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Simulation of Clinical Trials with Mathematical Models ... - CBI

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Net 30-year Cost<br />

(Discounted) to Health<br />

Plan<br />

DPP simulation revealed net<br />

cost <strong>of</strong> intervention<br />

Net Cost to Health Plan (Discounted) <strong>of</strong> two<br />

Programs, as Function <strong>of</strong> Annual Cost <strong>of</strong> Lifestyle<br />

Program<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

DPP Lifestyle vs No<br />

Program<br />

DPP Lifestyle<br />

is cost neutral<br />

at $100/year<br />

Lifestyle after<br />

diabetes diagnosis<br />

is cost neutral at<br />

Lifestyle after FPG+125<br />

vs. No Program $240/year<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

-1000<br />

0 200 400 600<br />

46<br />

-2000<br />

Annual Cost <strong>of</strong> Lifestyle Program<br />

46

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