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Plastic Bags - COAG Standing Council on Environment and Water

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Opti<strong>on</strong> L: assumpti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

For the purposes of this cost-benefit analysis, this opti<strong>on</strong> is assumed to c<strong>on</strong>sist of the<br />

following features: 119<br />

Timing<br />

• comprehensive ban from 1 January 2009<br />

Industry:<br />

• <strong>on</strong>e-off cost to retailers of $187 milli<strong>on</strong> ($65 milli<strong>on</strong> for staff training,<br />

$120 milli<strong>on</strong> for increased theft, <strong>and</strong> $1.7 milli<strong>on</strong> to modify equipment to cater<br />

for plastic bag substitutes<br />

• <strong>on</strong>going costs to retailers caused by increased transacti<strong>on</strong> times <strong>and</strong><br />

administrati<strong>on</strong> costs of $60 milli<strong>on</strong> annually<br />

• no costs to retailers associated with in-store educati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> promoti<strong>on</strong><br />

• no cost to retailers associated with administrati<strong>on</strong><br />

Households<br />

• 100 percent reducti<strong>on</strong> in the c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> of plastic bags from 2009 <strong>on</strong>wards,<br />

at $0.03 per plastic bag ($142 milli<strong>on</strong> in 2009)<br />

• reusable bags c<strong>on</strong>sumed as substitutes for 95 percent of plastic bags foreg<strong>on</strong>e,<br />

at a replacement rate of about 125 plastic bags for each reusable, at $1.40 per<br />

reusable ($50 milli<strong>on</strong> in 2009)<br />

• paper bags c<strong>on</strong>sumed as substitutes for 5 percent of plastic bags foreg<strong>on</strong>e, at<br />

a replacement rate of <strong>on</strong>e for <strong>on</strong>e, at $0.15 per bag ($36 milli<strong>on</strong> in 2009)<br />

• bin liners c<strong>on</strong>sumed as substitutes for 100 percent of plastic bags foreg<strong>on</strong>e, at<br />

a replacement rate of <strong>on</strong>e for seven, at $0.05 per bin liner ($36 milli<strong>on</strong> in 2009)<br />

• all other impacts modelled by MMRF-Green<br />

Government<br />

• reducti<strong>on</strong> in expenditure <strong>on</strong> litter clean-up for stray plastic bags ($4 milli<strong>on</strong>)<br />

• <strong>on</strong>going costs of 0.1 full-time equivalent employee for administrati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

m<strong>on</strong>itoring for each jurisdicti<strong>on</strong> (nine jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s at $11,000 each, resulting<br />

in a total of $99,000)<br />

• all other impacts modelled by MMRF-Green.<br />

Findings<br />

Costs <strong>and</strong> benefits (compared to no further acti<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>)<br />

Benefits<br />

(NPV, $m)<br />

Costs<br />

(NPV, $m)<br />

Net impact<br />

(NPV, $m)<br />

Required<br />

unquantified<br />

benefits<br />

(NPV, $m)<br />

Reducti<strong>on</strong> in<br />

plastic bag litter<br />

$217.78 -$1057.08 -$839.30 $839.30 360.6 milli<strong>on</strong><br />

119 Assumpti<strong>on</strong>s used for modelling purposes by Allen C<strong>on</strong>sulting Group in report Phasing Out Light-Weight<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Plastic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Bags</str<strong>on</strong>g>: Costs <strong>and</strong> Benefits of Alternative Approaches, p. 56<br />

C<strong>on</strong>sultati<strong>on</strong> Regulatory Impact Statement: Investigati<strong>on</strong> of opti<strong>on</strong>s to reduce the envir<strong>on</strong>mental impact of plastic bags January 2007 73

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