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County of San Diego 2005/2006 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory

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• Non-combustion industrial emissions sources<br />

The following sources were excluded because they occurred largely outside the jurisdiction’s boundaries:<br />

• Aviation<br />

• Rail<br />

• Regional public transit<br />

D.2 <strong>Emissions</strong> Forecast<br />

This inventory includes a “business-as-usual” forecast to 2020, estimating emissions that will occur if no new<br />

emissions reduction policies are implemented. The forecast is based on household, population, and job projections<br />

from SANDAG’s 2030 Regional Growth Forecast Update. As a business-as-usual projection, the forecast does not<br />

take into account legislation or regulation currently under development, and relies on demographic data as the basis<br />

for estimating growth in each sector. The forecasting approach varies for each sector:<br />

• Residential emissions are based on projected growth in local jurisdiction households.<br />

• Commercial / industrial sector emissions are correlated with forecasted job growth in the local<br />

jurisdiction.<br />

• Transportation emissions are based on projected growth rates in regional vehicle miles traveled<br />

associated with SANDAG’s Regional Transportation Plan 2030.<br />

• Solid waste and wastewater emissions are correlated with forecasted population growth in the local<br />

jurisdiction.<br />

D.3 The Built Environment: Residential, Commercial, and Industrial Sectors<br />

Electricity and natural gas sold to <strong>San</strong> <strong>Diego</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> & Electric customers as bundled service (both energy generation<br />

and transmission/distribution) was provided by Benjamin Lopez at SDG&E. Direct access electricity and natural<br />

gas was also provided by SDG&E, which records the direct access resources that are distributed through its grid.<br />

Bundled SDG&E electricity emissions were calculated in ICLEI’s CACP s<strong>of</strong>tware using SDG&E-specific<br />

emissions factors provided by the California Climate Action Registry. Direct access electricity consumption was<br />

calculated in CACP using EPA eGrid emissions factors for the WECC California eGrid subregion. All natural gas<br />

emissions were calculated in CACP with default emissions factors from the Local Government Operations<br />

Protocol.<br />

<strong>2005</strong>/<strong>2006</strong> <strong>San</strong> <strong>Diego</strong> <strong>County</strong> <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong> <strong>Inventory</strong> XVII

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