congestion, emission, and safety costs, and also reduced or avoided costs <strong>of</strong> futureinfrastructure expansion. Section 5-2 reviews available estimates <strong>of</strong> the RFR for SSSservices. Section 5-3 reviews the avoided external costs <strong>of</strong> highway congestion, fuel use andemission – per- trip and per-mile – when SSS services are used for moving freight as analternative to trucking. Section 5-4 describes the impacts <strong>of</strong> SSS in terms <strong>of</strong> avoided futurecosts <strong>of</strong> infrastructure expansion.5-2 Estimating Required Freight Rate (RFR) for SSS<strong>Research</strong>ers at the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy have developed a cost model todetermine the required freight rate (RFR) that the SSS operator must charge to break even.Lombardo and colleagues developed the model based on the prevailing national freight ratesfor moving a standard overland RoRo by truck, and equivalent SSS vessel operating costs formoving a single RoRo ship carrying 80 trailers. Based on the findings <strong>of</strong> cost model, theRFR for moving a truckload was estimated at about $1.25 per statute miles. The cost modelalso estimated the RFR for SSS and assumed that for SSS to be sustainable the RFR must belower than this standard $1.25 rate per statute mile. 59The model calculated the RFR for SSS as a function <strong>of</strong> operating speed (allowed to varybetween 5 knots and 40 knots), route lengths (allowed to vary between 200 and 800 nauticalmiles) and minimum cargo volume (assumed at 80 trailers per load.) The model found thatmeeting the minimum volume requirement is <strong>of</strong>ten key to sustainable service and that marketshare and pr<strong>of</strong>itability usually go together. Lombardo and colleagues concluded that theRFR <strong>of</strong> $1.25 per statute mile would be economically viable for SSS operations assumingthat a single RoRo would have a minimum load to fill up 80 tractor trailers, with operatingspeed falling in the range <strong>of</strong> 15-20 knots. They found that RFR curves were extremely flatnear the minima, i.e., the diseconomies <strong>of</strong> marginally faster operating speeds are notparticularly punishing in terms <strong>of</strong> imposing additional costs (e.g., fuel cost associated withhigher speeds), concluding that: “The minimum RFR rises more slowly than route length,indicating that the cost advantage <strong>of</strong> SSS increases on longer routes.” This improvement ineconomy is only limited by the feasible limits <strong>of</strong> how much freight SSS service could carryhow far. However, due to the geography <strong>of</strong> the U.S. East, Gulf, and West coasts, the studyfound, SSS services cannot be implemented over routes much longer than 800 nautical miles.Table 11 shows the calculated total RFR rates for end-to-end SSS cargo delivery, RFR pernautical mile, and the optimal operating speed assuming an 80-trailer RoRo vessel.59 Lombardo, Gary A., Robert F. Mulligan, and Change Q. Guan, U.S. Short Sea Shipping: Prospects andOpportunities, U.S. Merchant Marine Academy, prepared for Short Sea Shipping Cooperative (SCOOP),November 1, 2004.ONR SSS Final Report 54
Table 11 – Optimal SSS Speed and RFR rates for different Route LengthsRoute Length(Nautical Mile)End-to-End RFRfor SSSRFR perNautical MileOptimalOperating Speed200 256 1.3 18250 286 1.14 18300 307 1.02 18350 327 0.94 19400 348 0.87 19450 368 0.82 19500 388 0.78 19550 409 0.74 19600 429 0.72 19650 450 0.69 20700 470 0.67 20750 490 0.65 20800 510 0.64 20Lombardo, Gary A., Robert F. Mulligan, and Change Q. Guan, U.S. Short Sea Shipping: Prospects andOpportunities, U.S. Merchant Marine Academy, prepared for Short Sea Shipping Cooperative (COOP),November 1, 2004.(Note: 1 nautical mile=1.15 statue mile; 1 statute mile = 0.868 nautical mile.)The Lombardo research team concluded:• RoRo vessels <strong>of</strong>fer the best prospects for serving truck competitive SSS markets as theyhave faster port turnaround times and have traditionally attracted higher-value freightpaying higher prices for service;• Overcoming low freight volumes that would allow carriers to achieve scale economiesand deep-seated expectation <strong>of</strong> unreliable service may be difficult and may detract fromopportunities to gain market share;• Vessel construction costs can be lowered once economies <strong>of</strong> scale are achieved;• RoRo cost savings can be significant if they avoid terminal handling costs (which mayincrease the RFR by as much as 20%);• The key shortcoming <strong>of</strong> the RoRo concept is that a hefty 30% <strong>of</strong> the weight and volumecapacity has to be devoted to carrying the tractor-trailer cabs; even containerize tractortrailers (on chassis) can never be packed as densely as on a containership.• RFR per nautical mile compares roughly with the cost per statute miles charged bytruckers. SSS should not see to undercut interstate trucking or railroads beyond theminimum amount necessary to assure full capacity on each SSS trip. SSS should thentake advantage <strong>of</strong> their significantly lower costs to operate at a higher pr<strong>of</strong>it margin.• For SSS operations to be successful, strategic alliances with truck and rail carriers areessential.ONR SSS Final Report 55