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INVESTING IN TREES AND LANDSCAPE ... - PROFOR

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size of an agricultural carbon project (to cover monitoring and other transaction costs) is estimated<br />

to be about 200,000 hectares, which would sequester roughly 50,000 tons of CO 2 per year (Forest<br />

Trends 2010). This need for aggregation is prompting new interest in landscape approaches that<br />

can encompass diverse land uses at scale. These projects are institutionally complex and require the<br />

engagement of stakeholders across sectors throughout the landscape (Shames and Scherr 2010).<br />

Diverse business models are developing that can be linked to agricultural product supply chains,<br />

agricultural and watershed development programs, and microfinance operations.<br />

Payments for watershed services are also expanding in Africa, although there are currently only a<br />

handful of functioning projects (Ferraro 2009). From a market perspective, the primary difference<br />

between water and carbon is that watershed service buyers are locally based. The downstream<br />

buyers must see a direct benefit from changed land management practices upstream. The buyers<br />

tend to be municipalities or beverage bottling plants.<br />

Payments to farmers for biodiversity are less developed in Africa, as they face financial barriers, political<br />

instability, and disagreements about how the payments should be structured (Madsen, Carroll, and<br />

Moore Brands 2010). Currently, most buyers are governments, NGOs, and philanthropic funds. But<br />

private financial flows could potentially dwarf these over the long term, in particular through biodiversity<br />

offsets in which commercial agriculture, infrastructure, urbanization, and industrial investments offset<br />

unavoidable damage to biodiversity by paying farmers, forest communities, or other land managers to<br />

protect or restore wild fauna and flora habitat and populations. As with carbon, these schemes usually<br />

require landscape-scale, multistakeholder negotiation processes to succeed.<br />

2.5 OTHER FACTORS THAT AFFECT OPPORTUNITIES<br />

FOR L<strong>AND</strong>SCAPE RESTORATION<br />

In addition to biophysical and market factors, other important spatial factors influence motivations<br />

and feasibility for private and public investment in landscape restoration. This section focuses on<br />

patterns of land and resource tenure, spatial patterns of international investment and land acquisition,<br />

quality of governance, and zones of conflict. An extended analysis would also take into account the<br />

spatial variations in population density, water availability, poverty, income and income growth, and<br />

agricultural productivity potential.<br />

Land and Forest Tenure<br />

Successful landscape restoration requires respect for pre-existing conventions of land and resource<br />

ownership; sensitivity to issues of access and equity as investments change the economic value<br />

of land, tree, and forest resources; and awareness of the risks that uncertain or contentious tenure<br />

regimes may pose to investors. Planning for successful restoration interventions will benefit from<br />

examining spatial patterns of tenure systems, including land under titling; secure private ownership<br />

without titling; community (common property) title, including customary security rights; national<br />

government ownership; and disputed ownership.<br />

While these distinctions provide a useful starting point, they do not in themselves reveal the degree<br />

of risk to investors that stems from insecure or disputed property rights. The unusually mixed<br />

evidence for the tenure-investment relationship makes Africa stand out from the rest of the world.<br />

Chapter 2. WHERE DO PRIVATE MARKET <strong>IN</strong>CENTIVES CONVERGE WITH L<strong>AND</strong>SCAPE RESTORATION GOALS?<br />

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