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Plastic Bags - COAG Standing Council on Environment and Water

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• otherwise, similar commitments to those in the ARA code (i.e. educati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

support for litter eradicati<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>tinued promoti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> provisi<strong>on</strong> of<br />

alternatives, etc.)<br />

Households<br />

• c<strong>on</strong>sumers resp<strong>on</strong>d to suasive efforts of retailers, <strong>and</strong> therefore face<br />

increased costs due to their switch to more expensive substitutes<br />

o initial costs are therefore associated with savings from plastic bags<br />

that are no l<strong>on</strong>ger c<strong>on</strong>sumed, <strong>and</strong> costs associated with a switch to<br />

single-use bag alternatives<br />

Government<br />

• <strong>on</strong>going costs in m<strong>on</strong>itoring <strong>and</strong> administrati<strong>on</strong><br />

o ‘modest take-up’ scenario, estimated as the same as baseline –<br />

c<strong>on</strong>servatively estimated at 0.1 full-time equivalent employee for<br />

administrati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> m<strong>on</strong>itoring compliance for each jurisdicti<strong>on</strong><br />

(nine jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s at $11,000 each, totaling $99,000)<br />

o ‘high take-up’ scenario, assumed to be slightly greater if appended<br />

to the covenant (costs to be scaled accordingly)<br />

• reducti<strong>on</strong> in expenditure <strong>on</strong> litter clean-up for stray plastic bags, using the<br />

same assumpti<strong>on</strong>s as used in earlier analysis<br />

5<br />

10<br />

15<br />

Findings<br />

Costs <strong>and</strong> benefits (compared to baseline)<br />

High take-up (scenario 2a)<br />

Benefits<br />

(PV, $m)<br />

Costs<br />

(PV, $m)<br />

Net impact<br />

(NPV, $m)<br />

Required<br />

unquantified<br />

benefits (NPV, $m)<br />

Reducti<strong>on</strong> in<br />

plastic bag<br />

litter<br />

$93 -$799 -$706 $706 148 milli<strong>on</strong><br />

Modest take-up (scenario 2b)<br />

Benefits<br />

(PV, $m)<br />

Costs<br />

(PV, $m)<br />

Net impact<br />

(NPV, $m)<br />

Required<br />

unquantified<br />

benefits (NPV, $m)<br />

Reducti<strong>on</strong> in<br />

plastic bag<br />

litter<br />

$84 -$535 -$450 $450 134 milli<strong>on</strong><br />

The supplementary ACG analysis estimated that the benefits of the proposed ANRA code would<br />

range from $84 milli<strong>on</strong> to $93 milli<strong>on</strong> in present value terms over the period from 2006 to 2016,<br />

depending <strong>on</strong> the number of participating retailers. Costs identified would range from $535<br />

milli<strong>on</strong> to $799 milli<strong>on</strong> over the same period.<br />

A number of factors (such as social benefits) have not been quantified for this opti<strong>on</strong>. According to<br />

the supplementary analysis, these would need to be a benefit greater than $706 milli<strong>on</strong> over the<br />

period before the ‘high take-up opti<strong>on</strong>’ provides an improvement in social welfare, <strong>and</strong><br />

$450 milli<strong>on</strong> before the ‘modest take-up opti<strong>on</strong>’ does so.<br />

C<strong>on</strong>sultati<strong>on</strong> Regulatory Impact Statement: Investigati<strong>on</strong> of opti<strong>on</strong>s to reduce the envir<strong>on</strong>mental impact of plastic bags January 2007 81

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