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1030.SE (Reuters)<br />
SIBC AB (Bloomberg)<br />
» Although Saudi Investment Bank’s (SAIB) significant profitability decline in FY07 recorded relative improvement,<br />
its performance remained under pressure. In 9M08 results, SAIB showed profitability decline (YoY) of 30.5%,<br />
which was mainly due <strong>to</strong> high provisions carried out <strong>to</strong> address any decline in part of its investment portfolio<br />
linked <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> global financial distressed conditions.<br />
» As SAIB continues <strong>to</strong> work on improving its non-<strong>com</strong>mission in<strong>com</strong>e, <strong>the</strong> bank also needs <strong>to</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r boost its<br />
efforts for posting improved core banking performance.<br />
Global Investment House<br />
Saudi Investment Bank<br />
CMP: SR15.9<br />
SRmn 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />
Assets 39,581 40,845 46,542 57,192 67,560 76,245 83,204<br />
Gross Loans 20,481.8 21,468.6 23,850.8 33,948.2 40,737.9 46,848.5 51,533.4<br />
Deposits 27,858.1 27,931.0 32,768.3 45,713.7 55,627.3 63,798.2 70,213.4<br />
Shareholders’ Equity 5,306.7 6,001.3 6,769.5 7,107.4 7,384.2 7,701.4 8,039.8<br />
Net Interest In<strong>com</strong>e 785.7 1,030.5 1,056.0 1,058.4 1,123.9 1,401.3 1,501.0<br />
Net In<strong>com</strong>e 1,064.5 2,006.3 822.2 415.0 538.2 765.8 817.0<br />
Ratios<br />
Yield on earning assets (%) 5.5% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0%<br />
Cost of funds (%) 3.3% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8%<br />
Spreads (%) 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2%<br />
Loans <strong>to</strong> Deposits ratio (%) 73.5% 76.9% 72.8% 74.3% 73.2% 73.4% 73.4%<br />
NPLs /Gross Loans (%) 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%<br />
NPL coverage (%) 364.0% 357.7% 243.2% 230.1% 243.6% 259.8% 284.2%<br />
ROAA (%) 3.1% 5.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0%<br />
ROAE (%) 24.1% 35.5% 12.9% 6.0% 7.4% 10.2% 10.4%<br />
Cost <strong>to</strong> In<strong>com</strong>e (%) 24.8% 18.4% 37.1% 54.5% 50.8% 44.5% 44.9%<br />
Dividend yield (%) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.2%<br />
Earnings per Share (SR) 2.4 4.5 1.8 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.8<br />
Book Value per Share (SR) 11.8 13.3 15.0 15.8 16.4 17.1 17.9<br />
P/E (x) 31.5 10.6 27.9 17.2 13.3 9.3 8.8<br />
P/BV (x) 6.3 3.5 3.4 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9<br />
His<strong>to</strong>rical P / E & P / BV multiples pertain <strong>to</strong> respecitve year -end prices, while those for future years are based on closing prices on <strong>the</strong> TASI as of Dec 29, 2008<br />
(Source: Company Reports & Global Research)<br />
91 Saudi Arabia Economic Overview - January 2009