Infrastructure Projects Facility Technical Assistance Window (IPF TA ...

Infrastructure Projects Facility – Technical Assistance Window
Sub project: WB4-MNE-ENV-12B: Management Models and Options for Cost Recovery for the Future Construction and
Operation of Regional Landfills in Montenegro
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• In accordance with "The demographic trends in Montenegro since the
mid-20th century and prospects to 2050" (MONSTAT 2008), the population
in Montenegro in 2050 would be higher than for the starting year
2005. The results of the projection confirm that the process of depopulation,
which in the northern region will probably continue at least until
2015. For this reason, waste generation of 22,000 t/year over the period
2013-2017 may be expected.
• Percentage of recycled and uncollected waste will be 30% over the period
2013-2017 (recycled 13%, uncollected 17%).
• Increase in waste generation for the region over the period 2018-2022
will be about 6% due to the estimated demographic growth of +0.81%
(increase in waste producers) and GDP of +2.5%.
• Percentage of recycled and uncollected waste will be 33% over the period
2018-2022 (recycled 23%, uncollected 10%).
• Increase in waste generation for the region over the period 2018-2022
will be about 8%.
• Percentage of recycled and uncollected waste will be 55% over the period
2023-2030 (recycled 38%, uncollected 17%).
Table 10 Waste generation forecast, 2013-2030
Period Generated Recycled Uncollected Disposed
2013-2017 113,525 14,758 19,300 79,467
2018-2022 120,336 27,677 12,034 80,625
2023-2030 207,936 79,015 14,557 114,364
2013-2030 441,797 121,450 45,891 274,456
Source: Consultant's assessment based on changing population growth data
Landfill volume
According to the foregoing table, solid waste in the amount of 274,456 tons
will be disposed at the landfill over the period 2013-2030. Since the assumed
density of compacted waste is 950 kg/m³, a landfill volume of 288,179 m³ net is
needed for the waste.
Assuming that 16% of inert material is necessary for covering, the value of total
volume is 334.287 m³.
Taking into account the value of available landfill volume of 330.000 m³ and
the expected amount of generated waste for the following period, it can be concluded
that based on current parameters that the landfill can be designed for the
period of 18 years.
The Nikšić PUC, in its services for the collection and disposal of waste, submitted
information about collection of more than 40,000 tons waste per year. This
assumption is based on the volume of solid waste transport trucks and the number
of trips to the current dump; it is not based on measurements from a waste
scale. The PUC also confirms that this amount includes waste from illegal
dumps, construction and demolition waste, green waste and communal waste
without any selection and recycling. The PUC concurs with the Consultant‟s
.