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CONFLICT BAROMETER 2008

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18 Conflict Barometer <strong>2008</strong><br />

lages. While retrospective estimates of international observers<br />

assumed fewer than 100 civilian fatalities, South<br />

Ossetia and Russia claimed 2,000 victims. Russia intervened<br />

in support of South Ossetia, claiming to protect<br />

Russian citizens in South Ossetia. The Georgian air<br />

force tried to halt the advance of Russian tank columns<br />

entering South Ossetia from the North through the Roki<br />

tunnel in the early hours of August 8. South Ossetian<br />

militias, supported by Russian ground troops, repelled<br />

the offensive and retook Tskhinvali. Russia also carried<br />

out air strikes on Georgia from August 8 to 12. The<br />

brief war between August 8 and 12 left several hundred<br />

Georgians dead [→ Russia - Georgia]. The war also<br />

displaced 22,000 ethnic Georgians from villages within<br />

South Ossetia. Following the termination of hostilities,<br />

South Ossetia’s de-facto president, Eduard Kokoity, became<br />

a signatory to the Six-Point Ceasefire Agreement<br />

mediated by the French EU Presidency between Georgia<br />

and Russia. The latter recognized South Ossetia’s<br />

independence on August 26 and signed a comprehensive<br />

treaty of friendship and cooperation with South Ossetia<br />

foreseeing the establishment of a Russian military<br />

base in the region. On October 15, talks brokered by the<br />

UN, EU and OSCE in Geneva to mediate between Georgia<br />

and Russia foundered over the unresolved question<br />

of Abkhazian and South Ossetian participation in the negotiations.<br />

Finally, informal talks were held on November<br />

19, to be continued on a monthly basis. The Georgian<br />

central government lost control over the district of Akhalgori<br />

inside South Ossetia, which had not been under the<br />

control of the South Ossetian authorities before the August<br />

fighting. Georgia accused South Ossetian militias<br />

of ethnic cleansing against Georgian villages in the zone<br />

of conflict. Human rights organizations called on Russia<br />

to step up its responsibilities as an occupying power in<br />

South Ossetia in order to stop South Ossetian militias<br />

from attacking ethnic Georgians in the Akhalgori district<br />

still in late November. The situation in South Ossetia<br />

remained tense, with assassination attempts, bomb attacks,<br />

and cross-border shelling being frequent. (mak)<br />

Greece - Macedonia<br />

Intensity: 2 Change: Start: 1991<br />

Conflict parties: Greece vs. Macedonia<br />

Conflict items: other<br />

In Greece’s and Macedonia’s conflict over a mutually acceptable<br />

official name for the Macedonian state, compromise<br />

remained elusive. Between November 2007 and<br />

October <strong>2008</strong>, UN special envoy Matthew Nimetz’s mediation<br />

yielded no tangible results. Macedonia championed<br />

a ”dual formula”, i.e. using its constitutional name,<br />

Republic of Macedonia, internationally, and a special<br />

name for bilateral relations with Greece. In October,<br />

Nimetz proposed the name ”Republic of Northern Macedonia”<br />

internationally and ”Republic of Macedonia” domestically.<br />

Greece, which insisted on the transitional<br />

name ”Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia”, rejected<br />

a dual-name solution on October 7. In early April,<br />

Greece vetoed Macedonia’s NATO membership invitation.<br />

On June 5, Greece refused Macedonia’s President<br />

Branko Crvenkovski permission to land in Athens<br />

because his plane had Macedonia written on it. On<br />

July 14, Macedonian Prime Minister Gruevski asked his<br />

Greek counterpart Kostas Karamanlis to recognize the<br />

Macedonian minority in northern Greece. Karamanlis<br />

responded by denying the existence of such a minority.<br />

On August 12, Gruevski asked Nimetz to include Greek<br />

recognition of the Macedonian Orthodox Church in the<br />

talks. On November 17, Macedonia filed a motion at the<br />

ICJ accusing Greece of breaking a UN agreement by<br />

blocking its accession to NATO. (aj)<br />

Hungary - Slovakia (minority)<br />

Intensity: 2 Change: Start: 1993<br />

Conflict parties: Hungary vs. Slovakia<br />

Conflict items: international power<br />

The conflict between Hungary and Slovakia concerning<br />

the situation of the Hungarian minority in Slovakia<br />

continued. On May 15, the Hungarian foreign ministry<br />

called in the Slovakian ambassador to discuss remarks<br />

by Slovakian government coalition politician Ján Slota,<br />

the leader of the Slovak National Party (SNS), who had<br />

referred to the medieval Hungarian king Saint Stephen I<br />

as a ”clown rider”. On May 26, Hungarian Foreign Minister<br />

Kinga Göncz criticized the Slovakian ruling coalition<br />

for featuring the SNS. On October 2, the Hungarian<br />

foreign ministry called in the Slovakian ambassador to<br />

explain the row over new textbooks for Hungarian minority<br />

schools as well as events following an international<br />

meeting of ethnic Hungarian MPs [→ Slovakia (Hungarian<br />

minority/southern Slovakia)]. Slota consequently<br />

compared Göncz to Adolf Hitler. In the days following<br />

a violent incident between Hungarian football supporters<br />

and the Slovakian police in Dunajská Streda on<br />

November 1, approx. 150 people protested in front of the<br />

Slovakian embassy in the Hungarian capital, Budapest,<br />

and, on November 10, Hungarian nationalists blocked<br />

border checkpoints between the two countries. The<br />

same day, the European Commission expressed its concern<br />

over the deteriorating relations. Slovakian Prime<br />

Minister Robert Fico and his Hungarian colleague Ferenc<br />

Gyurcsány held a meeting in Komárno on November<br />

15. They released a joint statement denouncing extremism<br />

and nationalism, but also revealing big differences in<br />

their interpretations of recent events. Gyurcsány invited<br />

Fico to continue the talks in Budapest in January. (aog)<br />

Macedonia (Kosovo)<br />

Intensity: 1 Change: END Start: 2001<br />

Conflict parties: Kosovo vs. Macedonia<br />

Conflict items: territory<br />

The conflict over border demarcation between Macedonia<br />

and the government of Kosovo, a neighboring breakaway<br />

republic of Serbia, ended. The conflict had begun<br />

following a border demarcation agreement between<br />

Macedonia and Yugoslavia on 02/23/01, which foresaw<br />

the transfer of approx. 2,400 acres of territory to the<br />

Macedonian side. A special joint commission finally<br />

started border demarcation on June 30. On October<br />

8, a group of armed people from the Kosovo village of<br />

Libiste removed stone markers laid during demarcation

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