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turkmen in iraq and their flight - orsam

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TURKMEN IN IRAQ AND THEIR FLIGHT: A DEMOCRAPHIC QUESTION<br />

Europe as people were escap<strong>in</strong>g former Yugoslavia<br />

due to the violence follow<strong>in</strong>g the collapse<br />

of the Federal Yugoslavia. The <strong>in</strong>vasion of Iraq<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2003 <strong>and</strong> ongo<strong>in</strong>g military operations s<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

the first Gulf War have provided another unfortunate<br />

example to show us how conflicts are<br />

determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g population movements <strong>in</strong> certa<strong>in</strong><br />

regions of the world.<br />

M<strong>in</strong>ority populations are particularly affected<br />

by such conflict situations but one concept is<br />

crucial <strong>in</strong> underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g such human mobility:<br />

concept of relative deprivation 26 . Gurr argues<br />

that violent conflicts are more likely to occur<br />

when the gap between people’s expectations<br />

<strong>and</strong> actual situation widens. 27 7 years after the<br />

<strong>in</strong>vasion, we can clearly see that so little improvement<br />

is achieved <strong>in</strong> Iraq <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternally displaced<br />

people <strong>and</strong> <strong>their</strong> return <strong>in</strong> Iraq has grown<br />

to be a major problem particularly <strong>in</strong> Kirkuk<br />

area. Thus one can expect <strong>in</strong>tensification of the<br />

potential for civil conflict <strong>in</strong> the country. Such<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> conflict is I believe go<strong>in</strong>g to trigger<br />

more migrations <strong>in</strong>ternally as well as <strong>in</strong>ternationally.<br />

In the follow<strong>in</strong>g sections I will elaborate<br />

the concept of the environment of human <strong>in</strong>security<br />

which I developed for underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational migration <strong>in</strong> conflict situations. I<br />

will also briefly <strong>in</strong>troduce the concept of opportunity<br />

frameworks.<br />

There is a grow<strong>in</strong>g research <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> the nexus<br />

of conflict <strong>and</strong> migration. Wars <strong>and</strong> other<br />

latent, less <strong>in</strong>tensive conflicts are closely l<strong>in</strong>ked<br />

to the <strong>in</strong>ternational migration of disadvantaged<br />

ethnic groups 28 ; however, more importantly,<br />

the research shows that <strong>in</strong>tra-state conflicts,<br />

when compared to <strong>in</strong>ter-state conflicts, cause<br />

greater casualties 29 <strong>and</strong>, by implication, cause<br />

larger population displacements. Therefore,<br />

<strong>in</strong>tra-state conflicts deserve more attention<br />

from migration researchers. Nonetheless, as a<br />

force which facilitates <strong>in</strong>ternational migration,<br />

“conflict” is not limited to extremely violent<br />

struggles but <strong>in</strong>cludes a range of situations <strong>in</strong><br />

which parties with conflict<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terests meet.<br />

Contemporary <strong>in</strong>ternational migration is better<br />

understood as a complicated human movement,<br />

<strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g different types of migrants,<br />

such as ‘refugees’, ‘asylum seekers’, ‘family migrants’,<br />

‘illegal migrants’, ‘migrant workers’, <strong>and</strong><br />

‘professionals’. In most cases it is impossible to<br />

dist<strong>in</strong>guish ‘economic’, ‘political’ or ‘cultural’<br />

reasons from each other, <strong>and</strong> that people often<br />

move with mixed, <strong>and</strong> overlapp<strong>in</strong>g, motivations<br />

has been highlighted <strong>in</strong> many cases studied.<br />

30 The concept of environment of human <strong>in</strong>security<br />

(EOHI) also engages with such mixed<br />

causes for <strong>in</strong>ternational migration.<br />

The relative deprivation concept mentioned<br />

above led to another concept which I call the<br />

‘environment of human <strong>in</strong>security’ which was<br />

<strong>in</strong>itially applied to <strong>in</strong>ternational migration from<br />

Turkey as migration appears to be one of the<br />

strategic options <strong>in</strong> conflict situations 31 . Along<br />

with I also <strong>in</strong>troduced the concept of ‘opportunity<br />

frameworks,’ which I have later used <strong>in</strong><br />

the analyses of Iraqi <strong>and</strong> Turkmen migration. 32<br />

Hourani applied it to the Lebanese migration 33<br />

while Erdemir <strong>and</strong> Zirh saw an application <strong>in</strong><br />

the case of Alevi migrants <strong>in</strong> London 34 . Work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with this model, I found that conflict aspects<br />

were more central <strong>and</strong> significant <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

migration mechanisms, typologies,<br />

<strong>and</strong> policies.<br />

International migration can be discussed as a<br />

process <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g two oppos<strong>in</strong>g parties—that<br />

of a migrat<strong>in</strong>g human person or group <strong>and</strong><br />

that of a regulat<strong>in</strong>g or controll<strong>in</strong>g agency–with<br />

conflict<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terests. At the same time, exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

migration typologies discuss migration <strong>in</strong><br />

terms of voluntary versus forced, illegal versus<br />

legal, economic versus political, etc. However,<br />

underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g migration process with reference<br />

to conflict is also critical of those typologies<br />

which are not adequate to represent the multiple<br />

<strong>and</strong> dynamic causes <strong>and</strong> motivations for<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational migration, <strong>and</strong> they are especially<br />

not adequate to represent the relation of the<br />

migration process to conflict.<br />

www.<strong>orsam</strong>.org.tr<br />

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