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Derivatives in Plain Words by Frederic Lau, with a ... - HKU Libraries

Derivatives in Plain Words by Frederic Lau, with a ... - HKU Libraries

Derivatives in Plain Words by Frederic Lau, with a ... - HKU Libraries

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In other words, when the <strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>in</strong>creases from 8.00 percent to 9.00percent, the bond orig<strong>in</strong>ally sold for 100, is now priced at 95.9445, adecrease of 4.0555 percent.Equation (3) is quite accurate for small changes <strong>in</strong> yields, but is only anapproximation for large changes <strong>in</strong> yields. This will be discussed later <strong>in</strong> thischapter.From the above example and the previous illustration, we can see howduration applies to bond pric<strong>in</strong>g analysis. (We constra<strong>in</strong> our discussion tooption-free securities.)First, we see from the illustration that we have converted a 5-year bond<strong>with</strong> 10 cash flows <strong>in</strong>to a s<strong>in</strong>gle number - a modified duration of 4.0555.What does it mean? It means that if the <strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>by</strong>, say onepercent, the price of the security decreases <strong>by</strong> 4.0555 percent; or if the<strong>in</strong>terest rate decreases <strong>by</strong> one percent, the price of the security <strong>in</strong>creases<strong>by</strong> 4.0555 percent. Therefore, this modified duration of 4.0555 representsthe <strong>in</strong>terest rate sensitivity of this 5-year bond.Second, as we can see <strong>in</strong> equations (3) and (5), the percentage change <strong>in</strong>bond price due to a change <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rate can be easily calculated.Third, <strong>by</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g the duration concept, we can perform some forms of asset/liability management. We can match the durations between assets andliabilities portfolios to create a "duration-matched portfolio". Or we canconstruct an "immunised portfolio" that provides assured returns over atarget hold<strong>in</strong>g period.In addition, because modified duration is the percentage change <strong>in</strong> the priceof a security given a change <strong>in</strong> yields, and a change <strong>in</strong> yields is a measureof the change <strong>in</strong> the bond market, modified duration actually plays a similarrole of measur<strong>in</strong>g market risk for bonds that beta plays for stocks.Although the duration concept is simple and easy to apply <strong>in</strong> bond pric<strong>in</strong>gDuration and Convexity

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