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2020.SE (Reuters)<br />

SAFCO AB Equity (Bloomberg)<br />

Saudi Arabia Fertilizers Company<br />

CMP: SR87.2<br />

» SAFCO has <strong>the</strong> largest fertilizer producing facilities in Saudi Arabia and at present, is in a negotiation stage <strong>to</strong><br />

finalize <strong>the</strong> supply of feeds<strong>to</strong>ck gas for SAFCO-V project, which will add <strong>the</strong> 2.7mn <strong>to</strong>ns in <strong>the</strong> existing capacity<br />

by 2011 and lead <strong>the</strong> earning <strong>to</strong> increase at a CAGR of 13.2% during 2007-11.<br />

SRmn 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />

Sales Revenue 1,824 1,831 3,516 6,208 4,461 4,691 5,754<br />

Gross Profit 1,075 1,090 2,295 4,818 2,949 3,028 3,707<br />

Operating Profit 982 989 2,127 4,659 2,740 2,800 3,459<br />

Net Profit 1,100 1,151 2,209 4,848 2,893 2,968 3,633<br />

Total Assets 6,207 6,729 8,153 9,905 10,606 11,229 12,175<br />

Total Liabilities 1,419 1,989 2,139 2,436 2,270 2,151 2,188<br />

Total Shareholders' Equity & Minority Interest 4,788 4,739 6,014 7,469 8,337 9,079 9,987<br />

Ratios<br />

Current Ratio (x) 2.7 2.6 3.1 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3<br />

EBITDA 1,178 1,183 2,471 5,012 3,137 3,243 3,952<br />

EV 24,991 17,569 28,879 20,018 19,219 18,918 18,311<br />

EV/EBITDA (x) 21.2 14.9 11.7 4.0 6.1 5.8 4.6<br />

EBITDA Margin% 64.6% 64.6% 70.3% 80.7% 70.3% 69.1% 68.7%<br />

Net Profit Margin% 60.3% 62.9% 62.8% 78.1% 64.8% 63.3% 63.1%<br />

Return On Average Assets % 19.2% 17.8% 29.7% 53.7% 28.2% 27.2% 31.0%<br />

Return On Average Equity % 24.4% 24.2% 41.1% 71.9% 36.6% 34.1% 38.1%<br />

EPS 4.4 4.6 8.8 19.4 11.6 11.9 14.5<br />

Book Value Per Share 19.2 19.0 24.1 29.9 33.3 36.3 39.9<br />

Dividend Payout % 50.9% 116.4% 54.3% 70.0% 70.0% 75.0% 75.0%<br />

Market Price 98.4 68.4 118.5 87.2 87.2 87.2 87.2<br />

P/E Ratio (x) 22.4 14.9 13.4 4.5 7.5 7.3 6.0<br />

P/BV (x) 5.1 3.6 4.9 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.2<br />

His<strong>to</strong>rical P / E & P / BV multiples pertain <strong>to</strong> respective year -end prices, while those for future years are based on closing prices on <strong>the</strong> TASI as of Dec 29, 2008<br />

(Source: Company Reports & Global Research)<br />

Global Investment House 96 Saudi Arabia Economic Overview - January 2009

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