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IEDC-2010 Conference Proceedings (Download ... - NED University

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Figure 4. How the Future OD is Developed<br />

Considering the theory of gravity model, we adopted the following methodology to calculate the future<br />

person-trip production of Kiamari Town: Firstly, the union council‘s population data was collected from<br />

the official website of ―Statistical Review of Pakistan‖ and then we converted it into zonal population of<br />

130 zones by merging adjacent union councils of same town. As Kiamari is the study area, hence we did<br />

not merge its union councils and considered all of its UCs as an individual zone. Secondly, we applied<br />

gravity modeling on trips produced by Kiamari Town zone to all other zones i.e. considering Kiamari as a<br />

major trip producing zones. Thirdly, we calculated population of each union council of Kiamari Town for<br />

the year 2020. For this purpose, we took average estimated population of Kiamari Town from KSDP-<br />

2020 and divide it in all UCs of the study area.<br />

POP 1 =POP 2020 – POP 2005<br />

Where POP 1 is the population difference between year 2005 and 2020. Finally, for obtaining future OD<br />

Matrix (Table 4), the person trip data obtained above was converted into vehicular trips.<br />

Table 4. Future OD Matrix Used in This Study<br />

<strong>Proceedings</strong> of <strong>IEDC</strong> <strong>2010</strong>, 1-3 July, <strong>2010</strong><br />

202<br />

<strong>IEDC</strong>-223-087

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