CUNY Master Plan 2012-2016
CUNY Master Plan 2012-2016
CUNY Master Plan 2012-2016
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INTRODUCTION<br />
2011, enrollment exceeded 33,000 in the graduate and professional schools, an increase of 6 percent<br />
from 2008. In addition, in 2010-2011, the <strong>CUNY</strong> Continuing Education and Workforce Development<br />
programs served more than 200,000 students.<br />
<strong>CUNY</strong> has always been an educational destination for immigrants and their children. If the following<br />
assumptions hold true, the effect on the University will be substantial.<br />
• If projections of continuing immigration into New York City are accurate;<br />
• If projections of increases in New York City’s total population are accurate;<br />
• If trends in New York City public high school graduation rates continue;<br />
• If projections of DOE enrollment are accurate;<br />
• If trends in <strong>CUNY</strong>’s share of DOE graduates continues increasing at the same rate; and<br />
• If trends in <strong>CUNY</strong>’s first-time freshman enrollment continue (with no enrollment caps).<br />
Despite Declining DOE Enrollments, <strong>CUNY</strong> Will Likely See Increased Market Demand.<br />
Projections of <strong>CUNY</strong> Freshman DOE Graduates under Different Graduation Rate Scenarios<br />
28,000<br />
26,000<br />
Average (2.0%)<br />
Annual Rate Increases<br />
24,000<br />
22,000<br />
Modest (0.5%)<br />
Annual Rate Increases<br />
No New<br />
Graduation Rate Increases<br />
20,000<br />
2011 <strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014 2015 <strong>2016</strong> 2017 2018<br />
Note: estimated numbers of graduates enrolling in the fall after graduation, assuming that the share of the DOE college-going<br />
population enrolling at <strong>CUNY</strong> remains the same.<br />
Source: <strong>CUNY</strong> OIRA and DOE<br />
Considering these trends, by fall 2018, DOE graduates could represent more than 85 percent of firsttime<br />
freshmen entering <strong>CUNY</strong>, composing an estimated 38,500 of the nearly 44,000 first-time freshmen<br />
(up from 26,400 of a total of about 37,000 first-time freshmen in 2011).<br />
<strong>CUNY</strong> Students: Current Demographics<br />
Fall 2011 data show that <strong>CUNY</strong> undergraduates are more likely to be female (58 percent) than male,<br />
as are the students in the graduate and professional colleges (66 percent), and that the mean age of the<br />
undergraduates is 24, although 28 percent are 25 or older. Approximately 41 percent of <strong>CUNY</strong> under-<br />
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