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EEElBEST TRACK UhRNING 24 HOUR FO!?ECfiST 48 HOUR FOREC6ST72 HOUR FORECFISTERRORSERRORSERRORSERRoRSMO,DR.HR POSIT wIND POSIT IJIND OST WIND POSIT UIND DST !JIND POSIT IJIND OST WIND POSIT IJ~ND DST IJIND076100z 16.1 1.24,5 30 se 16.1 ~ ~23.6 124,6 $$:-s, 15.9 121.3 30. 1S7. ’15. 16,2 ils, S 3S, 366, -35, 16,9 116,4 59, 706, -10,0701’9SZ 16,1 124,23E : 0. 16.0 120,5 30. 204. -25. 16.4 118.1 40. 4S6. -3S. 17a 11S.8 S0, 814, 0.07s111zz 16.3 1?4,0 3s 16:0 1.?e.8 30. 71. ‘S, 16,2 119.2 30. Z86 ’30. 16,8 116,8 40. S29. ‘aS. 17.7 114,6 S0, 914,0701 18Z 16.8 123.8 40 16.0 122, S 40. 89. 0, 16.0 119.4 3e, 319. -35. 16,7 117.1 40. 6e3. -2S. 17.6 114.8 50.1033, J:e? W?eOZ 17.3 123.6 4S 16.9 122,8 4e. S2 -5. 18,5 121.5 3e. 192, -40, 19.8 12e. e ~!j: ~~84: -2S, 21,4 118,7 S0. 828. 15.0702’96Z 18,1 123.3 55 18.2 123.2 55. 0. 21.6 121.2 75, 103. e, 2s.2 119,418, 2~,: ii~:~ 4S!: 525. ie.e7ezizz 19.3 1?3.0 60 19.1 1?3.1 60, 1:: ‘J. ?2.8 121,8 75. 122, 10. 26,9 122, s 7e, 252, 2s-e.070218Z ?e.6 122.2 6S 2e.3 122,7 65. 33. 0 24. S 1?22,1 70. 111. 5, 29.1 123.7 65, 222. 25. :3: e.e g: -e. ::e703e0z 21.7 121.6 70 21.8 121.6 Se. 6. 10, 27,6 122.6 ?0, 7s. 10, 31.6 125, S 65. 145, 3e, 0,0-0. :;e?e30SZ 23.3 121.5 7S 23.3 121.5 80,5. 29.0 123.3 70. 86. W. 3;:; 127,2 6:: 156. 3.3: 0,0 e.e e. -e,07e312Z 24.7 121. e 65 ?4.6 121.5 75. 2:: 10. Z8.7 122.0 65. 147. 20, e,e-0. e.e 0.0 e. -0. e.e70318Z 28,1 laO.9 65 25.8 121.2 7@. 24, 5. 29.9 12e. S 60. i85. .20, 0,0 e.e 0, ~g: 0. 0,0 e.e ;: -e.97e400Z 27.8 121,2 60 27.0 1.21,3 55. 48. -5. 32.3 lz3.4 45. 133, 10. e.e o.e 0. e.e e.e -e. ::07e4e6Z 29,6 121,8 50 29.4 121. S 4S, 20. -~: 3~:~ 1a6,4 3;; 49. 5. e,e e.e -0. :: 0.0 e.e e. -0, e,070412z 31.1 122.6 45 31, Z 122,4 4s 12. e.e-e, e. e.e 0,0 :: -e. g: e.e e. -e,@7e418z 32.8 123.8 40 3&!.8 123,4 4e. 20. 0. e.e 63,0 0, -e. e. 0,0 o.e e. -0. e.e ::: -e. ::.a7ese0z 34.0 125,1 35 34,1 12s,2 3s. g: g: 0.0 0,0 -e, e. e.e e.o e. -e. e. e.e e,e ;: -e,e7ese6z 35.4 1Z7. E! 30 35.4 127,1 35. %.s$ @.@ :: -e. e. o.e e.e e. -e. e. e.e e,e -e, e:RLL F0RECF15TSURUG :;-+HR ;E&HR ;:%:RfiVG FORECAST POSIT ERROR27.FIVG RIGHT IINGLE ERROR 23. ~:; 197. 32savG 1NTEt4S1TV IIOGNITUDE ERROR 3. 27. 8.fiVG lNTENSITV 81A5 ;~ ;;, 5.NUMBER OF FORECRSTS 1: 6DISTfINCE TRfivELED 8Y TROPICfiL CVCLONE 15 I 3ze. m6vERRGESPEEED OF TROP I CfiL CYCLONE 1S 13. KNOTSTVPHOONS UHILE OVER 35 KTSu::: 24-HR 3:::HR ~:iJ:HR1s3.2: ; 99. 2:: ; 376,lB. 8.-4. -:. ~,1:” 13TYPHOONFIX POSITIONS FOR6\LEXc:VCLON2 NO, 32+ ITELLITEFF 1XNO:;~EFIxPOS1TIONRCCRVDvORhKCODECON14ENTSSITE1 292 le!2 29z3@ I~ 3ee6eeeiees
x2728293%313i?333423.8N 121.6E24.3N 124. ?EZ2.9N laO.7E23.8N li!l.6E22. 6N 120. 3E?2. ON 120.7E24 ,3N 124.2E24.3N 124.2E24, 3N 124. 2E24, 3N 124 .2ESVNOPTICFIXESFIXNo:;tjc FIX INTENSITY NE6RESTPOS1TION ES T1nATE DfiTfi
Page 1 and 2:
1984ANNUAL TROPICALi CYCLONEREPORT1
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U,S, NAVAL OCEANOGRAPHY COMMAND CEN
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FOREWARDThe Annual Tropical Cyclone
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CHAPTER VAPPLIED TROPICAL CYCLONE R
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outes the large volume of meteorolo
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8. PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGESFor
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4.SATELLITE RECONNAISSANCE SUMMARYT
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TABLE 2-4. FIX PLATFORN SUNNARY FOR
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platform (land, aircraft, or ship)
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TABLE 3-2.1984 SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
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+-s+ +n‘1” L’1 . 1’ .!”.h
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t-iilI ,’+“ 3’++ , +*2Itillml
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,. -.. ..- .,. ,.-...- ... ., ,.,-
Page 27 and 28:
F@#LIZ 3-02-2. Wgnneab a 50 kt (26
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.-TYPHOONALEXBEST TRACK TC-03W -01
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F@Uu? 3-03-3. Akd-tt.opobph&c ff&W
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,., . 1 -.. :..,, . /d.. :,, .. . -
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Aircraft reconnaissance flights on
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—$ v: / -f L I I I ) i I I I , ,
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Between 0000Z on the 9th and 1200z
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0[CJ3ilSSl ONINilVM lSV1 ~a3flSSl !
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i’nthe northwest quadrant of Dina
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,!!1,,,,1,TYPHOONEDBEST TRACK TC-07
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TROPICA.LSTORM FREDA(08w)Tropical S
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F.igum 3-08-3. Tz.Op.id .$tozm FJLe
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION(09W)Tropical De
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TROPICAL STORM GERALD(1OW)Tropical
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!,, ,, ,,, ,, ,,TYPHOONHOLLYBEST TR
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Figure 3-ii-2 shows the wind fIeIda
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Page 65 and 66:
t“1’””# IL”a3nssl s3NINUV
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This change in track was due to the
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..——w.,.. - . . .- -., . . L! .
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At the time of the first warning,Tr
Page 73 and 74:
k’ 125° 130” 135° 140° 145
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Fi.gLuLe3-15-2. /ii.d--!CV& tipObpk
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,..‘“!::$:”:::b::t::t:::h.:7P
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TROPICAJ_ISTORM MAURY(17W)During a
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At 301200z, Maury was approximately
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TROPICALSTORN NINA(18W)Tropical Sto
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Between 3006002 and 3018002, the lo
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TYPHOON OGDEN(19W)Typhoon Ogden was
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The ARWO also verified that extratr
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TYPHOON PHYLLIS(20W)Typhoon Phyllis
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As Phyllis passed north of 25N, the
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TROPICAL STORM ROY (21W)Tropical St
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As it turned out, these would be th
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TROPICAL STORM SUSAN (22W)Tropical
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transited up the Mekong Valley. Eve
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TYPHOON THAI) (24W)Typhoon Thad dev
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(a)(c)F.igtie3-24-2. Th.tte view o~
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SUPER TYPHOON VANESSA(25W)Super Typ
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The only significant damage on Guam
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TYPHOON WARREN(26W)Typhoon Warren w
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Other coastal areas and marineinter
Page 118 and 119: TYPHOQN AGNES(27w)Typhoon Agnes was
Page 120 and 121: Figuze 3-27-2. TyphoonAgnebat 100kZ
Page 122 and 123: 18*+x+++\,,+++%+ \+ + +++\+X-* . ,+
Page 124 and 125: forecast to pass less than 30 nrn (
Page 126 and 127: F.igoAe3-2g-4. i3W emt od Luzonab i
Page 128: Figuzt 3-2~-7. Tgphoon C.&zIUZ acee
Page 131 and 132: From this point on, Clara was a wel
Page 133 and 134: ii‘:,;f’-(-$!l$j*; ,;~~:, ..,..
Page 135 and 136: convection near the center of the d
Page 137 and 138: 2. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN TROPICAL CYCL
Page 140 and 141: 40” 45°30”coJO 55°60” 65°
Page 142 and 143: ~o..~GjO‘5°Jo 55° 60° 65° 70
Page 144 and 145: (9 L-Z M3N) 29/000” 05+3 .06.% I
Page 146 and 147: Since Tropical Cyclone 03B was firm
Page 148 and 149: DTG2806Z2812z2818Z2900Z2906Z2912Z29
Page 150 and 151: During the next 48 hours, TropicalC
Page 152 and 153: 10NAUTICAL MILE ERROR9Figure4-2aI,I
Page 154 and 155: ANNUAL MEAN FORECAST ERRORS (NM) FO
Page 156 and 157: “b.North Indian OceanThe position
Page 158 and 159: 2. COMPARISON OF OBJECTWE TECHNIQUE
Page 160 and 161: = 492 317227 0m459 215 472 L602.283
Page 162 and 163: CHAPTER V - APPLIED TROPICAL CYCLON
Page 164 and 165: TROPICAL CYCLONE READINESS CONDITIO
Page 166 and 167: xss7 TRncK WIRNINGPOSIT,?0,5 135.12
Page 170 and 171: POS 1714.7 1Z6.314.5 1z5, L314.6 12
Page 172 and 173: TVPHOON CARYBEST TRRCK D6TA*LL F~qm
Page 174 and 175: BESTTRI? CKPOS1 T21,0 162,2Z1.0 161
Page 176 and 177: BEST TRACK WM?NINGPOSIT28 0 13s,127
Page 178 and 179: ;:; 311700 32.8N 120.7E LIIND3es4 i
Page 180 and 181: FILL FORECRSTSURNG $;&R ~~;:R 72;:R
Page 182 and 183: fil RcRfiFT FIXESF1!:POSITIONFLTL V
Page 184 and 185: + ++++++ ++++++++++++- . . . . . .
Page 186 and 187: BESTTRA(POSIT19.1 142.719,5 141.819
Page 188 and 189: 56:;5.960616e63x :;6667686970x 7;73
Page 190 and 191: MO/DR/HR0828ee2e8&!806z082812208281
Page 192 and 193: BEST TRflCK IJARNINGPOSIT18,6 115.7
Page 194 and 195: EEEiiElBEST TROCK URRNING 24 HOUR F
Page 196 and 197: EiElBEST TRRCK WQRNINGPOSIT WIND PO
Page 198 and 199: BEsr 7RIICK UC+RNING 24 HOuR F0REc~
Page 200 and 201: OEST TRFICK IWRNINGPOSIT8.7 1s0,19.
Page 202 and 203: 75;;z:80al828384858887::9091::94;29
Page 204 and 205: 6465666768697071x ;;757677767960818
Page 206 and 207: %67::;;7.273747s7677787980818283848
Page 208 and 209: .-..,..-=.- ..7 .PCN 3PCN 4PCN 3PCN
Page 210 and 211: EEiEilBEST TRQCK WI%RNINGPOSIT5.4 1
Page 212 and 213: 8EST TR.4 CKUfiRNING24 HOUR FORECeS
Page 214 and 215: 2. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN CYCLONEBEST T
Page 216 and 217: ~&WQ&~R1 10s062i10912z1109I8Zl11000
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e3L3609@311040311@5031339e317@90323
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NEPRFNESSNaval Environmental Predic
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APPENDIXIllNAMES FOR TROPICAL CYCLO
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APPENDIXPAST ANNUAL TROPICAL CYCLON
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UNCLASSIFIED;ECURITY CLASSIFICATION
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w*Taopicd Cydlone 30S (KarniAg) on
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