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1010.SE (Reuters)<br />

RIBL AB (Bloomberg)<br />

Global Investment House<br />

Riyad Bank<br />

CMP: SR20.3<br />

» Riyad Bank (RIBL) being <strong>the</strong> only Saudi bank showing positive profitability results in FY07, showed (YoY)<br />

decline of 4.8% in its 9M08 results. At times of increased global financial volatility, <strong>the</strong> decline in bank’s net<br />

profit was mainly due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> revaluation of <strong>the</strong> bank’s trading portfolio during 3Q08.<br />

» Overall, RIBL’s continuing focus on core banking activities ac<strong>com</strong>panied by its openness for expansion through<br />

joint ventures in Gulf, business acquisitions, and venturing in<strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r businesses lines provide <strong>the</strong> bank with a<br />

wide array of profit generating opportunities.<br />

SRmn 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />

Assets 80,079 94,016 121,351 149,694 162,627 181,441 198,929<br />

Gross Loans 46,973 53,660 68,865 96,542 100,207 113,920 131,008<br />

Deposits 52,730 69,192 84,331 89,391 105,481 126,578 145,564<br />

Shareholders’ Equity 10,960 11,992 13,187 26,064 26,921 28,009 29,169<br />

Net Interest In<strong>com</strong>e 2,672 2,926 3,266 3,803 4,745 5,372 6,109<br />

Net In<strong>com</strong>e 2,837 2,909 3,011 2,669 2,857 3,626 4,142<br />

Ratios<br />

Yield on earning assets (%) 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9%<br />

Cost of funds (%) 2.2% 3.6% 3.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.6%<br />

Spreads (%) 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3%<br />

Loans <strong>to</strong> Deposits ratio (%) 89.1% 77.6% 81.7% 108.0% 95.0% 90.0% 90.0%<br />

NPLs /Gross Loans (%) 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%<br />

NPL coverage (%) 269.5% 176.8% 139.2% 175.8% 180.9% 187.9% 192.2%<br />

ROAA (%) 3.7% 3.3% 2.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2%<br />

ROAE (%) 29.7% 27.7% 26.1% 14.0% 10.8% 13.2% 14.5%<br />

Cost <strong>to</strong> In<strong>com</strong>e (%) 33.7% 35.6% 37.6% 42.6% 44.9% 42.6% 41.7%<br />

Dividend yield (%) 1.5% 4.0% 2.7% 5.8% 6.3% 8.1% 9.5%<br />

Earnings per Share (SR) 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.8<br />

Book Value per Share (SR) 6.7 7.3 8.1 17.4 17.9 18.7 19.4<br />

P/E (x) 37.4 17.3 24.6 11.4 10.6 8.4 7.3<br />

P/BV (x) 10.5 4.6 6.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0<br />

His<strong>to</strong>rical P / E & P / BV multiples pertain <strong>to</strong> respecitve year -end prices, while those for future years are based on closing prices on <strong>the</strong> TASI as of Dec 29, 2008<br />

(Source: Company Reports & Global Research)<br />

87 Saudi Arabia Economic Overview - January 2009

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