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table 14 Population trends Population Total a Annual growth Urban Median age Total dependency ratio Total fertility rate Sex ratio at birth b (millions) (%) (% of total) (years) (per 100 people ages 15–64) (births per woman) (male to female births) HDI rank 2012 2030 2000/2005 2010/2015 a,c 2000 2012 2000 2010 2000 2012 2000 2012 a,c 2000 d 2012 c 121 Kiribati 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.5 43.0 44.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 121 South Africa 50.7 54.7 1.3 0.5 56.9 62.4 22.9 24.9 59.6 52.9 2.9 2.4 1.03 1.03 124 Vanuatu 0.3 0.4 2.6 2.4 21.7 25.2 18.9 20.6 81.3 70.0 4.4 3.8 1.07 1.07 125 Kyrgyzstan 5.4 6.7 0.4 1.1 35.3 35.4 22.5 23.8 67.9 51.9 2.7 2.6 1.05 1.06 125 Tajikistan 7.1 9.0 0.9 1.5 26.5 26.5 18.5 20.4 84.9 65.3 4.0 3.2 1.05 1.05 127 Viet Nam 89.7 101.5 1.1 1.0 24.4 31.7 23.8 28.2 60.5 40.9 2.0 1.8 1.05 1.05 128 Namibia 2.4 3.0 1.9 1.7 32.4 39.0 19.5 21.2 77.6 64.8 4.0 3.1 1.03 1.03 129 Nicaragua 6.0 7.2 1.3 1.4 54.7 57.8 18.9 22.1 80.4 61.2 3.3 2.5 1.05 1.05 130 Morocco 32.6 37.5 1.1 1.0 53.3 57.4 22.6 26.3 62.0 49.2 2.7 2.2 1.06 1.06 131 Iraq 33.7 55.3 2.7 3.1 67.8 66.4 18.0 18.3 89.5 84.3 5.3 4.6 1.07 1.07 132 Cape Verde 0.5 0.6 1.6 0.9 53.4 63.4 18.5 22.8 88.9 55.8 3.7 2.3 1.03 1.03 133 Guatemala 15.1 22.7 2.5 2.5 45.1 50.2 17.7 18.9 92.4 82.4 4.8 3.9 1.05 1.05 134 Timor-Leste 1.2 2.0 3.9 2.9 24.3 28.7 15.3 16.6 106.8 93.0 7.1 6.0 1.05 1.05 135 Ghana 25.5 36.5 2.4 2.3 44.0 52.6 19.1 20.5 79.9 73.0 4.7 4.0 1.06 1.06 136 Equatorial Guinea 0.7 1.1 3.1 2.7 38.8 39.6 19.5 20.3 85.9 72.0 5.8 5.0 1.03 1.03 136 India 1,258.4 1,523.5 1.6 1.3 27.7 31.6 22.7 25.1 63.8 53.8 3.1 2.6 1.08 1.08 138 Cambodia 14.5 17.4 1.4 1.2 18.6 20.1 18.1 22.9 80.5 53.2 3.8 2.4 1.05 1.05 138 Lao People’s Democratic Republic 6.4 7.8 1.6 1.3 22.0 35.4 18.6 21.5 85.0 58.4 4.2 2.6 1.05 1.05 140 Bhutan 0.8 0.9 2.9 1.5 25.4 36.4 19.4 24.6 79.2 49.7 3.7 2.3 1.04 1.04 141 Swaziland 1.2 1.5 0.8 1.4 22.6 21.2 17.2 19.5 90.8 69.4 4.2 3.2 1.03 1.03 Low human development 142 Congo 4.2 6.2 2.4 2.2 58.7 64.1 18.9 19.6 82.7 79.3 4.9 4.5 1.03 1.03 143 Solomon Islands 0.6 0.8 2.8 2.5 15.8 20.9 18.8 19.9 80.6 74.1 4.7 4.1 1.09 1.09 144 Sao Tome and Principe 0.2 0.2 1.6 2.0 53.4 63.4 17.8 19.3 88.3 75.8 4.6 3.5 1.03 1.03 145 Kenya 42.7 65.9 2.6 2.7 19.9 24.4 17.4 18.5 89.0 82.1 5.0 4.6 1.03 1.03 146 Bangladesh 152.4 181.9 1.6 1.3 23.6 28.9 20.8 24.2 70.4 53.0 3.1 2.2 1.05 1.05 146 Pakistan 180.0 234.4 1.9 1.8 33.1 36.5 19.0 21.7 82.8 63.4 4.5 3.2 1.05 1.05 148 Angola 20.2 30.8 3.4 2.7 49.0 60.0 16.1 16.6 100.5 93.9 6.8 5.2 1.03 1.03 149 Myanmar 48.7 54.3 0.6 0.8 27.2 33.2 24.7 28.2 55.2 43.0 2.4 2.0 1.03 1.03 150 Cameroon 20.5 28.8 2.3 2.1 45.5 52.7 18.2 19.3 86.3 78.3 5.0 4.3 1.03 1.03 151 Madagascar 21.9 35.3 3.0 2.8 27.1 33.2 17.4 18.2 93.8 83.7 5.5 4.5 1.02 1.03 152 Tanzania, United Republic of 47.7 81.9 2.6 3.1 22.3 27.2 17.4 17.5 91.0 92.6 5.7 5.5 1.03 1.03 153 Nigeria 166.6 257.8 2.5 2.5 42.4 50.3 18.1 18.5 86.4 86.1 5.9 5.5 1.06 1.06 154 Senegal 13.1 20.0 2.7 2.6 40.3 42.8 17.0 17.8 92.1 84.3 5.5 4.7 1.03 1.03 155 Mauritania 3.6 5.2 2.8 2.2 40.0 41.7 18.4 19.8 83.0 73.1 5.2 4.4 1.05 1.05 156 Papua New Guinea 7.2 10.2 2.5 2.2 13.2 12.5 19.6 20.4 74.7 70.3 4.5 3.8 1.08 1.08 157 Nepal 31.0 39.9 2.2 1.7 13.4 17.3 19.2 21.4 80.5 64.1 4.1 2.6 1.05 1.05 158 Lesotho 2.2 2.6 1.0 1.0 20.0 28.3 18.6 20.3 84.1 69.1 4.1 3.1 1.03 1.03 159 Togo 6.3 8.7 2.4 2.0 32.9 38.5 18.0 19.7 86.4 73.6 5.1 3.9 1.02 1.02 160 Yemen 25.6 41.3 3.1 3.0 26.3 32.9 15.5 17.4 105.6 86.4 6.5 5.0 1.05 1.05 161 Haiti 10.3 12.5 1.6 1.3 35.6 54.8 19.1 21.5 79.2 65.5 4.3 3.2 1.05 1.05 161 Uganda 35.6 59.8 3.2 3.1 12.1 16.0 15.6 15.7 106.0 103.1 6.9 6.0 1.03 1.03 163 Zambia 13.9 24.5 2.3 3.0 34.8 39.6 17.1 16.7 93.2 99.0 6.1 6.3 1.03 1.03 164 Djibouti 0.9 1.3 2.0 1.9 76.5 77.1 18.9 21.4 78.8 62.8 4.8 3.6 1.04 1.04 165 Gambia 1.8 2.8 3.0 2.7 48.8 57.9 16.9 17.8 92.1 83.8 5.6 4.7 1.03 1.03 166 Benin 9.4 14.6 3.2 2.7 38.3 45.6 17.1 17.9 94.5 86.9 6.0 5.1 1.04 1.04 167 Rwanda 11.3 17.6 2.6 2.9 13.8 19.4 16.9 18.7 92.4 84.2 5.8 5.3 1.01 1.01 168 Côte d’Ivoire 20.6 29.8 1.7 2.2 43.5 52.0 18.7 19.2 81.6 79.3 5.2 4.3 1.02 1.02 169 Comoros 0.8 1.2 2.7 2.5 28.1 28.1 18.5 18.9 79.2 82.8 5.3 4.8 1.05 1.05 170 Malawi 15.9 28.2 2.7 3.2 14.6 15.8 17.0 16.9 95.6 96.3 6.1 6.0 1.03 1.03 171 Sudan 35.0 50.8 2.3 2.4 32.5 33.3 18.6 k 19.7 k 83.7 k 76.0 k 5.5 k .. 1.05 k 1.05 k 172 Zimbabwe 13.0 17.6 0.1 2.2 33.8 39.1 18.2 19.3 82.3 71.6 3.9 3.1 1.02 1.02 173 Ethiopia 86.5 118.5 2.5 2.1 14.7 17.2 17.0 18.7 95.7 77.3 6.1 3.9 1.03 1.03 174 Liberia 4.2 6.5 2.2 2.6 44.3 48.5 17.9 18.2 85.9 86.0 5.8 5.1 1.06 1.06 175 Afghanistan 33.4 53.3 3.8 3.1 20.6 23.8 15.9 16.6 101.3 92.6 7.7 6.0 1.06 1.06 176 Guinea-Bissau 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.1 35.9 44.6 18.2 19.0 86.7 79.7 5.8 4.9 1.03 1.03 177 Sierra Leone 6.1 8.5 4.4 2.1 35.8 39.6 18.5 18.4 80.2 80.8 5.7 4.8 1.02 1.02 178 Burundi 8.7 11.4 2.6 1.9 8.2 11.2 16.7 20.2 96.5 67.7 5.8 4.1 1.03 1.03 178 Guinea 10.5 15.9 1.6 2.5 31.0 35.9 17.7 18.3 90.7 85.0 6.0 5.1 1.06 1.06 180 Central African Republic 4.6 6.4 1.6 2.0 37.6 39.3 18.7 19.4 85.1 78.0 5.4 4.5 1.03 1.03 181 Eritrea 5.6 8.4 4.0 2.9 17.6 21.8 17.1 19.0 89.7 78.9 5.4 4.3 1.03 1.03 182 Mali 16.3 26.8 3.1 3.0 28.1 35.6 16.3 16.3 98.8 97.3 6.8 6.2 1.05 1.05 196 | HUMAN DevELoPMENt REPort 2013
Human Development Report 2013 The Rise of the South Human Progress in a Diverse World Population Total a Annual growth Urban Median age Total dependency ratio Total fertility rate Sex ratio at birth b (millions) (%) (% of total) (years) (per 100 people ages 15–64) (births per woman) (male to female births) HDI rank 2012 2030 2000/2005 2010/2015 a,c 2000 2012 2000 2010 2000 2012 2000 2012 a,c 2000 d 2012 c 183 Burkina Faso 17.5 29.1 2.9 3.0 17.8 27.4 16.5 17.1 95.3 90.5 6.3 5.8 1.05 1.05 184 Chad 11.8 18.4 3.5 2.6 21.5 21.9 16.9 17.1 96.2 92.6 6.6 5.8 1.03 1.03 185 Mozambique 24.5 35.9 2.6 2.2 29.1 31.4 17.9 17.8 88.8 89.1 5.7 4.8 1.03 1.03 186 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 69.6 106.0 2.9 2.6 29.3 34.8 16.0 16.7 102.6 94.0 6.9 5.5 1.03 1.03 186 Niger 16.6 30.8 3.5 3.5 16.2 18.1 15.8 15.5 102.3 104.8 7.5 7.0 1.05 1.05 Other countries or territories Korea, Democratic People’s Rep. of 24.6 26.2 0.7 0.4 59.4 60.4 29.9 32.9 49.5 47.0 2.1 2.0 1.05 1.05 Marshall Islands 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 68.4 72.2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Monaco 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0 100.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nauru 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 100.0 100.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. San Marino 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.6 93.4 94.1 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Somalia 9.8 16.4 2.4 2.6 33.2 38.2 18.0 17.5 88.3 91.0 6.5 6.3 1.03 1.03 South Sudan 10.7 16.1 2.8 l 3.2 l 16.5 18.2 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tuvalu 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 46.0 51.0 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Human Development Index groups Very high human development 1,134.3 1,216.9 0.7 0.5 77.0 81.2 36.8 39.3 49.1 50.3 1.6 1.8 1.05 1.06 High human development 1,039.2 1,150.1 0.9 0.8 70.1 74.1 27.6 30.4 54.7 46.4 2.2 1.9 1.05 1.05 Medium human development 3,520.5 4,017.4 1.2 1.0 34.8 43.7 25.6 28.9 56.8 47.0 2.5 2.1 1.10 1.10 Low human development 1,280.7 1,845.3 2.3 2.2 28.6 33.6 18.4 19.8 85.2 75.5 5.1 4.2 1.04 1.04 Regions Arab States 357.3 480.8 2.2 2.0 53.2 57.2 20.6 23.3 72.3 59.7 3.9 3.0 1.05 1.05 East Asia and the Pacific 1,991.4 2,135.3 0.8 0.6 36.7 49.7 28.1 32.3 50.8 40.9 2.0 1.8 1.14 1.12 Europe and Central Asia 481.6 491.3 0.0 0.2 63.2 64.8 32.9 34.9 49.5 43.4 1.6 1.7 1.06 1.06 Latin America and the Caribbean 597.7 696.0 1.3 1.1 75.3 79.3 24.4 27.5 60.3 52.1 2.6 2.2 1.05 1.05 South Asia 1,753.0 2,141.8 1.6 1.4 29.0 32.9 22.0 24.6 66.7 54.6 3.3 2.6 1.07 1.07 Sub-Saharan Africa 852.5 1,284.0 2.5 2.5 32.0 37.0 17.8 18.5 88.6 83.4 5.6 4.8 1.04 1.04 Least developed countries 870.4 T 1,256.8 T 2.2 T 2.2 T 24.3 T 28.9 T 18.3 T 19.7 T 85.5 T 75.5 T 5.1 T 4.1 T 1.04 T 1.04 T Small island developing states 53.8 63.8 1.3 1.1 48.2 52.6 24.0 26.6 64.6 57.3 3.1 2.7 1.06 1.06 World 7,052.1 T 8,321.3 T 1.2 T 1.2 T 46.7 T 52.6 T 26.7 T 29.2 T 59.0 T 52.0 T 2.7 T 2.5 T 1.07 T 1.07 T NOTES a Projections based on medium-fertility variant. b The natural sex ratio at birth is commonly assumed and empirically confirmed to be 105 male births to 100 female births. c Data are annual average of projected values for 2010–2015. d Data are average annual estimates for 2000–2005. e Includes Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. f Includes Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island. g Includes Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla. h Includes Kosovo. i Includes Taiwan, China, and excludes Hong Kong Special Administrative Region and Macao Special Administrative Region. j Excludes Hong Kong Special Administrative Region and Macao Special Administrative Region. k Estimates are for Sudan only and do not include South Sudan. l HDRO calculations based on population data from UNDESA (2012b). T Aggregate from original data source. DEFINITIONS Population: De facto population in a country, area or region as of 1 July. Annual population growth rate: Average annual exponential growth rate for the period specified. Urban population: De facto population living in areas classified as urban according to the criteria used by each area or country as of 1 July. Median age: Age that divides the population distribution into two equal parts—that is, 50% of the population is above that age and 50% is below it. Total dependency ratio: Ratio of the sum of the population ages 0–14 and ages 65 and older to the population ages 15–64. Total fertility rate: Number of children that would be born to each woman if she were to live to the end of her child-bearing years and bear children at each age in accordance with prevailing age-specific fertility rates. Sex ratio at birth: Number of male births per female birth. MAIN DATA SOURCES Columns 1, 2, 13 and 14: UNDESA (2012b). Columns 3, 4 and 7–12: UNDESA (2011). Columns 5 and 6: UNDESA (2012a). Table 14 Population trends | 197
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W N S E Human Development Report 20
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Human Development Report 2013 The R
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Human Development Report 2013 Team
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Finally, the Report also calls for
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Heather Simpson, Ben Slay, Mounir T
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3.6 India’s Supreme Court issues
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Overview One of the most heartening
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and sustainability are fully incorp
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Without investment in people, retur
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opportunity to reap the full benefi
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Woods institutions, the United Nati
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Introduction When developed economi
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leading economies—Brazil, China a
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comparable access to information, e
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mobile phones: cellular banking is
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“The political problem of mankind
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BOX 1.1 Fairness, macroeconomics an
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BOX 1.3 Amartya Sen, Nobel Laureate
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FIGURE 1.1 Income per capita is ris
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BOX 1.4 Subjective indicators of we
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FIGURE 1.4 There is notable variati
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FIGURE 1.6 Most regions show declin
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Progress in human development achie
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BOX 1.7 Social competencies: human
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TABLE 1.3 Inequality and satisfacti
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Not all countries have the precondi
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“When the music changes, so does
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BOX 2.1 The South’s integration w
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FIGURE 2.1 As a share of world merc
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BOX 2.2 Acquisitions by the South o
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FIGURE 2.3 Between 2000 and 2010, I
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FIGURE 2.4 Export earnings per capi
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BOX 2.6 Final assembly is about mor
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Instead of having a centre of indus
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FIGURE 2.6 Emerging market economie
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Developing countries trade more amo
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“We cannot expect that all nation
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TABLE 3.1 Selected developing count
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A common feature of countries that
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More important than getting prices
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BOX 3.5 Eastern Europe and Central
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States have to be conscious that th
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As countries develop, they tend to
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Having weathered the Asian financia
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Providing public services that cont
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Advancing health requires more than
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Universal public health and educati
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• China. The Minimum Livelihood G
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“Each generation will reap what t
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concerns will make for a complex en
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A greater emphasis on education can
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FIGURE 4.1 Under the fast track sce
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Around the world people are calling
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FIGURE 4.4 Different environmental
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FIGURE 4.5 Education policies can a
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BOX 4.2 China and Ghana: who benefi
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FIGURE 4.8 countries thus converge
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“Let us join hands to try to crea
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Areas of global international conce
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Addressing climate change requires
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International governance is increas
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BOX 5.2 Jo Leinen, Member of the Eu
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facilitates reserve investments and
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Responsible sovereignty takes the l
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FIGURE 5.1 Under the accelerated pr
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Good policymaking requires greater
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A fair and less unequal world requi
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Notes Overview 1 Atsmon and others
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25 Blinder 2006. 26 UNIDO 2009. 27
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which is 61.7 deaths per 1,000 live
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References Abdurazakov, A., A. Mins
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urban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_
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Kamau, P., D. McCormick, and N. Pin
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Labor Administration. Geneva: Inter
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Human Development Report 2013 The R
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Statistical acknowledgements The Re
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Key to HDI countries and ranks, 201
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