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Economic Overview<br />

GDP<br />

» Saudi Arabia possessing more than 20% & 10% of world’s oil & gas reserves, respectively, regarded as<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic powerhouse of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), will fur<strong>the</strong>r consolidate its position in<br />

post GCC full economic union.<br />

» In <strong>the</strong> scenario of falling oil prices & slowdown of global economy, we expect Saudi economy <strong>to</strong> record<br />

real GDP growth of 2.2% in 2009 and an oil price of around US$51/bbl could lead <strong>to</strong> balancing of<br />

FY2009 Saudi budget.<br />

Global Investment House<br />

Nominal GDP & Oil Price<br />

(SR bn)<br />

1,800<br />

1,700<br />

1,600<br />

1,500<br />

1,400<br />

1,300<br />

1,200<br />

1,100<br />

1,000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

(US$/barrel)<br />

1,753.0 100<br />

95.0 95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

84.4<br />

80<br />

1,430.5<br />

1,335.6<br />

75<br />

70<br />

1,182.5<br />

65<br />

59.0<br />

60<br />

55<br />

49.7<br />

50<br />

938.8<br />

45<br />

804.6<br />

40<br />

34.5<br />

35<br />

686.3 707.1<br />

30<br />

27.1<br />

23.1 24.3<br />

25<br />

20<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E<br />

Nominal GDP (LHS)<br />

Source: SAMA, Ministry of Economy & Planning<br />

Average Price-Arabian Light (RHS)<br />

Saudi Arabia Economic Overview - January 2009

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