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opinion matters 9/30/05 12:39 Page 47<br />

OPINION MATTERS<br />

improving overall health.<br />

Disease management components include:<br />

➜ Population identification processes;<br />

➜ Evidence-based practice guidelines;<br />

➜ Collaborative practice models to include physician <strong>and</strong><br />

support-service providers;<br />

➜ Patient self-management education (may include<br />

primary prevention, behavior modification programmes,<br />

<strong>and</strong> compliance/surveillance);<br />

➜ Process <strong>and</strong> outcomes measurement, evaluation, <strong>and</strong><br />

management;<br />

➜ Routine reporting/feedback loop (may include<br />

communication with patient, physician, health plan <strong>and</strong><br />

ancillary providers, <strong>and</strong> practice profiling).<br />

Full service disease management programmes must<br />

include all six components. Programmes consisting of fewer<br />

components are Disease Management Support <strong>Services</strong><br />

Outcomes…<br />

Reduced: Range of Results<br />

ER Visits - 8-27%<br />

<strong>Hospital</strong>izations - 18-38%<br />

<strong>Hospital</strong> Days - 15-17%<br />

Total Cost - 9-15%<br />

Increased EBM<br />

Compliance + 49%<br />

Table 1: Matria DM Programme outcomes<br />

Unfortunately, many “disease management” initiatives do<br />

not meet this definition. There is also considerable<br />

confusion about DM because a number of partial programs<br />

were implemented in order to fit them into existing systems<br />

of reimbursement. The results were less than ideal… <strong>and</strong><br />

created confusion.<br />

Forces driving expansion of disease management - The<br />

forces fueling disease management remain largely financial<br />

in most countries. In the United States total healthcare costs<br />

are expected to exp<strong>and</strong> from $1.7 trillion dollars in 2002 to<br />

over $2.6 trillion in 2010. In addition, the <strong>World</strong> <strong>Health</strong><br />

Organization also projects that the global burden of chronic<br />

disease will increase from 27% of GNP in 1990 to over 43%<br />

in 2020.<br />

Another disturbing statistic that will drive DM expansion<br />

is the declining ratio of workers/employees to retirees: 25:1<br />

in 1935 to less than 2:1 in 2025. Fewer working age people<br />

funding an exp<strong>and</strong>ing chronically ill population will add<br />

further pressure to our economic systems.<br />

Finally, there is also increasing recognition that DM also<br />

represents an opportunity to improve clinical outcomes.<br />

Based on figures in the United States, people with chronic<br />

illness receive only 56.1% of recommended care.<br />

DM performance – DM expansion has been stimulated<br />

by the success of DM in the United States. A study by the<br />

DMAA of almost 200 peer-reviewed articles on DM showed<br />

consistently positive outcomes including economic, clinical<br />

<strong>and</strong> humanistic benefits.<br />

In addition, a review of the outcomes from one of the<br />

leading United States disease management organizations<br />

confirms the potential power of DM to generate favorable<br />

clinical, economic <strong>and</strong> humanistic outcomes. Table 1<br />

highlights the range of outcomes covering seven asthma,<br />

diabetes, CHF, COPD, CAD, depression, <strong>and</strong> cancer<br />

produced by Matria.<br />

Importantly, DM has been successful despite having to<br />

operate in a healthcare infrastructure that has been<br />

defined by the Institutes of Medicine as “…inadequate,<br />

fragmented, <strong>and</strong> broken” in regards to the system’s ability to<br />

foster the better management of chronic disease.<br />

Global expansion of DM - The success of disease<br />

management in the United States has resulted in its global<br />

expansion. Countries on five continents are now<br />

experimenting with the adaptation of US-style disease<br />

management programmes to the unique characteristics of<br />

their own systems.<br />

The next generation of disease management – DM<br />

program success in the private sector has also led to<br />

adoption by the public sector Medicare <strong>and</strong> Medicaid where<br />

private sectors models are now being adapted for new<br />

populations, the elderly <strong>and</strong> the poor. These new challenges<br />

will undoubtedly lead to the further enhancement to DM<br />

programmes.<br />

In the meantime, there are many challenges <strong>and</strong><br />

opportunities to increase both the efficiency <strong>and</strong> the<br />

effectiveness of disease management. The exp<strong>and</strong>ed use of<br />

new technologies <strong>and</strong> the aggressive adaptation of behaviour<br />

change science will certainly be at the core of these<br />

improvements.<br />

Technology - Unfortunately first generation DM<br />

programmes have not been very successful in<br />

operationalizing the abundance of technology available to us<br />

today. According to Dr Joseph Coughlin of AgeTel, the very<br />

real threat of an aging population will serve to significantly<br />

accelerate adoption of technology.<br />

New technologies offer a huge potential to improve the<br />

efficiency <strong>and</strong> effectiveness of healthcare systems<br />

<strong>and</strong> DM programmes. New developments in patient<br />

communications <strong>and</strong> remote patient monitoring have been<br />

especially noteworthy. Predictive modeling represents<br />

another area where we have made considerable progress in<br />

identifying which low utilizers today will become high cost<br />

utilizers tomorrow, <strong>and</strong> therefore expedite interventions.<br />

Behaviour Change Science represents another major<br />

opportunity for enhancing future disease management<br />

programmes. Changing consumer expectation <strong>and</strong><br />

empowering patients to take accountability for their chronic<br />

disease is not an easy process. As noted by the famous<br />

behaviouralist, Dr James Prochaska, “…only 20% of people<br />

in a population that need to make a change are prepared to<br />

do so at any one time. However, 90% of behaviour change<br />

programs are designed with only this 20% in mind.”<br />

According to Dr Prochaska most behavior change<br />

programmes today fail to deal with the fact that, at the<br />

moment they are asked to change, most people cannot<br />

Vol. 41 No. 3 | <strong>World</strong> <strong><strong>Hospital</strong>s</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Services</strong> | 47

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