 operators accounted for 729 of the<br />

1,806 sample units. FEA contracted with Control Data Corporation to<br />

survey the remaining operators by telephone.<br />

Noteworthy results of the special field audit are indicated below:<br />

Question: Were the estimates of proved reserves made by an engineer<br />

or geologist?<br />

Ninety-four percent of the crude oil, 96 percent of the associated<br />

gas, <strong>and</strong> 95 percent of the nonassociated gas estimates of proved reserves<br />

were made by engineers or geologists. These estimates were prepared by<br />

updating an earlier reserves estimate in about 80 percent of the cases.<br />

Question: What was the principal methodology used to make the<br />

reserve estimate?<br />

Fifty-seven percent of the audit reserve estimates were made by<br />

using decline curve analysis, <strong>31</strong> percent by the volumetric method, 7<br />

percent by material balance calculations, <strong>and</strong> 5 percent by other methods.<br />

20

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