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Petrochemical Sec<strong>to</strong>r<br />

Expected Sales Revenue (US$ mn) Growth<br />

Expected Profitability (US$ mn) Growth<br />

60,000.0<br />

50,000.0<br />

40,000.0<br />

30,000.0<br />

20,000.0<br />

10,000.0<br />

-<br />

45.7%<br />

Decline in prices<br />

32.4%<br />

-1.0% 6.5% 4.5%<br />

2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />

50.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-10.0%<br />

12,000.0<br />

10,000.0<br />

8,000.0<br />

6,000.0<br />

4,000.0<br />

2,000.0<br />

-<br />

35.6% Higher Financial & Depreciation Charges<br />

13.6%<br />

8.2%<br />

9.3%<br />

-5.8%<br />

2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-5.0%<br />

-10.0%<br />

Sales Revnue<br />

Growth<br />

Profitability<br />

Growth<br />

Source: Companies’ Annual Accounts & Global Research<br />

Saudi Petrochemical Outlook<br />

» Based on our coverage, sales revenues and<br />

profitability of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r will increase at a CAGR<br />

of 9.6% and 6.1% during 2007-11 respectively<br />

» Leading players <strong>to</strong> acquire & establish<br />

manufacturing & marketing units in European<br />

& American region and utilizing <strong>the</strong> platform of<br />

SINOPEC is under-negotiation<br />

Source: Companies’ Annual Accounts & Global Research<br />

Expected Net Profit Margins<br />

24.0%<br />

23.0%<br />

23.0%<br />

Dilution in Depreciation Impact<br />

22.0%<br />

21.0%<br />

20.4%<br />

20.0%<br />

19.3%<br />

19.0%<br />

19.0%<br />

20.2%<br />

18.0%<br />

17.0%<br />

16.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />

Source: Companies’ Annual Accounts & Global Research<br />

Global Investment House 34 Saudi Arabia Economic Overview - January 2009

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