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SETP No. 14 The Economic Value of Incremental Employment in the ...

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6 <strong>The</strong> Macro <strong>Economic</strong> Impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Local Manufacture <strong>of</strong><br />

Construction Equipment<br />

6.1 <strong>The</strong> objective <strong>of</strong> this chapter is to determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> macro economic impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

local production <strong>of</strong> construction mach<strong>in</strong>ery.<br />

6.2 Bell Equipment, based <strong>in</strong> Richards Bay KwaZulu Natal, is a local manufacturer <strong>of</strong><br />

construction equipment. Bell Equipment had, <strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, agreed to discuss <strong>the</strong><br />

research project and assess <strong>the</strong>ir role <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestigation. Unfortunately, given<br />

<strong>the</strong> competitive nature <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry, <strong>the</strong>re was less enthusiasm once <strong>the</strong><br />

degree <strong>of</strong> disclosure became clear. O<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>dustry players such as Bateman<br />

Earth Mov<strong>in</strong>g Equipment, Barlows (Caterpillar) and Komatsu were approached<br />

with a similar lack <strong>of</strong> success.<br />

6.3 Because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> above constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestigation focussed on one form <strong>of</strong> road<br />

construction equipment – <strong>the</strong> wheeled loader. This particular piece <strong>of</strong> equipment<br />

was selected as it is one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most important areas where we are able to<br />

substitute labour and mach<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> road construction, on <strong>the</strong> one hand, and<br />

because it is an important locally made mach<strong>in</strong>e, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

Description <strong>of</strong> Methodology<br />

6.4 In <strong>the</strong> first <strong>in</strong>stance <strong>the</strong> methodology is <strong>the</strong> identical to that applied <strong>in</strong> Section 5.<br />

<strong>The</strong> constituent capital parts <strong>of</strong> wheeled loaders were disaggregated <strong>in</strong>to key<br />

components. <strong>The</strong>se components were <strong>in</strong> turn reallocated to SIC code. <strong>The</strong><br />

potential range <strong>of</strong> import component was estimated. F<strong>in</strong>ally, us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>put output<br />

multipliers, <strong>the</strong> macro economic impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> local production <strong>of</strong> a wheeled<br />

loader was estimated. <strong>The</strong> model calculated <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g direct, <strong>in</strong>direct,<br />

<strong>in</strong>duced and total economic effects for each imported content scenario.<br />

6.5 <strong>The</strong> model assumes that no local macro economic benefit is derived from an<br />

imported component. For example if tyres were imported, <strong>the</strong> rand value for tyres<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>put spreadsheet was entered as zero, <strong>the</strong>reby nullify<strong>in</strong>g any effects that a<br />

change <strong>in</strong> demand for tyres would have on <strong>the</strong> tyre manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry and<br />

on <strong>the</strong> South African economy as a whole.<br />

Data<br />

6.6 To accomplish <strong>the</strong> revised research objectives it was necessary to establish:<br />

• <strong>The</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> wheeled loaders similar to those manufactured by Bell<br />

Equipment.<br />

• An estimate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cost breakdown <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> above wheeled loaders i.e. <strong>the</strong><br />

contribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> various components to <strong>the</strong> total cost <strong>of</strong> a wheeled<br />

loader.<br />

• An estimate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> probability <strong>of</strong> a particular component be<strong>in</strong>g imported.<br />

6.7 Table 6.1 provides some key <strong>in</strong>formation on price and bucket capacity <strong>of</strong> a<br />

selection <strong>of</strong> wheeled loaders that are available <strong>in</strong> South Africa. Three makes <strong>of</strong><br />

wheeled loader are reported <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> table – Komatsu, Caterpillar and Bell. <strong>The</strong>se<br />

range <strong>in</strong> size from 10 ton mach<strong>in</strong>es, to 13 ton mach<strong>in</strong>es and f<strong>in</strong>ally to <strong>the</strong> colossal<br />

44

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