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Observed Climate Changes and Impacts<br />

Figure 10: Greenland surface melt measurements from three<br />

satellites on July 8 (left panel) and July 12 (right panel), 2012.<br />

Figure 11: Observed changes in ocean acidity (pH) compared to<br />

concentration of carbon dioxide dissolved in seawater (p CO 2<br />

) alongside<br />

the atmospheric CO 2<br />

record from 1956. A decrease in pH indicates an<br />

increase in acidity.<br />

Source: NOAA 2012, PMEL Carbon Program.<br />

Source: NASA 2012.<br />

The Greenland ice sheet’s increasing vulnerability to warming is<br />

apparent in the trends and events reported here—the rapid growth<br />

in melt area observed since the 1970s and the record surface melt<br />

in early July 2012.<br />

Ocean Acidification<br />

The oceans play a major role as one of the Earth´s large CO 2<br />

sinks.<br />

As atmospheric CO 2<br />

rises, the oceans absorb additional CO 2<br />

in an<br />

attempt to restore the balance between uptake and release at the<br />

oceans’ surface. They have taken up approximately 25 percent of<br />

anthropogenic CO 2<br />

emissions in the period 2000–06 (Canadell et al.<br />

2007). This directly impacts ocean biogeochemistry as CO 2<br />

reacts<br />

with water to eventually form a weak acid, resulting in what has<br />

been termed “ocean acidification.” Indeed, such changes have been<br />

observed in waters across the globe. For the period 1750–1994, a<br />

decrease in surface pH 9 of 0.1 pH has been calculated (Figure 11),<br />

which corresponds to a 30 percent increase in the concentration<br />

of the hydrogen ion (H + ) in seawater (Raven 2005). Observed<br />

increases in ocean acidity are more pronounced at higher latitudes<br />

than in the tropics or subtropics (Bindoff et al. 2007).<br />

Acidification of the world’s oceans because of increasing<br />

atmospheric CO 2<br />

concentration is, thus, one of the most tangible<br />

consequences of CO 2<br />

emissions and rising CO 2<br />

concentration.<br />

Ocean acidification is occurring and will continue to occur, in<br />

the context of warming and a decrease in dissolved oxygen in the<br />

world’s oceans. In the geological past, such observed changes<br />

in pH have often been associated with large-scale extinction<br />

events (Honisch et al. 2012). These changes in pH are projected<br />

to increase in the future. The rate of changes in overall ocean<br />

biogeochemistry currently observed and projected appears to<br />

be unparalleled in Earth history (Caldeira and Wickett 2003;<br />

Honisch et al. 2012).<br />

Critically, the reaction of CO 2<br />

with seawater reduces the<br />

availability of carbonate ions that are used by various marine<br />

biota for skeleton and shell formation in the form of calcium<br />

carbonate (CaCO 3<br />

). Surface waters are typically supersaturated<br />

with aragonite (a mineral form of CaCO 3<br />

), favoring the formation<br />

of shells and skeletons. If saturation levels are below a value<br />

of 1.0, the water is corrosive to pure aragonite and unprotected<br />

aragonite shells (Feely, Sabine, Hernandez-Ayon, Ianson, and<br />

Hales 2008). Because of anthropogenic CO 2<br />

emissions, the levels<br />

at which waters become undersaturated with respect to aragonite<br />

have become shallower when compared to preindustrial levels.<br />

Aragonite saturation depths have been calculated to be 100 to 200<br />

m shallower in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, while in the<br />

Pacific they are between 30 and 80 m shallower south of 38°S<br />

and between 30 and 100 m north of 3°N (Feely et al. 2004). In<br />

upwelling areas, which are often biologically highly productive,<br />

undersaturation levels have been observed to be shallow enough<br />

for corrosive waters to be upwelled intermittently to the surface.<br />

9 Measure of acidity. Decreasing pH indicates increasing acidity and is on a logarithmic<br />

scale; hence a small change in pH represents quite a large physical change.<br />

11

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