Northland Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2010

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2 NORTHLAND’S RISK PROFILESection 2 provides the context for the Northland CDEM Group area; acomprehensive summary of the natural, social, built and economic environments.The section describes the hazards that could impact upon the CDEM Group,potentially requiring CDEM involvement, and characterisation of their likelihoodand consequences. At the end of the section is a summary of the risk profile of theCDEM Group and risk priorities for further action.Knowledge of the region’s vulnerability to hazards is fundamental to guiding the level of activity and effort appliedacross the 4 Rs and developing comprehensive and integrated risk reduction, readiness, response and recoveryprogrammes. The characterisation of the risk environment in this section provides a basis for sound prioritisationof resources and effort in CDEM planning. It also provides a snapshot in time of the risk profile, as a baseline forongoing monitoring and evaluation of risk reduction programmes.2.1 CDEM GROUP ENVIRONMENTThe contextual elements for the CDEM Group are the people, the land, the buildings/infrastructure and theeconomy, commonly referred to as the social, natural, built and economic environments. Analysing theseelements helps the Group understand the unique combination of factors that influence CDEM planning.2.1.1 SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTNorthland has a population of approximately 160,000 people (estimated 2009 population). The population isgenerally concentrated along the east coast, particularly in the Whangarei and Bay of Islands area. In summermonths the population swells with visitors from other regions and tourists from overseas.The people are distributed across atopography offering challenges ofaccess/isolation, and communication.Northland has one city, a number ofrural towns, numerous townships andhamlets and areas of coastalsettlement with minimal services.GENERAL POPULATIONThe 2006 Census indicated that thepopulation increased by 6% between2001 and 2006 (the increase byDistrict is shown in Figure 6). Thisgrowth is driven mostly by birthswithin the region with Maori being akey driver of this growth. Growth isalso due to people moving into theregion.Projected population from StatisticsNZ (illustrated in Figure 7) indicates:Figure 4: Northland's Population DensityNorthland Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2010-2015 Page 16
Whangarei District population rising from76,500 in 2006 to 91,600 in 2031.Far North District population rising from57,500 in 2006 to 63,500 in 2031Kaipara District decreasing from 18,600in 2006 to 17,900 in 2031.ETHNIC GROUPS IN THE NORTHLANDREGIONThe Region’s largest ethnic group is European,as shown in Figure 8. However Maori have ahigher than New Zealand average for theregion with 43,527 residents in the 2006Census. This is a rise of 6.9% since 2001, withthe most rapid growth occurring inWhangarei.50,00045,00040,00035,00030,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,0000New ZealandFar NorthDistrict2001 2006Figure 5: Population Growth 2001-06WhangareiDistrictNorthland Population Growth 2006-2031Kaipara DistrictIn the 2006 Census, the Far NorthDistrict had the highest number ofMaori (44%); with Whangarei at 25%and Kaipara 22% Maori.VULNERABLE GROUPSGroups that are particularly vulnerablein CDEM emergencies include:those with disabilities or medicalconditionsthe elderlychildren in schools and care centrespeople in prisons or being detainedon home detention (some homedetainees took 2009 tsunamiwarnings as an opportunity to breaktheir home detention conditions)those in isolated communities(especially in coastal areas)low-income households See also Section 2.3.3 fordeprivation statisticsPopulation195,000190,000185,000180,000175,000170,000165,000160,000155,000150,000100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031YearFigure 6: Population Forecasts (Statistics NZ)European Maori Pacific Asian OtherFar North Kaipara WhangareiFigure 7: Ethnicity in Northland (MSD Report 2008)HighMediumLow2.1.2 BUILT ENVIRONMENTLAND USEIn the 2006 Census, New Zealand recorded 1,638,700 dwellings (of which around 10% are unoccupied) and theNorthland region 67,029 dwellings (of which 17% are unoccupied). This reflects the high number of holiday homesin the Region.TELECOMMUNICATIONS:Table 2 illustrates that, compared with national averages, Northland’s residents have less access to the variousforms of telecommunications systems than the rest of NZ. Only half have internet access and 3.5% have no accessto any system. The Far North has the least access in terms of % population.Northland Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2010-2015 Page 17
Page 2: PLAN STRUCTURESection1:Introduction
Page 5 and 6: GLOSSARY OF TERMSCommonly used term
Page 7 and 8: SUMMARYThe Northland Civil Defence
Page 9 and 10: 1 INTRODUCTIONSection 1 outlines th
Page 11 and 12: 1.3 THE PLAN CONTEXT1.3.1 CORE PRIN
Page 13 and 14: 1.4.1 NORTHLAND CDEM GROUP VISION A
Page 15: 1.4.3 HOW THIS PLAN SUPPORTS NATION
Page 19 and 20: 2.1.3 ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENTPROFILETh
Page 21 and 22: 2.2 CDEM GROUP HAZARDSCAPE2.2.1 ANA
Page 23 and 24: Figure 12: River Network in Northla
Page 25 and 26: 2.3 HAZARD RISK PRIORITIES2.3.1 THE
Page 28 and 29: 3 RISK REDUCTIONThis section provid
Page 30 and 31: In 2009, NRC published a review of
Page 32 and 33: 4 READINESSThis section provides an
Page 34 and 35: 4.2 COMMUNITY READINESS4.2.1 AWAREN
Page 36 and 37: 4.3 GROUP READINESS: STAFF CAPACITY
Page 38 and 39: 2. To facilitate communication betw
Page 40 and 41: Other OrganisationPlans(refer Appen
Page 42 and 43: OBJECTIVE 3d:Current Status:Methodo
Page 44 and 45: In terms of effort applied to respo
Page 46 and 47: 5.3 CDEM EMERGENCY OPERATING CENTRE
Page 48 and 49: Welfare Centres can also be set up
Page 50 and 51: Table 9: Specific Response Issues a
Page 52 and 53: audience. The information it provid
Page 54 and 55: 6 RECOVERYThis section sets out the
Page 56 and 57: The role of the Group Recovery Mana
Page 58 and 59: 7 MONITORING AND EVALUATIONThis sec
Page 60 and 61: CommunityEducation /ParticipationCD
Page 62 and 63: 8 MANAGEMENT AND GOVERNANCEThis sec
Page 64 and 65: The functions of the Group are deta
Page 66 and 67:
8.3.3 WORK PROGRAMMESAn annual work
Page 68 and 69:
During a declared emergency (Level
Page 70 and 71:
APPENDIX A - ORGANISATIONS WITH A K
Page 72 and 73:
APPENDIX B - HAZARD SUMMARIESThe re
Page 74 and 75:
WIDESPREAD HEAVY STORMSOverviewHaza
Page 76 and 77:
VOLCANOOverviewHazardLikelihood (E)
Page 78 and 79:
Figure 20: Historical Earthquake Lo
Page 80 and 81:
DROUGHTSOverviewA drought can be de
Page 82 and 83:
Table 13: Infrastructure Failure Sc
Page 84 and 85:
MAJOR TRANSPORT ACCIDENTOverviewHaz
Page 86:
ANIMAL / PLANT DISEASE AND PESTSOve
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Northland Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2010

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