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Petrochemical Sec<strong>to</strong>r<br />
Expected Sales Revenue (US$ mn) Growth<br />
Expected Profitability (US$ mn) Growth<br />
60,000.0<br />
50,000.0<br />
40,000.0<br />
30,000.0<br />
20,000.0<br />
10,000.0<br />
-<br />
45.7%<br />
Decline in prices<br />
32.4%<br />
-1.0% 6.5% 4.5%<br />
2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />
50.0%<br />
40.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-10.0%<br />
12,000.0<br />
10,000.0<br />
8,000.0<br />
6,000.0<br />
4,000.0<br />
2,000.0<br />
-<br />
35.6% Higher Financial & Depreciation Charges<br />
13.6%<br />
8.2%<br />
9.3%<br />
-5.8%<br />
2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />
40.0%<br />
35.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
25.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-5.0%<br />
-10.0%<br />
Sales Revnue<br />
Growth<br />
Profitability<br />
Growth<br />
Source: Companies’ Annual Accounts & Global Research<br />
Saudi Petrochemical Outlook<br />
» Based on our coverage, sales revenues and<br />
profitability of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r will increase at a CAGR<br />
of 9.6% and 6.1% during 2007-11 respectively<br />
» Leading players <strong>to</strong> acquire & establish<br />
manufacturing & marketing units in European<br />
& American region and utilizing <strong>the</strong> platform of<br />
SINOPEC is under-negotiation<br />
Source: Companies’ Annual Accounts & Global Research<br />
Expected Net Profit Margins<br />
24.0%<br />
23.0%<br />
23.0%<br />
Dilution in Depreciation Impact<br />
22.0%<br />
21.0%<br />
20.4%<br />
20.0%<br />
19.3%<br />
19.0%<br />
19.0%<br />
20.2%<br />
18.0%<br />
17.0%<br />
16.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />
Source: Companies’ Annual Accounts & Global Research<br />
Global Investment House 34 Saudi Arabia Economic Overview - January 2009