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Simulation of Clinical Trials with Mathematical Models ... - CBI

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A population dataset <strong>with</strong> pre-run interventions serves as a reference tool<br />

for development and implementation <strong>of</strong> novel approaches/medications<br />

Alternate <strong>Simulation</strong> Tool for CE: Cardio-Metabolic Risk Dataset<br />

Population<br />

Cardiometabolic<br />

interventions<br />

Treatment<br />

scenarios<br />

Settings<br />

• 100,000 individuals<br />

• Drawn from NHANES data 1999-2006<br />

• Subpopulations by age, gender, risk factors (e.g., CAD, DM)<br />

• Weight management<br />

• BP management<br />

• Cholesterol management<br />

• Medications (e.g., aspirin)<br />

• Glycemia management<br />

• Smoking cessation<br />

• Guidelines followed perfectly<br />

• Medications initiated at study start <strong>with</strong> no future adjustments<br />

• “Magic pills” - Medications that maintain outcome goal (e.g., LDL

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