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October 31, 1975 - Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library and Museum

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Two of these fields are quite complicated geologically. The<br />

operators did not discuss interpretative or proprietary information with<br />

the consultant firm. The FEA study reports are extremely brief <strong>and</strong><br />

generally undocumented. In the absence of additional data, a choice<br />

cannot be made as to which estimate best reflects actual reserves.<br />

In the case of a third fie1d study, the volumetric data were based<br />

upon very old published infonnation. The operator quite possibly has<br />

more recent <strong>and</strong> more re 1tab 1 e data <strong>and</strong> i nterpretat ion s •<br />

In the case of a fourth field, an instance of questionable<br />

methodology in the field study could account for the difference between<br />

the two proved reserves estimates.<br />

The last field report was prepared in considerably less time than<br />

the other studies. Therefore, this report cannot be subjected to a<br />

critical revie\t.<br />

These last five fields are Cai110u Isl<strong>and</strong>, Cogdell, Hastings,<br />

Oregon Basin, <strong>and</strong> West Cote Blanche Bay.<br />

Natural Gas Proved Reserves. A short discussion of the 34 instances in<br />

which natural gas reserves from the Operators Survey <strong>and</strong> the Major Field<br />

Studies differ by more than 20 percent follows:<br />

1. In sixteen of the gas fields in the "high percentage difference"<br />

category, the proved reserves differences, regardless of percent, were<br />

low in absolute amount. The recorded differences were each less than<br />

90 BCF, <strong>and</strong> in thirteen instances, 45 BCF or less. By way of comparison,<br />

the average proved gas reserves for 58 fields (excluding Prudhoe Bay<br />

<strong>and</strong> Hugoton) are about 415 BCF for the studied fields <strong>and</strong> about 528 BCF<br />

for the surveyed fields.<br />

2. Possible explanations for the proved reserves differences in<br />

seven fields are apparent from review of the field studies. Proved<br />

reserves data for six of these fields are listed in Table 12.<br />

Table 12--COMPARISON OF NATURAL GAS PROVED RESERVES<br />

Operators Survey Field Study<br />

Field (BCF) (BCF)<br />

Altamont 388 40<br />

Brown Bassett 341 203<br />

Carthage 345 465<br />

East Texas 364 226<br />

San Juan - Basin Dakota 2,807 2,064<br />

San Juan - Blanco 6,458 3,358<br />

27

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