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Table C.8: Changes to the OBR’s forecast of public sector net borrowing£ billionForecast2014-15 <strong>2015</strong>-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20December forecast 91.3 75.9 40.9 14.5 -4.0 -23.1March forecast 90.2 75.3 39.4 12.8 -5.2 -7.0Change -1.1 -0.7 -1.5 -1.8 -1.2 16.1Underlying OBR forecast changesTotal -1.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 -0.1 -4.6of which:Changes in the receipts forecast -1.1 3.3 4.9 5.8 4.0 -1.9of which:Inflation 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.8 1.0Other oil price effects -0.1 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1Interest rates 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6Housing market 0.2 1.5 2.1 1.8 0.9 -0.1Other -0.5 1.0 1.8 2.8 1.6 -3.4Classification changes -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -1.0Changes in the spending forecast 0.0 -3.3Effect of applying Autumn Statement spendingpolicy assumptions post <strong>2015</strong>-16 -4.4 -5.4 -4.1 -2.8of which:Inflation -2.2 -4.2 -4.7 -5.6 -6.5 -6.9Interest rates -0.3 -1.2 -2.1 -3.0 -3.9 -4.5Capital spending 1 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.9Other spending -0.3 -1.8 -6.5 -5.0 -5.3 -5.0Classification changes 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3RDEL -0.3 -0.4Implied RDEL 4.6 4.0 7.0 8.3Changes due to Government decisions<strong>Budget</strong> policy measures 0.0 -0.7 0.0 -0.2 0.9 0.6Effect of applying new <strong>Budget</strong> spending policyassumptions post <strong>2015</strong>-16 -1.9 -1.9 -2.0 20.21Excluding classification changesNote: this table uses the convention that a negative figure means an improvement in PSNB.114 <strong>Budget</strong> <strong>2015</strong>

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