sahr2001 - Health Systems Trust

African
Coloured
Indian/Asian
White
Other/
Unstated
All groups
Public Sector Dependent Population
2001 Without AIDS 14 31 756 679 3 044 931 788 586 1 459 655 202 847 37 252 698
Total Fertility Rate
1998 16 3.1 2.5 - 1.9 - 2.9
2011 high estimate 17 2.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 - 2.6
2011 low estimate 17 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.5 - 2.2
1. Note: For 1985-1993
Ref: Development Bank 1994 (Table 1: Annexure A pg 81)
2. Ref: SAHR 1995 Ch1 (Table 1.6)
3. Ref: Census 96
4. Ref: Bradshaw 1995
5. Ref: IFR Projections 1999 (Table 2.7 pg 29, Table 3.7 pg 99, Fig 4.5 pg 165, Table 4.7 pg 169)
6. Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding at source. StatsSA do not provide projections ‘With AIDS’ by population group, therefore this data is only available
‘Without AIDS’.
Ref: StatsSA Mid-Year Estimates
7. Ref: StatsSA Mid-Year Est. Hedberg (Calculated from data.)
8. Note: Data for 2000 represents the starting point for projections from this model, and therefore there is not yet any difference between the change and no change
scenarios.
Ref: ASSA 2000
9. Ref: Metropolitan 2001
10. Ref: SAHR 1999 Ch16 (pg 214. Also based on information in Chapter 13 of South African Health Review 1998)
11. Ref: NHA Public 2000 (Annex 4: Population Estimates)
12. Note: Calculated from total number of beneficiaries (registered and exempt schemes) subtracted from the total population.
1998 - Beneficiaries: 6 991 511 Population: 42 130 500
Ref: Medical Schemes 1999
13. Note: Calculated from total number of beneficiaries (registered and exempt schemes) subtracted from the total population.
1999 - Beneficiaries: 6 989 139 Population: 43 054 306
2000 - Beneficiaries: 7 020 223 Population: 43 291 441
Ref: Medical Schemes 2000
14. Note: Calculated using provincial medical schemes coverage (quoting October Household Survey 1999) and StatsSA population estimates for 2001 (with AIDS), and
using racial medical schemes coverage (quoting October Household Survey 1999) and StatsSA population estimates for 2001 (without AIDS – no racial population
projections available with AIDS from StatsSA).
Ref: Fiscal Review 2001
15. Ref: Development Bank 1994 (Table 24: Annexure A pg 90)
16. Note: The 1998 national TFR is considered to be an under-estimate. The real figure is considered to be about 3.2 (Udjo EO, Lestrade-Jefferis J. Fertility and mortality in
South Africa. (on request from StatsSA))
Ref: SADHS 1998 (Table 11 pg 19)
17. Note: Estimate for 2011-2016
Ref: IFR Projections 1999 (Table 2.7 pg 29, Fig 4.7 pg 167)
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